比特幣在市場不確定性中掙扎，山寨幣關注潛在上漲空間

在潛在大幅下跌的邊緣，比特幣(BTC) 4 月下跌了12%，暗示可能出現2022 年11 月以來最差的月度表現。月份，記錄顯示，過去三年月度收盤為負數。交易員普遍保持謹慎態度，從現貨比特幣交易所交易基金連續三天出現淨流出就可以看出這一點。然而，以太幣（ETH）和噸幣（TON）等精選山寨幣可能會顯示出復甦的跡象，在市場波動中提供潛在的機會。

Bitcoin Struggles to Regain Footing Amidst Market Uncertainty, Altcoins Poised for Potential Upswing

比特幣在市場不確定性中努力重新站穩腳跟，山寨幣有望上漲

Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a downward trajectory in April, with a decline of approximately 12%. Should the bears continue to dominate, April will mark the worst month for Bitcoin since November 2022, according to data from CoinGlass. Moreover, Bitcoin bulls may face continued challenges in May, as the month has historically produced negative monthly closes for the past three years.

比特幣（BTC）在 4 月一直處於下行軌道，跌幅約 12%。 CoinGlass 的數據顯示，如果空頭繼續佔據主導地位，4 月將成為比特幣自 2022 年 11 月以來最糟糕的一個月。此外，比特幣多頭可能在 5 月面臨持續的挑戰，因為過去三年該月的月度收盤價歷來都是負值。

The near-term uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price has led to net outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for three consecutive days starting April 24, as per data from Farside Investors. This suggests that traders are exercising caution, waiting for Bitcoin to resume its upward momentum before making further purchases.

根據 Farside Investors 的數據，圍繞比特幣價格的近期不確定性導致現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 自 4 月 24 日起連續三天出現淨流出。這表明交易者正在謹慎行事，等待比特幣恢復上漲勢頭，然後再進行進一步購買。

While Bitcoin grapples with direction, select altcoins may emerge as potential performers. Analysts from crypto analytics platform Santiment have observed a decline in Ethereum's network gas fees to a six-month low, indicating "a lack of demand and strain on the network." This suggests the possibility of a market bottom, which could trigger a potential turnaround in Ether (ETH) and associated altcoins "sooner than many may expect."

雖然比特幣正在努力尋找方向，但某些山寨幣可能會成為潛在的表現者。加密分析平台 Santiment 的分析師觀察到，以太坊的網路 Gas 費用下降至六個月低點，這表明「網路缺乏需求和壓力」。這表明市場有可能觸底，這可能會引發以太坊（ETH）和相關山寨幣的潛在好轉，「比許多人預期的要早」。

To determine the crucial support levels for Bitcoin and altcoins, let's analyze the technical charts:

為了確定比特幣和山寨幣的關鍵支撐位，讓我們來分析一下技術圖表：

S&P 500 Index Price Analysis:

標普 500 指數價格分析：

The S&P 500 Index has been trading below its moving averages in recent days, but bears have failed to capitalize on this advantage, demonstrating strong buying support at lower levels.

最近幾天，標準普爾 500 指數一直低於其移動平均線，但空頭未能利用這一優勢，顯示出較低水平的強勁買盤支撐。

If the index rises above the moving averages, it could rally to 5,200 and potentially retest its all-time high at 5,265. However, bears are anticipated to fiercely defend these levels. Conversely, a sharp downturn from the moving averages could signal bearish control, potentially leading to declines toward 4,990 and 4,953. A break below this support could further drag the index to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 4,821.

如果該指數升破移動平均線，可能會反彈至 5,200 點，並有可能重新測試 5,265 點的歷史高點。然而，預計空頭將激烈捍衛這些水平。相反，移動平均線的急劇下滑可能預示著看跌控制，可能導致跌向 4,990 點和 4,953 點。跌破該支撐位可能會進一步拖累指數至 38.2% 斐波那契回檔位 4,821 點。

U.S. Dollar Index Price Analysis:

美元指數價格分析：

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trending within an ascending channel pattern, indicating an upward movement.

美元指數（DXY）一直處於上升通道模式內，顯示上漲趨勢。

The index initially declined from the channel's resistance line on April 17, reaching the 20-day exponential moving average ($105). A subsequent rebound from this level failed to sustain momentum, highlighting selling pressure on relief rallies.

該指數最初從 4 月 17 日的通道阻力線下跌，觸及 20 日指數移動平均線（105 美元）。隨後從該水平的反彈未能維持勢頭，凸顯了緩解反彈的拋售壓力。

Should the 20-day EMA give way, it would shift the short-term advantage in favor of the bears. DXY could potentially continue trading within the channel, potentially sliding toward the 50-day simple moving average (104) and the support line.

如果 20 日均線屈服，短期優勢將轉向空頭。 DXY 可能會繼續在該通道內交易，並有可能滑向 50 日簡單移動平均線 (104) 和支撐線。

Bitcoin Price Analysis:

比特幣價格分析：

Bitcoin has been gradually descending toward the critical support level of $59,600, where bulls are poised to mount a robust defense.

比特幣已逐漸跌向 59,600 美元的關鍵支撐位，多頭準備在該支撐位進行強有力的防禦。

A sharp reversal from this support level would indicate that the bulls are unwilling to surrender without a fight. BTC/USDT could then advance toward the 20-day EMA ($64,897) and eventually the 50-day SMA ($67,091). A breakout above this level would pave the way for a potential retest of $73,777.

從該支撐位急劇反轉將顯示多頭不願不戰而降。然後，BTC/USDT 可能會升至 20 日均線（64,897 美元），並最終升至 50 日均線（67,091 美元）。突破該水平將為重新測試 73,777 美元鋪平道路。

However, this optimistic outlook could be compromised in the short term if the price continues to decline and breaches $59,600. This could intensify the selling pressure, potentially propelling the pair toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

然而，如果價格繼續下跌並突破 59,600 美元，這種樂觀前景可能會在短期內受到損害。這可能會加劇拋售壓力，有可能推動該貨幣對升至 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位 54,298 美元。

Ether Price Analysis:

以太幣價格分析：

Ether briefly rose above the 20-day EMA ($3,214) on April 27, but bulls were unable to overcome the resistance at the 50-day SMA ($3,397).

4 月 27 日，以太幣短暫升至 20 日均線（3,214 美元）上方，但多頭未能克服 50 日均線（3,397 美元）的阻力。

The subsequent decline from this resistance level suggests that bears are actively selling on every minor relief rally. ETH/USDT could potentially drop to $3,056. If the price rebounds convincingly from this level, it would indicate bullish intentions to establish $3,056 as support. In this scenario, bulls would make another attempt to drive the price above the 50-day SMA.

隨後從該阻力位的下跌表明空頭在每次小幅緩解反彈時積極拋售。 ETH/USDT 可能會跌至 3,056 美元。如果價格從該水平令人信服地反彈，則表明看漲意圖將 3,056 美元作為支撐位。在這種情況下，多頭將再次嘗試將價格推至 50 日移動平均線上方。

Alternatively, a price breakdown below $3,056 would signal continued bearish dominance. The pair could then plunge toward the pivotal support at $2,850.

或者，價格跌破 3,056 美元將表明看跌繼續佔據主導地位。隨後該貨幣對可能會跌向 2,850 美元的關鍵支撐位。

BNB Price Analysis:

BNB價格分析：

BNB (BNB) has retreated toward its moving averages, a crucial support zone for bulls to defend if they aim to maintain their advantage.

BNB (BNB) 已回落至移動平均線，如果多頭希望保持優勢，則該區域是多頭需要防守的關鍵支撐區域。

A breakdown below the moving averages would indicate that bears are aggressively guarding the overhead resistance at $635. BNB/USDT could then descend further toward the strong support at $495.

跌破移動平均線將表明空頭正在積極防守 635 美元的上方阻力位。 BNB/USDT 隨後可能進一步下跌至 495 美元的強勁支撐位。

In contrast, a rebound from the moving averages would suggest a shift in sentiment toward bullishness and a willingness to buy on dips. This would increase the likelihood of a price surge above $635, potentially leading to an upward move toward $692.

相比之下，移動平均線的反彈將表明情緒轉向看漲並願意逢低買入。這將增加價格飆升至 635 美元以上的可能性，並可能導致價格上漲至 692 美元。

Solana Price Analysis:

Solana 價格分析：

Solana (SOL) has continued its downward trajectory and is poised to dip toward the key support level at $126. Buyers are expected to vigorously defend this level.

Solana (SOL) 繼續其下行軌跡，並準備跌向 126 美元的關鍵支撐位。預計買家將積極捍衛這一水平。

A powerful rebound from $126 would demonstrate solid buying interest at lower levels. SOL/USDT could then potentially recover to the 20-day EMA ($149). A reversal from this level would enhance the probability of a plunge below $126.

從 126 美元強勁反彈將表明較低的強勁買盤興趣。 SOL/USDT 隨後可能恢復至 20 日均線（149 美元）。從該水平反轉將增加跌破 126 美元的可能性。

Alternatively, a price breakout above the 20-day EMA would suggest the possibility of the pair extending its consolidation within the $126 to $162 range. The next directional move may commence upon a break above $162 or below $126.

或者，如果價格突破 20 日均線，則表示該貨幣對有可能在 126 美元至 162 美元區間內延續盤整。一旦突破 162 美元或低於 126 美元，下一次定向走勢可能會開始。

XRP Price Analysis:

瑞波幣價格分析：

XRP (XRP) slipped beneath the uptrend line on April 27, signaling that bears are attempting to consolidate their position.

XRP (XRP) 於 4 月 27 日跌破上升趨勢線，顯示空頭正試圖鞏固其地位。

The declining 20-day EMA ($0.53) and the negative RSI indicate that bears hold the upper hand. XRP/USDT could potentially descend toward the strong support zone ranging between $0.46 and $0.41. Bulls are likely to fiercely defend this area, as a breach below it could send the pair plummeting to $0.35.

不斷下降的 20 日均線（0.53 美元）和負 RSI 表明空頭佔上風。 XRP/USDT 可能會跌向 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元之間的強支撐區域。多頭可能會激烈捍衛該區域，因為跌破該區域可能導致該貨幣對暴跌至 0.35 美元。

Conversely, an increase in price that surmounts the 20-day EMA would suggest a potential bullish comeback. The buyers would gain momentum upon a breakout and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.58).

相反，如果價格上漲超過 20 日均線，則表示潛在的看漲捲土重來。一旦突破並收於 50 日移動平均線（0.58 美元）上方，買家將獲得動力。

Toncoin Price Analysis:

Toncoin價格分析：

Toncoin (TON) experienced a brief recovery from the 50-day SMA ($5.27) on April 27, but the corrective rally failed to reach the 20-day EMA ($5.70). This indicates persistent selling pressure on any minor upward movements.

Toncoin (TON) 於 4 月 27 日經歷了從 50 日均線（5.27 美元）的短暫反彈，但修正反彈未能達到 20 日均線（5.70 美元）。這表明任何小幅上漲都會持續面臨拋售壓力。

A continued decline that breaches the 50-day SMA would mark the initiation of the next leg of the downtrend. TON/USDT could potentially plunge toward $4.7 and subsequently $4.50.

持續下跌並突破 50 日移動平均線將標誌著下一階段下跌趨勢的開始。 TON/USDT 可能會跌至 4.7 美元，隨後跌至 4.50 美元。

However, bulls are likely to have alternative plans. They will aim to propel the price above the 20-day EMA to signal a potential reversal. The pair could then ascend to the channel's support line, where bears are anticipated to mount strong resistance. A successful突破into the channel would suggest that the corrective phase may have concluded.

然而，多頭可能有替代方案。他們的目標是推動價格突破 20 日均線，以發出潛在逆轉的信號。隨後，該貨幣對可能會升至該通道的支撐線，預計空頭將在該支撐線形成強大的阻力。成功突破該頻道將表示修正階段可能已經結束。

Dogecoin Price Analysis:

狗狗幣價格分析：

Dogecoin (DOGE) broke below the symmetrical triangle pattern on April 27, indicating that bears have gained control over the bulls.

狗狗幣（DOGE）於 4 月 27 日跌破對稱三角形形態，顯示空頭已經控制了多頭。

DOGE/USDT could potentially decline toward the robust support at $0.12, where bulls are expected to intervene. A weak recovery from this level would increase the likelihood of a price breakdown. In this scenario, the pair could plummet to $0.08.

DOGE/USDT 可能會跌向 0.12 美元的強勁支撐位，預計多頭將介入。從該水平的疲軟復甦將增加價格崩潰的可能性。在這種情況下，該貨幣對可能會暴跌至 0.08 美元。

On the upside, the zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.16) and the downtrend line is anticipated to present significant resistance. Buyers must overcome this obstacle to signal a potential end to the downtrend.

從好的方面來看，20 日均線（0.16 美元）和下降趨勢線之間的區域預計將出現重大阻力。買家必須克服這一障礙，以發出下跌趨勢可能結束的訊號。

Cardano Price Analysis:

卡爾達諾價格分析：

Cardano (ADA) has slipped below the critical support level of $0.46, indicating persistent bearish pressure.

卡爾達諾（ADA）已跌破 0.46 美元的關鍵支撐位，表明持續的看跌壓力。

The downsloping moving averages and the negative RSI suggest that the path of least resistance is downward. If the price remains beneath $0.46, ADA/USDT could descend to $0.40.

向下傾斜的移動平均線和負 RSI 表示阻力最小的路徑是向下。如果價格保持在 0.46 美元以下，ADA/USDT 可能會跌至 0.40 美元。

This bearish outlook could be invalidated in the short term if the price surges and surpasses $0.52. This could propel the price to the 50-day SMA ($0.58), where bears may once again pose a challenging obstacle.

如果價格飆升並超過 0.52 美元，這種看跌前景可能會在短期內失效。這可能會將價格推向 50 日移動平均線（0.58 美元），空頭可能會再次構成具有挑戰性的障礙。

Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trading operations involve risk, and users should always conduct thorough research before making any decisions.

免責聲明：本文不提供投資建議或推薦。所有投資和交易操作均涉及風險，用戶在做出任何決定之前應始終進行徹底的研究。