聯準會主席鮑威爾暗示 2025 年鴿派政策減弱，比特幣暴跌 5% 至 99,000 美元

山寨幣市場表現較差，XRP、卡爾達諾的 ADA 和萊特幣的 LTC 下跌 10%，然後才從低點恢復。

Bitcoin price dropped from $104,000 after the announcement, reaching $99.1K following the speech by the Fed Chair on Thursday, showing a decrease of almost 5% in the past 24 hours.

消息公佈後，比特幣價格從 10.4 萬美元下跌，週四聯準會主席發表演說後跌至 9.91 萬美元，過去 24 小時內下跌近 5%。

The altcoin market showed worse performance, with XRP, Cardano’s ADA, and Litecoin’s LTC dropping by 10% before recovering from their lows.

山寨幣市場表現較差，XRP、卡爾達諾的 ADA 和萊特幣的 LTC 均下跌 10%，然後才從低點恢復。

Data from Coinglass showed 278,901 traders were liquidated for the day, with total liquidations amounting to $809 million. The largest single liquidation order was on Binance – ETHUSDT, valued at $7.1 million.

Coinglass 的數據顯示，當天有 278,901 名交易者被清算，清算總額達 8.09 億美元。最大單筆強平訂單是幣安上的 ETHUSDT，價值 710 萬美元。

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Recent data, which showed persistently strong economic growth and sticky inflation, had shifted the focus today to the Fed’s future policy decisions, including the statement, revised economic forecasts, and the upcoming press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell.

最近的數據顯示經濟成長持續強勁，通膨黏性較高，這使得今天的焦點轉向聯準會未來的政策決定，包括聲明、修訂後的經濟預測以及主席鮑威爾即將舉行的新聞發布會。

A sustained increase in the value of the US dollar also presents a macro risk to Bitcoin because it is linked to a reduction in the world’s money supply, which is usually bad for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets.

美元價值的持續上漲也為比特幣帶來了宏觀風險，因為它與世界貨幣供應量的減少有關，這通常對比特幣和其他加密貨幣資產不利。

Bitcoin’s greatest risk is a strong dollar and tightening liquidity. But the theory of a high BTC supply deficit is supported by the fact that on-chain metrics for the cryptocurrency are still very bullish, especially the continuing decline in exchange balances.

比特幣最大的風險是美元走強和流動性收緊。但比特幣供應短缺的理論得到了以下事實的支持：加密貨幣的鏈上指標仍然非常樂觀，尤其是外匯餘額的持續下降。

According to the Fed’s quarterly economic projections, which include a “dot plot” showing the central bank’s expectations for the trajectory of the Fed funds rate, policymakers expect the rate to fall to 3 percent by the end of 2025 or for an additional 50 basis points in rate cuts next year.

根據聯準會的季度經濟預測（其中包括顯示央行對聯邦基金利率軌跡預期的「點陣圖」），決策者預計利率將在 2025 年底前降至 3%，或再下降 50 個基點明年降息。

Crypto Market Headwinds in Future Despite Trump Effect

儘管川普效應，未來加密市場仍將面臨阻力

Arthur Hayes, the co-founder and former CEO of cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX, believes that the current bullish trends in the cryptocurrency market, sparked by Donald Trump’s recent victory in the presidential election, may be short-lived.

加密貨幣交易所 BitMEX 聯合創始人兼前首席執行官 Arthur Hayes 認為，唐納德·川普最近在總統選舉中獲勝引發的當前加密貨幣市場的看漲趨勢可能是短暫的。

When crypto traders realize this around January 20, 2026, the market could face a “terrifying sell-off,” as described by Hayes. “Once they realize that Trump has at most one year to implement any policy changes starting from January 20, the market will experience a severe sell-off, not just in crypto but also in other Trump 2.0 stock trades. Buyers will experience a lot of pain.”

正如 Hayes 所描述的，當加密貨幣交易者在 2026 年 1 月 20 日左右意識到這一點時，市場可能會面臨「可怕的拋售」。 「一旦他們意識到川普從 1 月 20 日開始最多有一年的時間來實施任何政策變化，市場將經歷嚴重的拋售，不僅是加密貨幣，還有其他川普 2.0 股票交易。買家將會經歷很多痛苦。