比特币在市场不确定性中挣扎，山寨币关注潜在上涨空间

在潜在大幅下跌的边缘，比特币 (BTC) 4 月份下跌了 12%，暗示可能出现 2022 年 11 月以来最差的月度表现。不确定性迫在眉睫，因为 5 月份历来对 BTC 来说是充满挑战的月份，记录显示，过去三年月度收盘为负数。交易员普遍保持谨慎态度，从现货比特币交易所交易基金连续三天出现净流出就可以看出这一点。然而，以太币（ETH）和吨币（TON）等精选山寨币可能会显示出复苏的迹象，在市场波动中提供潜在的机会。

Bitcoin Struggles to Regain Footing Amidst Market Uncertainty, Altcoins Poised for Potential Upswing

比特币在市场不确定性中努力重新站稳脚跟，山寨币有望上涨

Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a downward trajectory in April, with a decline of approximately 12%. Should the bears continue to dominate, April will mark the worst month for Bitcoin since November 2022, according to data from CoinGlass. Moreover, Bitcoin bulls may face continued challenges in May, as the month has historically produced negative monthly closes for the past three years.

比特币（BTC）在 4 月份一直处于下行轨道，跌幅约为 12%。 CoinGlass 的数据显示，如果空头继续占据主导地位，4 月将成为比特币自 2022 年 11 月以来最糟糕的一个月。此外，比特币多头可能在 5 月份面临持续的挑战，因为过去三年该月的月度收盘价历来都是负值。

The near-term uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price has led to net outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for three consecutive days starting April 24, as per data from Farside Investors. This suggests that traders are exercising caution, waiting for Bitcoin to resume its upward momentum before making further purchases.

根据 Farside Investors 的数据，围绕比特币价格的近期不确定性导致现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 自 4 月 24 日起连续三天出现净流出。这表明交易者正在谨慎行事，等待比特币恢复上涨势头，然后再进行进一步购买。

While Bitcoin grapples with direction, select altcoins may emerge as potential performers. Analysts from crypto analytics platform Santiment have observed a decline in Ethereum's network gas fees to a six-month low, indicating "a lack of demand and strain on the network." This suggests the possibility of a market bottom, which could trigger a potential turnaround in Ether (ETH) and associated altcoins "sooner than many may expect."

虽然比特币正在努力寻找方向，但某些山寨币可能会成为潜在的表现者。加密分析平台 Santiment 的分析师观察到，以太坊的网络 Gas 费用下降至六个月低点，这表明“网络缺乏需求和压力”。这表明市场有可能触底，这可能会引发以太坊（ETH）和相关山寨币的潜在好转，“比许多人预期的要早”。

To determine the crucial support levels for Bitcoin and altcoins, let's analyze the technical charts:

为了确定比特币和山寨币的关键支撑位，让我们分析一下技术图表：

S&P 500 Index Price Analysis:

标准普尔 500 指数价格分析：

The S&P 500 Index has been trading below its moving averages in recent days, but bears have failed to capitalize on this advantage, demonstrating strong buying support at lower levels.

最近几天，标准普尔 500 指数一直低于其移动平均线，但空头未能利用这一优势，显示出较低水平的强劲买盘支撑。

If the index rises above the moving averages, it could rally to 5,200 and potentially retest its all-time high at 5,265. However, bears are anticipated to fiercely defend these levels. Conversely, a sharp downturn from the moving averages could signal bearish control, potentially leading to declines toward 4,990 and 4,953. A break below this support could further drag the index to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 4,821.

如果该指数升破移动平均线，可能会反弹至 5,200 点，并有可能重新测试 5,265 点的历史高点。然而，预计空头将激烈捍卫这些水平。相反，移动平均线的急剧下滑可能预示着看跌控制，可能导致跌向 4,990 点和 4,953 点。跌破该支撑位可能会进一步拖累该指数至 38.2% 斐波那契回撤位 4,821 点。

U.S. Dollar Index Price Analysis:

美元指数价格分析：

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trending within an ascending channel pattern, indicating an upward movement.

美元指数（DXY）一直处于上升通道模式内，表明上涨趋势。

The index initially declined from the channel's resistance line on April 17, reaching the 20-day exponential moving average ($105). A subsequent rebound from this level failed to sustain momentum, highlighting selling pressure on relief rallies.

该指数最初从 4 月 17 日的通道阻力线下跌，触及 20 日指数移动平均线（105 美元）。随后从该水平的反弹未能维持势头，凸显了缓解反弹的抛售压力。

Should the 20-day EMA give way, it would shift the short-term advantage in favor of the bears. DXY could potentially continue trading within the channel, potentially sliding toward the 50-day simple moving average (104) and the support line.

如果 20 日均线屈服，短期优势将转向空头。 DXY 可能会继续在该通道内交易，并有可能滑向 50 日简单移动平均线 (104) 和支撑线。

Bitcoin Price Analysis:

比特币价格分析：

Bitcoin has been gradually descending toward the critical support level of $59,600, where bulls are poised to mount a robust defense.

比特币已逐渐跌向 59,600 美元的关键支撑位，多头准备在该支撑位进行强有力的防御。

A sharp reversal from this support level would indicate that the bulls are unwilling to surrender without a fight. BTC/USDT could then advance toward the 20-day EMA ($64,897) and eventually the 50-day SMA ($67,091). A breakout above this level would pave the way for a potential retest of $73,777.

从该支撑位急剧反转将表明多头不愿不战而降。然后，BTC/USDT 可能会升至 20 日均线（64,897 美元），并最终升至 50 日均线（67,091 美元）。突破该水平将为重新测试 73,777 美元铺平道路。

However, this optimistic outlook could be compromised in the short term if the price continues to decline and breaches $59,600. This could intensify the selling pressure, potentially propelling the pair toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

然而，如果价格继续下跌并突破 59,600 美元，这种乐观前景可能会在短期内受到损害。这可能会加剧抛售压力，有可能推动该货币对升至 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元。

Ether Price Analysis:

以太币价格分析：

Ether briefly rose above the 20-day EMA ($3,214) on April 27, but bulls were unable to overcome the resistance at the 50-day SMA ($3,397).

4 月 27 日，以太币短暂升至 20 日均线（3,214 美元）上方，但多头未能克服 50 日均线（3,397 美元）的阻力。

The subsequent decline from this resistance level suggests that bears are actively selling on every minor relief rally. ETH/USDT could potentially drop to $3,056. If the price rebounds convincingly from this level, it would indicate bullish intentions to establish $3,056 as support. In this scenario, bulls would make another attempt to drive the price above the 50-day SMA.

随后从该阻力位的下跌表明空头在每次小幅缓解反弹时积极抛售。 ETH/USDT 可能会跌至 3,056 美元。如果价格从该水平令人信服地反弹，则表明看涨意图将 3,056 美元作为支撑位。在这种情况下，多头将再次尝试将价格推至 50 日移动平均线上方。

Alternatively, a price breakdown below $3,056 would signal continued bearish dominance. The pair could then plunge toward the pivotal support at $2,850.

或者，价格跌破 3,056 美元将表明看跌继续占据主导地位。随后该货币对可能会跌向 2,850 美元的关键支撑位。

BNB Price Analysis:

BNB价格分析：

BNB (BNB) has retreated toward its moving averages, a crucial support zone for bulls to defend if they aim to maintain their advantage.

BNB (BNB) 已回落至移动平均线，如果多头希望保持优势，则该区域是多头需要防守的关键支撑区域。

A breakdown below the moving averages would indicate that bears are aggressively guarding the overhead resistance at $635. BNB/USDT could then descend further toward the strong support at $495.

跌破移动平均线将表明空头正在积极防守 635 美元的上方阻力位。 BNB/USDT 随后可能进一步下跌至 495 美元的强劲支撑位。

In contrast, a rebound from the moving averages would suggest a shift in sentiment toward bullishness and a willingness to buy on dips. This would increase the likelihood of a price surge above $635, potentially leading to an upward move toward $692.

相比之下，移动平均线的反弹将表明情绪转向看涨并愿意逢低买入。这将增加价格飙升至 635 美元以上的可能性，并可能导致价格上涨至 692 美元。

Solana Price Analysis:

Solana 价格分析：

Solana (SOL) has continued its downward trajectory and is poised to dip toward the key support level at $126. Buyers are expected to vigorously defend this level.

Solana (SOL) 继续其下行轨迹，并准备跌向 126 美元的关键支撑位。预计买家将积极捍卫这一水平。

A powerful rebound from $126 would demonstrate solid buying interest at lower levels. SOL/USDT could then potentially recover to the 20-day EMA ($149). A reversal from this level would enhance the probability of a plunge below $126.

从 126 美元强劲反弹将表明较低水平的强劲买盘兴趣。 SOL/USDT 随后可能恢复至 20 日均线（149 美元）。从该水平反转将增加跌破 126 美元的可能性。

Alternatively, a price breakout above the 20-day EMA would suggest the possibility of the pair extending its consolidation within the $126 to $162 range. The next directional move may commence upon a break above $162 or below $126.

或者，如果价格突破 20 日均线，则表明该货币对有可能在 126 美元至 162 美元区间内延续盘整。一旦突破 162 美元或低于 126 美元，下一次定向走势可能会开始。

XRP Price Analysis:

瑞波币价格分析：

XRP (XRP) slipped beneath the uptrend line on April 27, signaling that bears are attempting to consolidate their position.

XRP (XRP) 于 4 月 27 日跌破上升趋势线，表明空头正试图巩固其地位。

The declining 20-day EMA ($0.53) and the negative RSI indicate that bears hold the upper hand. XRP/USDT could potentially descend toward the strong support zone ranging between $0.46 and $0.41. Bulls are likely to fiercely defend this area, as a breach below it could send the pair plummeting to $0.35.

不断下降的 20 日均线（0.53 美元）和负 RSI 表明空头占据上风。 XRP/USDT 可能会跌向 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元之间的强支撑区域。多头可能会激烈捍卫该区域，因为跌破该区域可能导致该货币对暴跌至 0.35 美元。

Conversely, an increase in price that surmounts the 20-day EMA would suggest a potential bullish comeback. The buyers would gain momentum upon a breakout and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.58).

相反，如果价格上涨超过 20 日均线，则表明潜在的看涨卷土重来。一旦突破并收于 50 日移动平均线（0.58 美元）上方，买家将获得动力。

Toncoin Price Analysis:

Toncoin价格分析：

Toncoin (TON) experienced a brief recovery from the 50-day SMA ($5.27) on April 27, but the corrective rally failed to reach the 20-day EMA ($5.70). This indicates persistent selling pressure on any minor upward movements.

Toncoin (TON) 于 4 月 27 日经历了从 50 日均线（5.27 美元）的短暂反弹，但修正反弹未能达到 20 日均线（5.70 美元）。这表明任何小幅上涨都会持续面临抛售压力。

A continued decline that breaches the 50-day SMA would mark the initiation of the next leg of the downtrend. TON/USDT could potentially plunge toward $4.7 and subsequently $4.50.

持续下跌并突破 50 日移动平均线将标志着下一阶段下跌趋势的开始。 TON/USDT 可能会跌至 4.7 美元，随后跌至 4.50 美元。

However, bulls are likely to have alternative plans. They will aim to propel the price above the 20-day EMA to signal a potential reversal. The pair could then ascend to the channel's support line, where bears are anticipated to mount strong resistance. A successful突破into the channel would suggest that the corrective phase may have concluded.

然而，多头可能有替代计划。他们的目标是推动价格突破 20 日均线，以发出潜在逆转的信号。随后，该货币对可能会升至该通道的支撑线，预计空头将在该支撑线处形成强大的阻力。成功突破该通道将表明修正阶段可能已经结束。

Dogecoin Price Analysis:

狗狗币价格分析：

Dogecoin (DOGE) broke below the symmetrical triangle pattern on April 27, indicating that bears have gained control over the bulls.

狗狗币（DOGE）于 4 月 27 日跌破对称三角形形态，表明空头已经控制了多头。

DOGE/USDT could potentially decline toward the robust support at $0.12, where bulls are expected to intervene. A weak recovery from this level would increase the likelihood of a price breakdown. In this scenario, the pair could plummet to $0.08.

DOGE/USDT 可能会跌向 0.12 美元的强劲支撑位，预计多头将介入。从该水平的疲软复苏将增加价格崩溃的可能性。在这种情况下，该货币对可能会暴跌至 0.08 美元。

On the upside, the zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.16) and the downtrend line is anticipated to present significant resistance. Buyers must overcome this obstacle to signal a potential end to the downtrend.

从好的方面来看，20 日均线（0.16 美元）和下降趋势线之间的区域预计将出现重大阻力。买家必须克服这一障碍，以发出下跌趋势可能结束的信号。

Cardano Price Analysis:

卡尔达诺价格分析：

Cardano (ADA) has slipped below the critical support level of $0.46, indicating persistent bearish pressure.

卡尔达诺（ADA）已跌破 0.46 美元的关键支撑位，表明持续的看跌压力。

The downsloping moving averages and the negative RSI suggest that the path of least resistance is downward. If the price remains beneath $0.46, ADA/USDT could descend to $0.40.

向下倾斜的移动平均线和负 RSI 表明阻力最小的路径是向下。如果价格保持在 0.46 美元以下，ADA/USDT 可能会跌至 0.40 美元。

This bearish outlook could be invalidated in the short term if the price surges and surpasses $0.52. This could propel the price to the 50-day SMA ($0.58), where bears may once again pose a challenging obstacle.

如果价格飙升并超过 0.52 美元，这种看跌前景可能会在短期内失效。这可能会将价格推向 50 日移动平均线（0.58 美元），空头可能会再次构成具有挑战性的障碍。

Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trading operations involve risk, and users should always conduct thorough research before making any decisions.

免责声明：本文不提供投资建议或推荐。所有投资和交易操作均涉及风险，用户在做出任何决定之前应始终进行彻底的研究。