在 ETF 繁榮和避險需求的推動下，比特幣將在 2024 年飆升

在 BTC 現貨 ETF 的推出及其作為價值儲存手段的推動下，比特幣 (BTC) 在 2024 年飆升。專家預測，由於持續的通貨膨脹和不可持續的預算赤字，對比特幣的需求將持續成長。潛在目標範圍在 100,000 美元到 200,000 美元之間，ETF 的引入提高了可訪問性和穩定性。然而，由於需求隨著 ETF 流入和流出而波動，預計會出現波動。

Bitcoin's Meteoric Rise in 2024: Driven by Spot ETFs and Store of Value Status

比特幣在 2024 年迅速崛起：由現貨 ETF 和價值儲存狀態推動

Since its inception, Bitcoin (BTC) has consistently captured the attention of investors and garnered significant media coverage. This year, BTC's trajectory has been particularly noteworthy, with its price experiencing a remarkable surge throughout 2024. This upward trend has been attributed to a confluence of factors, including the launch of several spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the asset's fundamental role as a store of value.

自誕生以來，比特幣（BTC）一直吸引投資者的注意並獲得大量媒體報導。今年，比特幣的走勢尤其值得注意，其價格在2024 年經歷了顯著飆升。以及該資產的基本面作為價值儲存手段的角色。

ETFs: A Catalyst for Wider Adoption

ETF：更廣泛採用的催化劑

The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States has had a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market, making crypto investments more accessible and appealing to a broader audience. These investment products have provided a new avenue for investors who may have been hesitant to hold BTC in self-custody. Additionally, ETFs serve as a hedge against devaluing fiat currencies, attracting investors seeking protection against inflation.

美國推出現貨比特幣 ETF 對加密貨幣市場產生了深遠影響，使加密貨幣投資變得更容易並吸引了更廣泛的受眾。這些投資產品為那些可能對自我託管持有 BTC 猶豫不決的投資者提供了新的途徑。此外，ETF 還可作為法定貨幣貶值的對沖工具，吸引尋求抵禦通膨風險的投資者。

Store of Value: A Safe Haven Amidst Uncertainty

價值儲存：不確定性中的避風港

Bitcoin's inherent qualities as a store of value have also contributed to its price increase. In a time of persistent inflation and unsustainable budget deficits, as suggested by Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl, investors have sought refuge in assets that can preserve their purchasing power. Bitcoin, with its limited supply and decentralized nature, has emerged as a compelling option for those seeking a safe haven amidst economic uncertainty.

比特幣作為價值儲存手段的固有品質也促進了其價格上漲。正如灰階研究總監 Zach Pandl所建議的那樣，在持續通貨膨脹和不可持續的預算赤字時期，投資者尋求能夠保持購買力的資產作為避難所。比特幣以其有限的供應和去中心化的性質，對於那些在經濟不確定性中尋求​​避風港的人來說已經成為一個令人信服的選擇。

Expert Predictions: Optimism Prevails

專家預測：樂觀情緒佔上風

Industry experts have expressed optimism regarding Bitcoin's future value. Jupiter Zheng, a partner at HashKey Capital's liquid fund, predicts that BTC could potentially hit $200,000 by the end of the year. Zheng's analysis suggests a low prediction of $100,000, a medium prediction of $140,000, and a high prediction of $200,000.

產業專家對比特幣的未來價值表示樂觀。 HashKey Capital流動基金合夥人Jupiter Cheng預計，到今年年底，比特幣的價格可能會達到20萬美元。鄭的分析表明，低預測為 10 萬美元，中預測為 14 萬美元，高預測為 20 萬美元。

Renowned venture capitalist Tim Draper has also joined the chorus of bullish voices, predicting that BTC will triple in value in 2024. Draper cites the inflows into ETFs and the impact of the Bitcoin halving as key factors driving this expected surge.

著名創投家 Tim Draper 也加入了看漲的行列，預測 BTC 的價值將在 2024 年增長兩倍。

Volatility: A Double-Edged Sword

波動性：一把雙面刃

While the positive impact of ETFs on the cryptocurrency market is undeniable, it has also introduced an element of volatility to crypto prices due to fluctuating demand. This volatility suggests that the market is adjusting to new supply and demand dynamics, particularly with the global introduction of spot ETFs. However, experts believe that the long-term impact of ETFs will be positive, leading to more stable growth and integration into mainstream investment portfolios.

雖然 ETF 對加密貨幣市場的正面影響是不可否認的，但由於需求波動，它也為加密貨幣價格帶來了波動因素。這種波動表明市場正在適應新的供需動態，特別是在全球推出現貨 ETF 的情況下。然而，專家認為ETF的長期影響將是正面的，導致更穩定的成長並融入主流投資組合。

Halving Event: A Potential Catalyst

減半事件：潛在的催化劑

The upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled for 2024, is another factor expected to influence BTC's price. Historically, halving events, which occur every four years, have been associated with significant price increases. This is because the halving reduces the supply of new BTC entering the market, potentially creating an imbalance between demand and supply.

即將到來的比特幣減半（定於 2024 年）是預計影響 BTC 價格的另一個因素。從歷史上看，每四年發生一次的減半事件與價格大幅上漲有關。這是因為減半減少了進入市場的新比特幣供應量，可能會造成供需失衡。

Conclusion: A Promising Outlook

結論：前景光明

While predicting the precise value of BTC by the end of 2024 is inherently challenging, there is consensus among experts that its price is likely to see an upward trajectory throughout the year. These predictions are based on the expectation of high inflows in Bitcoin ETFs, the asset's quality as a store of value, and the current macroeconomic conditions. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.

雖然預測 2024 年底 BTC 的精確價值本身就具有挑戰性，但專家們一致認為，其價格可能會在全年呈現上漲趨勢。這些預測是基於比特幣 ETF 大量流入的預期、該資產作為價值儲存手段的品質以及當前的宏觀經濟狀況。投資者在做出任何投資決定之前應自行研究並諮詢金融專業人士。