比特币面临阻力，预计减半前修正

比特币试图重回历史高位的努力面临障碍，目前其价格低于 70,000 美元。看跌预测表明减半前会出现回调，分析师预测价格可能会跌至 59,000 美元、55,000 美元，甚至低至 51,000 美元至 53,000 美元。比特币仍处于看跌区域，需要突破 68,500 美元才能看涨。现货比特币 ETF 的波动和资金流出导致了最近的调整，使比特币的价格处于关键时刻，因为它的目标是重回 65,000 美元大关。

Bitcoin Faces Resistance, Pre-Halving Retrace Anticipated

比特币面临阻力，预计减半前回调

Bitcoin (BTC) has encountered obstacles in its recovery attempt, with its price currently hovering below the $70,000 mark. The asset's recent price action has prompted bearish predictions, with some market participants attributing the downturn to a pre-halving retrace.

比特币（BTC）的复苏尝试遇到了障碍，目前其价格徘徊在 70,000 美元大关下方。该资产最近的价格走势引发了看跌预测，一些市场参与者将其低迷归因于减半前的回调。

Cryptocurrency trading expert Alan Santana, in a recent TradingView post, cautioned investors to prepare for a sell-off, citing Bitcoin's persistent bearish bias. Santana projected that Bitcoin's downward trajectory could continue over the coming days or weeks, with a potential bottom formation, accumulation, and reversal signals preceding any recovery.

加密货币交易专家 Alan Santana 在最近的 TradingView 帖子中警告投资者为抛售做好准备，理由是比特币持续看跌。桑塔纳预计，比特币的下行轨迹可能会在未来几天或几周内持续，在任何复苏之前可能会出现底部形成、积累和逆转信号。

Santana noted that Bitcoin has consistently traded above the exponential moving average 21 (EMA21) daily, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. He forecasted that the next target for Bitcoin in the short term could be around $59,000, with a possible breach of this level expected. Subsequent support levels to monitor include $55,000, with a potential floor as low as $51,000-$53,000.

Santana 指出，比特币每日交易价格始终高于 21 指数移动平均线 (EMA21)，表明市场存在看跌情绪。他预测，比特币短期内的下一个目标可能是 59,000 美元左右，预计可能会突破这一水平。随后需要监控的支撑位包括 55,000 美元，潜在下限为 51,000 美元至 53,000 美元。

"It is important to remember that the initial decline could be rapid, with a potential loss of 20-30% that may not be recouped for 6-8 months," Santana warned.

桑塔纳警告说：“重要的是要记住，最初的下降可能会很快，可能损失 20-30%，而且可能在 6-8 个月内无法弥补。”

Examining Bitcoin's short-term trendlines, Santana observed that the cryptocurrency remains confined within a bearish territory, indicating a prevailing negative sentiment among traders. For a shift towards bullish momentum, Bitcoin would need to surpass and close above $68,500, with a preliminary positive indication being a move above $66,666.

桑塔纳在审视比特币的短期趋势线时发现，该加密货币仍被限制在看跌区域内，这表明交易者普遍存在负面情绪。要转向看涨势头，比特币需要突破并收于 68,500 美元上方，初步积极迹象是突破 66,666 美元。

"For bullish potential to be considered, Bitcoin must move and close above $68,500," Santana emphasized. "Trading below $65,000 will maintain the bearish bias as we anticipate further price declines."

“要考虑看涨潜力，比特币必须移动并收于 68,500 美元以上，”Santana 强调。 “交易价格低于 65,000 美元将维持看跌偏见，因为我们预计价格将进一步下跌。”

In recent days, Bitcoin has experienced heightened volatility, briefly reaching close to $60,000. Analysts have attributed this correction in part to overheated market conditions, labeling it a "pre-halving retrace." Market observers also suggest that the volatility may be influenced by outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have seen consecutive days of money flowing out.

最近几天，比特币波动加剧，一度触及 60,000 美元附近。分析师将此次调整部分归因于市场过热，并将其称为“减半前的回调”。市场观察人士还认为，波动性可能受到现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）资金流出的影响，该基金已连续几天出现资金流出。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $64,5700, with losses of almost 5% in the last seven days. Earlier in the week, Bitcoin briefly touched the $68,000 mark before correcting.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 64,5700 美元，过去 7 天下跌近 5%。本周早些时候，比特币短暂触及 68,000 美元大关，然后进行调整。

Bitcoin's price remains at a critical juncture as it faces the challenge of reclaiming $65,000. Continued trading below this mark would render it vulnerable to further losses, potentially below $60,000.

比特币的价格仍处于关键时刻，面临着夺回 65,000 美元的挑战。继续低于该水平的交易将使其容易遭受进一步损失，可能低于 60,000 美元。