在 ETF 繁荣和避险需求的推动下，比特币将在 2024 年飙升

在 BTC 现货 ETF 的推出及其作为价值储存手段的推动下，比特币 (BTC) 在 2024 年飙升。专家预测，由于持续的通货膨胀和不可持续的预算赤字，对比特币的需求将持续增长。潜在目标范围在 100,000 美元到 200,000 美元之间，ETF 的引入提高了可访问性和稳定性。然而，由于需求随着 ETF 流入和流出而波动，预计会出现波动。

Bitcoin's Meteoric Rise in 2024: Driven by Spot ETFs and Store of Value Status

比特币在 2024 年迅速崛起：由现货 ETF 和价值储存状态推动

Since its inception, Bitcoin (BTC) has consistently captured the attention of investors and garnered significant media coverage. This year, BTC's trajectory has been particularly noteworthy, with its price experiencing a remarkable surge throughout 2024. This upward trend has been attributed to a confluence of factors, including the launch of several spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the asset's fundamental role as a store of value.

自诞生以来，比特币（BTC）一直吸引投资者的关注并获得大量媒体报道。今年，比特币的走势尤其值得注意，其价格在 2024 年经历了显着飙升。这种上涨趋势归因于多种因素的综合作用，包括多个现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的推出以及该资产的基本面作为价值储存手段的角色。

ETFs: A Catalyst for Wider Adoption

ETF：更广泛采用的催化剂

The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States has had a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market, making crypto investments more accessible and appealing to a broader audience. These investment products have provided a new avenue for investors who may have been hesitant to hold BTC in self-custody. Additionally, ETFs serve as a hedge against devaluing fiat currencies, attracting investors seeking protection against inflation.

美国推出现货比特币 ETF 对加密货币市场产生了深远影响，使加密货币投资变得更容易并吸引了更广泛的受众。这些投资产品为那些可能对自我托管持有 BTC 犹豫不决的投资者提供了新的途径。此外，ETF 还可作为法定货币贬值的对冲工具，吸引寻求抵御通胀风险的投资者。

Store of Value: A Safe Haven Amidst Uncertainty

价值储存：不确定性中的避风港

Bitcoin's inherent qualities as a store of value have also contributed to its price increase. In a time of persistent inflation and unsustainable budget deficits, as suggested by Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl, investors have sought refuge in assets that can preserve their purchasing power. Bitcoin, with its limited supply and decentralized nature, has emerged as a compelling option for those seeking a safe haven amidst economic uncertainty.

比特币作为价值储存手段的固有品质也促进了其价格上涨。正如灰度研究总监扎克·潘德尔（Zach Pandl）所建议的那样，在持续通货膨胀和不可持续的预算赤字时期，投资者寻求能够保持购买力的资产作为避难所。比特币以其有限的供应和去中心化的性质，对于那些在经济不确定性中寻求避风港的人来说已经成为一个令人信服的选择。

Expert Predictions: Optimism Prevails

专家预测：乐观情绪占上风

Industry experts have expressed optimism regarding Bitcoin's future value. Jupiter Zheng, a partner at HashKey Capital's liquid fund, predicts that BTC could potentially hit $200,000 by the end of the year. Zheng's analysis suggests a low prediction of $100,000, a medium prediction of $140,000, and a high prediction of $200,000.

行业专家对比特币的未来价值表示乐观。 HashKey Capital流动基金合伙人Jupiter Cheng预计，到今年年底，比特币的价格可能会达到20万美元。郑的分析表明，低预测为 100,000 美元，中预测为 140,000 美元，高预测为 200,000 美元。

Renowned venture capitalist Tim Draper has also joined the chorus of bullish voices, predicting that BTC will triple in value in 2024. Draper cites the inflows into ETFs and the impact of the Bitcoin halving as key factors driving this expected surge.

著名风险投资家 Tim Draper 也加入了看涨的行列，预测 BTC 的价值将在 2024 年增长两倍。Draper 指出，ETF 的资金流入以及比特币减半的影响是推动这一预期飙升的关键因素。

Volatility: A Double-Edged Sword

波动性：一把双刃剑

While the positive impact of ETFs on the cryptocurrency market is undeniable, it has also introduced an element of volatility to crypto prices due to fluctuating demand. This volatility suggests that the market is adjusting to new supply and demand dynamics, particularly with the global introduction of spot ETFs. However, experts believe that the long-term impact of ETFs will be positive, leading to more stable growth and integration into mainstream investment portfolios.

虽然 ETF 对加密货币市场的积极影响是不可否认的，但由于需求波动，它也给加密货币价格带来了波动因素。这种波动表明市场正在适应新的供需动态，特别是在全球推出现货 ETF 的情况下。然而，专家认为ETF的长期影响将是积极的，导致更稳定的增长并融入主流投资组合。

Halving Event: A Potential Catalyst

减半事件：潜在的催化剂

The upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled for 2024, is another factor expected to influence BTC's price. Historically, halving events, which occur every four years, have been associated with significant price increases. This is because the halving reduces the supply of new BTC entering the market, potentially creating an imbalance between demand and supply.

即将到来的比特币减半（定于 2024 年）是预计影响 BTC 价格的另一个因素。从历史上看，每四年发生一次的减半事件与价格大幅上涨有关。这是因为减半减少了进入市场的新比特币供应量，可能会造成供需失衡。

Conclusion: A Promising Outlook

结论：前景光明

While predicting the precise value of BTC by the end of 2024 is inherently challenging, there is consensus among experts that its price is likely to see an upward trajectory throughout the year. These predictions are based on the expectation of high inflows in Bitcoin ETFs, the asset's quality as a store of value, and the current macroeconomic conditions. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.

虽然预测 2024 年底 BTC 的精确价值本身就具有挑战性，但专家们一致认为，其价格可能会在全年呈现上涨趋势。这些预测基于比特币 ETF 大量流入的预期、该资产作为价值储存手段的质量以及当前的宏观经济状况。投资者在做出任何投资决定之前应自行研究并咨询金融专业人士。