Bitwise CIO 預測，如果美國推出 BTC 戰略儲備，比特幣將飆升至 20 萬美元以上

Bitwise 資訊長 Matt Hougan 在雅虎財經的最新採訪中表示，如果美國政府實施比特幣戰略儲備，其他國家政府

Bitwise CIO Predicts Sky-High Bitcoin Prices if US Launches BTC Strategic Reserve

Bitwise CIO 預測，如果美國推出 BTC 戰略儲備，比特幣價格將飆升

The chief investment officer of crypto asset management firm Bitwise predicts that Bitcoin will surge well beyond $200,000 if the US ever launches a BTC strategic reserve.

加密資產管理公司 Bitwise 的首席投資長預測，如果美國推出 BTC 策略儲備，比特幣將飆升至 20 萬美元以上。

In a new interview on Yahoo Finance, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says that if the US government implements a Bitcoin strategic reserve, other governments around the world would have to follow suit, sending the flagship crypto asset to astronomical new all-time highs.

Bitwise 資訊長 Matt Hougan 在接受雅虎財經採訪時表示，如果美國政府實施比特幣戰略儲備，世界其他國家政府將不得不效仿，從而將這一旗艦加密資產推向歷史新高。

“If we do get a Bitcoin strategic reserve where the government is buying Bitcoin – and there's a bill from Senator Lummis that [would have] the government buy a million Bitcoin – I think $200,000 Bitcoin is going to be looking quaint. You're going to be looking at $300,000, $400,000, $500,000 Bitcoin. It's just too big a story, because governments all around the world would have to do it.”

「如果我們確實建立了比特幣戰略儲備，政府正在購買比特幣——並且參議員Lummis 提出了一項法案，政府將購買100 萬比特幣——我認為20 萬美元的比特幣將會看起來很奇怪。你將會看到價值 30 萬美元、40 萬美元、50 萬美元的比特幣。這是一個太大的故事，因為世界各地的政府都必須這樣做。

Hougan believes a Bitcoin strategic reserve has become more likely under US president-elect Donald Trump and his administration.

霍根認為，在美國當選總統川普及其政府的領導下，比特幣戰略儲備變得更有可能。

“When this initial idea was floated, I was somewhat skeptical of it. But over the months, it hasn't gone away. In fact, we continue to see leaders in the Trump administration suggest that they're open to it. I still think maybe it's less than a 50% chance, but it's not zero. And again, if it happens, or if we start to see it happening in other countries, you're going to see a rip up in Bitcoin that will make 2024 look pretty docile in comparison.”

「當這個最初的想法提出時，我對此有些懷疑。但幾個月過去了，它並沒有消失。事實上，我們繼續看到川普政府的領導人表示他們對此持開放態度。我仍然認為可能性不到 50%，但也不是零。再說一次，如果這種情況發生，或者如果我們開始看到這種情況在其他國家發生，你將會看到比特幣價格的上漲，相比之下，這將使 2024 年看起來相當溫順。

Hougan says that Bitcoin will be up more than 91% of its current value at the same time next year due to ‘irrepressible’ demand.

Hougan 表示，由於「不可抑制的」需求，明年同一時間比特幣的價格將上漲超過目前價值的 91%。

“We expect Bitcoin to be up above $200,000 by this time next year. There's just three irrepressible sources of demand driving the market. You have ETFs (exchange-traded funds) that are vacuuming up Bitcoin. You have public companies like MicroStrategy vacuuming up Bitcoin. And now we're talking about governments vacuuming up Bitcoin. At the end of the day it comes down to supply and demand. There's too much demand, not enough supply. And so I think the price goes higher in 2025.”

「我們預計明年這個時候比特幣將升至 20 萬美元以上。只有三個不可抑制的需求來源推動市場。您擁有正在吸收比特幣的 ETF（交易所交易基金）。像 MicroStrategy 這樣的上市公司正在吸收比特幣。現在我們正在談論政府吸走比特幣。歸根結底，這取決於供給和需求。需求太多，供應不足。所以我認為 2025 年價格會更高。

Bitcoin is trading for $104,532 at time of writing, down 2.5% in the last 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 104,532 美元，過去 24 小時內下跌 2.5%。