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在人們對即將減半的預期的推動下,比特幣在熱情高漲的情況下於 2024 年 4 月 1 日達到 71,000 美元。然而,儘管市場一片欣欣向榮,但最近的下跌凸顯了市場的波動性。隨著減半的臨近,比特幣新供應量將減少,專家們猜測其對供需的潛在影響,而投資者則在市場活動和交易所準備工作加劇的情況下熱切等待這一事件。
Bitcoin's Meteoric Rise and Sudden Dip: A Cautionary Tale
比特幣的暴漲與暴跌:一個警世故事
In the midst of an all-pervasive atmosphere of euphoria, Bitcoin soared to unprecedented heights, reaching the symbolic threshold of $71,000 on April 1, 2024. However, this meteoric ascent concealed underlying forces that would ultimately reshape the market landscape.
在無所不在的欣快氣氛中,比特幣飆升至前所未有的高度,於 2024 年 4 月 1 日達到 71,000 美元的象徵性門檻。然而,這種快速上漲掩蓋了最終重塑市場格局的潛在力量。
The fervent anticipation surrounding the imminent halving, scheduled for April 21, ignited a frenzy of speculation within the markets. Yet, Bitcoin has recently experienced an abrupt decline, serving as a sobering reminder of the inherent volatility that characterizes this cryptocurrency.
圍繞於 4 月 21 日即將到來的減半的熱烈預期引發了市場內的投機狂潮。然而,比特幣最近經歷了突然下跌,這清醒地提醒人們這種加密貨幣固有的波動性。
The Buzz in the Crypto Market
加密貨幣市場的嗡嗡聲
The crypto market has been abuzz with activity, with the media hype surrounding the upcoming Bitcoin halving fanning the flames of public enthusiasm. The fear and greed index has surged into the extreme greed zone, registering a score of 79. The total market capitalization has witnessed a significant jump of 2.1%, reaching $2.827 trillion in a mere 24-hour period.
加密貨幣市場一直熱鬧非凡,媒體圍繞著即將到來的比特幣減半的炒作煽動了公眾的熱情。恐懼和貪婪指數飆升至極度貪婪區域,得分79。總市值在短短24小時內大幅上漲2.1%,達到2.827兆美元。
Simultaneously, massive liquidations exceeding $108 million have taken place, highlighting the highly volatile nature of crypto trades. Traders are evidently positioning themselves strategically in anticipation of the anticipated market fluctuations.
同時,發生了超過 1.08 億美元的大規模清算,凸顯了加密貨幣交易的高度波動性。交易者顯然正在根據預期的市場波動進行策略定位。
Bets on the Post-Halving Bitcoin
押注比特幣減半後
Despite the palpable euphoria, astute investors are closely monitoring crucial macroeconomic data that is expected to be released in the near future. The highly anticipated speech on inflation, delivered last week, may have tempered some of the prevailing enthusiasm. However, the relatively optimistic comments from the Fed chairman subsequently suggested a potentially favorable outlook for the American economy.
儘管市場情緒明顯樂觀,但精明的投資者仍在密切關注預計在不久的將來發布的重要宏觀經濟數據。上週發表的備受期待的通膨演講可能會澆熄一些普遍的熱情。然而,聯準會主席隨後發表的相對樂觀的言論表明美國經濟前景可能良好。
According to Powell, it was "certainly possible" to avert a recession. Nevertheless, speculation abounds regarding the potential impact of the halving on Bitcoin's supply and demand dynamics.
鮑威爾表示,避免經濟衰退「當然有可能」。儘管如此,關於減半對比特幣供需動態的潛在影響的猜測仍然存在。
The Halving and Its Potential Impact
減半及其潛在影響
While the halving is not an unprecedented event, its potential impact on the price of Bitcoin remains a subject of heated debate. Some experts predict a dramatic surge following the drastic reduction in the supply of new Bitcoin. Others, exhibiting greater caution, suggest a more typical financial market scenario of "buy the rumor, sell the news."
雖然減半並不是史無前例的事件,但其對比特幣價格的潛在影響仍然是激烈爭論的話題。一些專家預測,在新比特幣供應大幅減少後,比特幣價格將大幅上漲。其他人則表現出更謹慎的態度,提出了一種更典型的金融市場情景:「謠言買入,消息賣出」。
Irrespective of the varying viewpoints, all eyes are fixed upon the cryptocurrency exchanges in anticipation of the fateful day. Exchange behemoths such as Coinbase and Binance have meticulously planned special trading operations for the occasion.
無論觀點如何不同,所有人的目光都集中在加密貨幣交易所上,期待著這個決定性的一天的到來。 Coinbase和Binance等交易所巨頭為此精心策劃了特殊的交易作業。
A Cautionary Reminder
警告提醒
Amidst the unprecedented frenzy, Bitcoin has captured attention like never before. However, the recent dip serves as a stark reminder that the structural volatility of the crypto market could swiftly deflate the prevailing euphoria.
在前所未有的狂熱中,比特幣以前所未有的方式吸引了人們的注意。然而,最近的下跌清楚地提醒人們,加密貨幣市場的結構性波動可能會迅速削弱普遍的樂觀情緒。
Only the most seasoned and patient investors are likely to emerge victorious in the high-stakes game surrounding this historic halving. Unquestionably, the coming weeks will witness a plethora of surprises and dramatic shifts within the tumultuous cryptocurrency markets.
只有最經驗豐富、最有耐心的投資者才有可能在這場歷史性減半的高風險遊戲中取得勝利。毫無疑問,未來幾週將見證動蕩的加密貨幣市場中的大量驚喜和巨大變化。
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