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根據紐約數位投資集團 (NYDIG) 的最新分析,比特幣 (BTC) 仍然是 2024 年表現最佳的資產類別,儘管其領先優勢有所縮小。
Bitcoin (BTC) still leads as the top-performing asset in 2024, despite a “seasonally weak” third quarter, according to the latest analysis from the New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG).
根據紐約數位投資集團 (NYDIG) 的最新分析,儘管第三季“季節性疲軟”,但比特幣 (BTC) 仍是 2024 年表現最佳的資產。
The cryptocurrency saw a modest 2.5% gain during Q3, bouncing back after a decline in the previous quarter. However, large-scale sales, including government sell-offs from the U.S. and Germany, limited its performance, NYDIG’s Head of Research, Greg Cipolaro, noted in a report published on October 4.
該加密貨幣在第三季小幅上漲 2.5%,在上一季下跌後反彈。然而,NYDIG 研究主管 Greg Cipolaro 在 10 月 4 日發布的報告中指出,大規模拋售,包括美國和德國政府的拋售,限制了其表現。
“Bitcoin is still the best-performing asset class in 2024, though its lead has narrowed,” Cipolaro stated, highlighting a year-to-date return of 49.2%.
Cipolaro 表示:「比特幣仍然是 2024 年表現最好的資產類別,儘管其領先優勢已經縮小。」他強調,今年迄今的回報率為 49.2%。
Over the past six months, Bitcoin’s trading has remained rangebound, largely due to significant headwinds. These include the distribution of nearly $13.5 billion in Bitcoin from Mt. Gox and Genesis creditors, which has weighed heavily on market activity.
在過去的六個月裡,比特幣的交易一直保持著區間波動,這主要是由於巨大的阻力。其中包括 Mt. Gox 和 Genesis 債權人分配的近 135 億美元的比特幣,這對市場活動造成了沉重壓力。
While Bitcoin continues to lead, Cipolaro observed that other asset classes, including precious metals and select equity sectors, have also posted strong returns. Despite broader market gains, Bitcoin bucked historical trends by increasing 10% in September, a typically bearish month for the digital asset.
儘管比特幣繼續領先,但西波拉羅觀察到,包括貴金屬和精選股票板塊在內的其他資產類別也取得了強勁的回報。儘管市場整體上漲,但比特幣在 9 月逆歷史趨勢上漲了 10%,這是數位資產典型的看跌月份。
Several factors contributed to Bitcoin’s resilience. Demand from U.S. spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) remained robust, attracting $4.3 billion in inflows during the quarter. Additionally, corporate investment in Bitcoin has grown, with companies like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital expanding their holdings.
有幾個因素促成了比特幣的彈性。美國現貨交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的需求依然強勁,本季吸引了 43 億美元的資金流入。此外,企業對比特幣的投資也在成長,MicroStrategy 和 Marathon Digital 等公司都在擴大其持有量。
Bitcoin’s correlation with U.S. equities rose during Q3, reaching a 90-day rolling correlation of 0.46, Cipolaro noted. However, he emphasized that this level remains relatively low, affirming Bitcoin’s continued value as a diversification tool within multi-asset portfolios.
Cipolaro 指出,比特幣與美國股市的相關性在第三季上升,90 天滾動相關性達到 0.46。然而,他強調這一水平仍然相對較低,這證實了比特幣作為多元資產投資組合中的多元化工具的持續價值。
Political and macroeconomic developments also played a role in Bitcoin’s performance toward the end of Q3. These include former President Donald Trump’s endorsement of the cryptocurrency industry, easing monetary policies from the Federal Reserve, and stimulus measures by China’s central bank. Looking ahead, Cipolaro suggested that the outcome of the U.S. election on November 5 will have a significant impact on market sentiment, with a Trump victory potentially driving greater gains for Bitcoin.
政治和宏觀經濟發展也對第三季末比特幣的表現產生了影響。其中包括前總統川普對加密貨幣產業的支持、聯準會放鬆貨幣政策以及中國央行的刺激措施。展望未來,Cipolaro 表示,11 月 5 日的美國大選結果將對市場情緒產生重大影響,川普的勝利可能會推動比特幣獲得更大漲幅。
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