比特幣面臨阻力，預計減半前修正

比特幣試圖重回歷史高點的努力面臨障礙，目前價格低於 7 萬美元。看跌預測顯示減半前會出現回調，分析師預測價格可能會跌至 59,000 美元、55,000 美元，甚至低至 51,000 美元至 53,000 美元。比特幣仍處於看跌區域，需要突破 68,500 美元才能看漲。現貨比特幣 ETF 的波動和資金流出導致了最近的調整，使比特幣的價格處於關鍵時刻，因為它的目標是重返 65,000 美元大關。

Bitcoin Faces Resistance, Pre-Halving Retrace Anticipated

比特幣面臨阻力，預計減半前回調

Bitcoin (BTC) has encountered obstacles in its recovery attempt, with its price currently hovering below the $70,000 mark. The asset's recent price action has prompted bearish predictions, with some market participants attributing the downturn to a pre-halving retrace.

比特幣（BTC）的復甦嘗試遇到了障礙，目前其價格徘徊在 7 萬美元大關下方。該資產最近的價格走勢引發了看跌預測，一些市場參與者將其低迷歸因於減半前的回檔。

Cryptocurrency trading expert Alan Santana, in a recent TradingView post, cautioned investors to prepare for a sell-off, citing Bitcoin's persistent bearish bias. Santana projected that Bitcoin's downward trajectory could continue over the coming days or weeks, with a potential bottom formation, accumulation, and reversal signals preceding any recovery.

加密貨幣交易專家 Alan Santana 在最近的 TradingView 貼文中警告投資者為拋售做好準備，理由是比特幣持續看跌。桑塔納預計，比特幣的下行軌跡可能會在未來幾天或幾週內持續，在任何復甦之前可能會出現底部形成、累積和逆轉訊號。

Santana noted that Bitcoin has consistently traded above the exponential moving average 21 (EMA21) daily, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. He forecasted that the next target for Bitcoin in the short term could be around $59,000, with a possible breach of this level expected. Subsequent support levels to monitor include $55,000, with a potential floor as low as $51,000-$53,000.

Santana 指出，比特幣每日交易價格始終高於 21 指數移動平均線 (EMA21)，顯示市場存在看跌情緒。他預測，比特幣短期內的下一個目標可能是 59,000 美元左右，預計可能會突破這一水平。隨後需要監控的支撐位包括 55,000 美元，潛在下限為 51,000 美元至 53,000 美元。

"It is important to remember that the initial decline could be rapid, with a potential loss of 20-30% that may not be recouped for 6-8 months," Santana warned.

桑塔納警告說：“重要的是要記住，最初的下降可能會很快，可能會損失 20-30%，而且可能在 6-8 個月內無法彌補。”

Examining Bitcoin's short-term trendlines, Santana observed that the cryptocurrency remains confined within a bearish territory, indicating a prevailing negative sentiment among traders. For a shift towards bullish momentum, Bitcoin would need to surpass and close above $68,500, with a preliminary positive indication being a move above $66,666.

桑塔納在審視比特幣的短期趨勢線時發現，該加密貨幣仍被限制在看跌區域內，這表明交易者普遍存在負面情緒。要轉向看漲勢頭，比特幣需要突破並收在 68,500 美元上方，初步積極跡像是突破 66,666 美元。

"For bullish potential to be considered, Bitcoin must move and close above $68,500," Santana emphasized. "Trading below $65,000 will maintain the bearish bias as we anticipate further price declines."

「要考慮看漲潛力，比特幣必須移動並收在 68,500 美元以上，」Santana 強調。 “交易價格低於 65,000 美元將維持看跌偏見，因為我們預計價格將進一步下跌。”

In recent days, Bitcoin has experienced heightened volatility, briefly reaching close to $60,000. Analysts have attributed this correction in part to overheated market conditions, labeling it a "pre-halving retrace." Market observers also suggest that the volatility may be influenced by outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have seen consecutive days of money flowing out.

最近幾天，比特幣波動加劇，一度觸及 6 萬美元附近。分析師將此次調整部分歸因於市場過熱，並將其稱為「減半前的回檔」。市場觀察家也認為，波動性可能受到現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）資金流出的影響，該基金已連續幾天出現資金流出。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $64,5700, with losses of almost 5% in the last seven days. Earlier in the week, Bitcoin briefly touched the $68,000 mark before correcting.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 64,5700 美元，過去 7 天下跌近 5%。本週早些時候，比特幣短暫觸及 68,000 美元大關，然後進行調整。

Bitcoin's price remains at a critical juncture as it faces the challenge of reclaiming $65,000. Continued trading below this mark would render it vulnerable to further losses, potentially below $60,000.

比特幣的價格仍處於關鍵時刻，面臨奪回 65,000 美元的挑戰。繼續低於該水平的交易將使其容易遭受進一步損失，可能低於 60,000 美元。