比特幣將飆升，專家預測在供應短缺和全球現金激增的情況下將達到六位數的峰值

宏觀專家 Lyn Alden 預測，比特幣 (BTC) 的價值可能會飆升，可能達到 10 萬美元或更高。奧爾登表示，目前的供應衝擊，長期持有者不願出售，再加上全球流動性增加，為比特幣在未來幾個月上漲至六位數的價格創造了有利的環境。

Bitcoin Poised for Six-Figure Surge as Supply Crunch and Global Liquidity Surge Converge

隨著供應緊縮和全球流動性激增，比特幣有望實現六位數的飆升

Cryptocurrency expert Lyn Alden has issued a compelling case for Bitcoin (BTC) to soar to unprecedented heights, potentially breaching the coveted $100,000 mark or beyond. In a comprehensive interview with Blockworks Macro, Alden meticulously analyzed key market dynamics that point to a highly favorable trajectory for the world's leading digital asset.

加密貨幣專家 Lyn Alden 提出了一個令人信服的理由，認為比特幣 (BTC) 將飆升至前所未有的高度，有可能突破令人垂涎的 10 萬美元大關或更高。在接受 Blockworks Macro 的全面採訪時，奧登仔細分析了關鍵的市場動態，這些動態表明世界領先的數位資產的發展軌跡非常有利。

Alden's primary argument hinges on a pronounced supply squeeze in the Bitcoin market. Long-term holders, the backbone of Bitcoin's scarcity, are exhibiting a remarkable unwillingness to part with their holdings at current prices. This unwavering conviction has severely constrained the supply of available BTC, creating a significant imbalance in the face of surging demand.

奧爾登的主要論點取決於比特幣市場明顯的供應緊張。長期持有者是比特幣稀缺性的支柱，他們表現出明顯不願意以當前價格出售其持有的資產。這種堅定不移的信念嚴重限制了可用比特幣的供應，在需求激增的情況下造成了嚴重的失衡。

Compounding this supply deficit is the relentless rise in global liquidity, which has been fueled by expansionary monetary policies implemented by central banks worldwide. This tidal wave of liquidity has inflated asset prices across the board, and Bitcoin, as a liquid and highly sought-after asset, stands to benefit immensely from this tailwind.

全球流動性不斷增加，加劇了供應赤字，而全球央行實施的擴張性貨幣政策更是推動了流動性的不斷增加。這股流動性浪潮全面推高了資產價格，而比特幣作為一種流動性強且備受追捧的資產，將從這一順風車中受益匪淺。

"For Bitcoin, most indicators that I track point to being fairly mid-cycle in terms of the bull run," explained Alden. "I still think the next 18 months look favorable for the asset. Again, it tracks global liquidity pretty well."

奧爾登解釋說：“對於比特幣來說，我追蹤的大多數指標都表明牛市處於相當中期的階段。” “我仍然認為未來 18 個月對該資產有利。同樣，它很好地跟踪了全球流動性。”

Alden further emphasized the importance of on-chain indicators that provide insights into the behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders. Historically, when Bitcoin prices experience sharp increases over short periods, a portion of these long-held coins tend to be sold to meet the new demand. However, in this current market cycle, the volume of such selling has been notably lower than in previous bull runs.

奧爾登進一步強調了鏈上指標的重要性，這些指標可以洞察長期比特幣持有者的行為。從歷史上看，當比特幣價格在短期內急劇上漲時，這些長期持有的比特幣的一部分往往會被出售以滿足新的需求。然而，在當前的市場週期中，此類拋售量明顯低於先前的多頭市場。

"We've seen some of that but so far we've seen less of that in this cycle than in prior cycles," said Alden. "My expectation is there's room to run both from the liquidity side being fairly constructive. That should help demand. And I still think there has to be a higher price to unlock some of these older coins to meet that demand."

奧爾登說：“我們已經看到了其中的一些情況，但到目前為止，我們在這個週期中看到的情況比之前的周期要少。” 「我的預期是，從流動性方面來看，兩者都有相當建設性的運行空間。這應該有助於需求。而且我仍然認為，必須有更高的價格來解鎖一些舊代幣才能滿足這一需求。

Based on these compelling observations, Alden firmly believes that Bitcoin has ample room to appreciate over the next 18 months, with a strong likelihood of breaching the six-figure mark. The unique confluence of constrained supply and rising global liquidity has created a potent recipe for a significant price rally, making Bitcoin a highly enticing investment opportunity for those seeking exceptional returns.

基於這些令人信服的觀察，奧登堅信比特幣在未來 18 個月內有足夠的升值空間，很有可能突破六位數大關。供應受限和全球流動性上升的獨特結合為價格大幅上漲創造了有力的秘訣，使比特幣對於那些尋求卓越回報的人來說成為極具吸引力的投資機會。