尽管市场兴趣广泛，但比特币仍在悬停在80,000美元的大关附近，表现出有限的向上势头

在撰写本文时，该资产的交易价格为84,596美元，在过去24小时内下跌0.1％。这使BTC低于其历史最高高度超过$ 109,000000000000000000000000000000000000。

Bitcoin price has stalled in the mid-$84,000s despite broader market interest, showing limited upward momentum. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at around $84,596, down 0.1% in the last 24 hours.

尽管市场兴趣广泛，但比特币的价格仍处于84,000美元的中期，表现出了有限的向上势头。在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格约为84,596美元，在过去24小时内下跌0.1％。

This places BTC about 22% below its all-time high of over $109,000 set earlier this year. The price action follows a recovery from earlier lows but remains range-bound, suggesting hesitancy among investors as macroeconomic uncertainties persist.

这使BTC今年早些时候将BTC低于其历史最高售价超过$ 109,000的22％。价格行动是从早期的低点恢复，但仍然存在范围，这表明投资者犹豫不决，因为宏观经济不确定性持续存在。

One of the emerging observations comes from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan, who compared Bitcoin's current behavior to past correction cycles.

新兴的观察结果来自加密分析师Crypto Dan，后者将比特币的当前行为与过去的校正周期进行了比较。

Speculation Eases, Setting the Stage for Potential Recovery

猜测缓解了潜在恢复的阶段

In Dan's recent QuickTake post titled "Cryptocurrency Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction Period," Dan examined the speculative dynamics of the market through short-term holder activity. His analysis suggests that the recent cooling-off period might mirror patterns observed during last year's correction phase.

在Dan最近发表的《 Crightake》帖子中，标题为“加密货币市场，类似于2024年的更正期”，Dan通过短期持有人的活动检查了市场的投机性动态。他的分析表明，最近的冷却期可能反映在去年校正阶段观察到的模式。

According to Dan, one reliable gauge of market overheating is the percentage of Bitcoin supply held for one week to one month. When this metric rises, it often signals speculative enthusiasm, which can precede corrections.

根据丹的说法，一个可靠的市场过热是一个星期至一个月的比特币供应百分比。当该指标上升时，它通常会信号投机性热情，这可以在校正之前进行。

During previous bullish phases, such increases in short-term holdings were followed by pullbacks, marking peaks in investor exuberance.

在以前的看涨阶段，短期持有的这种增加之后是回调，标志着投资者旺盛的高峰。

In the current cycle, Dan notes that this metric has once again reached a region previously associated with market bottoms—the same yellow box (on the chart shared) that aligned with the 2024 correction low.

在当前周期中，DAN指出，该指标再次达到了与市场底部相关的区域 - 与2024校正低相位的相同黄色框（在图表上共享）。

Based on this, he posits that speculative excesses have largely subsided, opening the door to renewed price growth if macroeconomic conditions continue to improve. However, he also emphasized that further consolidation may still occur before a broader trend shift materializes.

基于这一点，他认为投机性过剩已在很大程度上消退，如果宏观经济状况继续改善，则为新价格增长打开了大门。但是，他还强调，在更广泛的趋势转变实现之前，可能仍会发生进一步的整合。

Bitcoin Whale Activity Suggests Imminent Volatility

比特币鲸活动表明迫在眉睫的波动性

Complementing this analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Mignolet pointed out a notable shift in coin movement behavior. In a separate post, he observed that around 170,000 BTC recently moved from the 3–6 month holding cohort.

在补充这一分析的情况下，加密贡献者Mignolet指出了硬币运动行为的显着转变。在另一篇文章中，他观察到大约有170,000 BTC最近从3-6个月的Holding Cohort移居。

This group typically includes mid-term holders, and substantial activity from them has historically preceded increased price volatility.

该小组通常包括中期持有人，并且从历史上看，他们的实质性活动在价格上涨之前。

Mignolet illustrated his findings with data, noting that such movements have often signaled major price action, both upward and downward. Green box indicators on his chart marked rallies, while red boxes highlighted periods of decline.

Mignolet用数据说明了他的发现，并指出这种运动通常表明了主要价格行动，无论是向上还是向下。他的图表上的绿色框指示标志着集会，而红色框则突出了下降时期。

While the direction remains uncertain, he highlighted that the increased activity is an early warning sign that traders should be alert for a breakout or breakdown in the near future.

尽管该方向仍然不确定，但他强调说，增加活动是一个预警信号，即交易者应在不久的将来警惕分解或崩溃。

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