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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣價格飆升至 66,000 美元以上,看漲趨勢出現

2024/04/23 03:19

比特幣 (BTC) 飆升至 66,000 美元以上,引發了看漲逆轉的猜測。這種上升趨勢受到未平倉合約和槓桿增加的支撐,表明潛在的「追趕性反彈」。四小時圖表上收復 66,600 美元表明看漲情緒,受到阻力位突破和相對強弱指數 (RSI) 飆升的支持。然而,比特幣走向更高價格的道路需要克服 69,000 美元的阻力位並清算大量空頭槓桿頭寸。

比特幣價格飆升至 66,000 美元以上,看漲趨勢出現

Bitcoin Price Surges Past $66,000, Signaling Bullish Momentum

比特幣價格飆升至 66,000 美元以上,預示看漲勢頭

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) surged above the crucial $66,000 mark on April 22, fueling optimism that the price action could turn bullish just two days after the Bitcoin halving.

4 月 22 日,比特幣 (BTC) 的價格飆升至關鍵的 66,000 美元大關,引發了人們的樂觀情緒,認為比特幣減半後兩天價格走勢可能會轉為看漲。

Reclaiming Key Resistance

奪回關鍵阻力

Bitcoin regained the $66,000 mark on April 22, signaling a potential change in market sentiment that could culminate in the end of the ongoing price correction, according to Kristian Haralampiev, Structured Products Lead at Nexo.

Nexo 結構性產品主管 Kristian Haralampiev 表示,比特幣於 4 月 22 日重返 66,000 美元大關,這表明​​市場情緒可能發生變化,最終可能導致持續的價格調整結束。

"Traditional finance markets opened relaxed on the back of tension in the Middle East, with risk-on assets going up, while gold opened lower," Haralampiev said. "The increase in open interest across derivatives, along with higher levels of leverage and positioning in the options markets, suggests a catch-up rally may be in the making."

哈拉拉姆皮耶夫表示:“在中東緊張局勢的背景下,傳統金融市場開盤寬鬆,風險資產上漲,而金價開盤走低。” “衍生性商品未平倉合約的增加,以及選擇權市場槓桿水平和倉位的提高,表明追趕性反彈可能正在形成。”

Technical Analysis Points to Bullish Trend

技術分析顯示看漲趨勢

The reclaim of the $66,600 mark on the four-hour chart could indicate a bullish turn in BTC price, according to crypto analyst Trader Alan.

加密貨幣分析師交易員艾倫表示,四小時圖表上收復 66,600 美元大關可能表明 BTC 價格出現看漲。

"This breakout is associated with 'higher lows into the resistance' pattern and [relative strength index] RSI breakout simultaneously," Trader Alan explained. "This tells us the buying power has developed and a strong LTF bottom has formed. This leads to further bull run."

「這次突破與『阻力位更高低點』模式和[相對強度指數] RSI 同時突破有關,」交易員艾倫解釋道。 “這告訴我們購買力已經增強,並且強勁的 LTF 底部已經形成。這將導致進一步的牛市。”

Weekly Close Above Resistance

每週收盤價高於阻力位

As Bitcoin price achieved a weekly close above the critical $66,600 mark, it serves as the primary resistance level for BTC, according to popular analyst Rekt Capital.

受歡迎的分析師 Rekt Capital 表示,隨著比特幣價格每週收盤價突破 66,600 美元的關鍵關口,它成為 BTC 的主要阻力位。

"Bitcoin is currently in the process of trying to perform this reclaim," Rekt Capital stated. "A successful reclaim here would enable BTC for a move towards $67,150, which would be the next reclaim BTC would need to make successful for price to revisit the $69,000 via the green path."

Rekt Capital 表示:“比特幣目前正在嘗試回收。” 「這裡的成功回收將使 BTC 能夠升至 67,150 美元,這將是 BTC 需要成功回收才能通過綠色路徑重新回到 69,000 美元的價格。”

MVRV-Z Metric Resets

MVRV-Z 指標重置

Following the recent correction, Bitcoin's MVRV Z-score, a technical indicator used to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold, experienced a healthy correction, dropping to 2.08 on April 17. This suggests that Bitcoin is no longer overbought, according to LookIntoBitcoin.

在最近的調整之後,比特幣的MVRV Z 分數(用於確定資產是否超買或超賣的技術指標)經歷了一次健康的調整,於4 月17 日跌至2.08。幣不再超買。

"Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score has once again had a mid-cycle pause between 2 and 3," said Philip Swift, founder of LookIntoBitcoin. "The cooling off over the past month has been very healthy, and similar to previous cycles."

LookIntoBitcoin 創辦人 Philip Swift 表示:“比特幣 MVRV Z 分數再次在周期中期暫停在 2 到 3 之間。” “過去一個月的降溫非常健康,與之前的週期相似。”

Confirmation Needed Despite Positive Momentum

儘管勢頭積極,但仍需確認

Despite the positive price action this week, it is premature to confirm the end of the ongoing correction due to the reduced market depth, which could lead to increased price volatility, according to Jag Kooner, Head of Derivatives at Bitfinex.

Bitfinex 衍生性商品主管 Jag Kooner 表示,儘管本週價格走勢積極,但由於市場深度縮小,現在確認持續調整結束還為時過早,這可能導致價格波動加劇。

"While we broke out of our lower timeframe range, it is important to remember that after a mass liquidation event amounting to over $2 billion in liquidations in 2 days starting April 12th, the market depth is considerably lower than a few weeks ago," Kooner said. "This means there is a lower open interest and fewer spot orders, so it's easier for smaller orders to move the market."

Kooner 表示:「雖然我們突破了較低的時間範圍,但重要的是要記住,自4 月12 日開始的兩天內發生了規模超過20 億美元的大規模清算事件,市場深度比幾週前要低得多。 “這意味著未平倉合約減少,現貨訂單減少,因此較小的訂單更容易影響市場。”

Kooner remains optimistic about Bitcoin's price action in the short term, but cautions that another potential liquidation event could occur as more leverage re-enters the markets.

庫納對比特幣短期內的價格走勢仍持樂觀態度,但警告稱,隨著更多槓桿重新進入市場,可能會發生另一次潛在的清算事件。

Reclaiming $69K Crucial for Breakout Confirmation

收回 6.9 萬美元對於確認突破至關重要

To definitively confirm a surge towards new highs, Bitcoin must first surpass the $69,000 mark, according to Haralampiev of Nexo.

Nexo 的 Haralampiev 表示,要明確確認比特幣飆升至新高,比特幣必須先突破 69,000 美元大關。

"Key levels to confirm the bullish sentiment and price movement are in the $69,000 – $70,000 bracket," Haralampiev explained. "Eventually, price action above these levels could lead to an attempt from BTC to break out to all-time high levels, should market sentiment and positioning continue to intensify."

Haralampiev 解釋說:“確認看漲情緒和價格走勢的關鍵水平在 69,000 美元至 70,000 美元之間。” “最終,如果市場情緒和部位繼續增強,高於這些水平的價格走勢可能會導致比特幣試圖突破歷史高點。”

Bitcoin faces significant resistance at the $67,000 mark, with over $553 million worth of cumulative short-leveraged positions across all exchanges. A potential move above $69,000 would liquidate more than $1.12 billion worth of short-leveraged positions, according to Coinglass data.

比特幣在 67,000 美元關卡面臨重大阻力,所有交易所的累積空頭槓桿部位價值超過 5.53 億美元。根據 Coinglass 的數據,如果價格突破 69,000 美元,則價值超過 11.2 億美元的空頭槓桿頭寸將被清算。

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