比特幣價格預測：市場低迷中，BTC重新測試200日均線，下一步是什麼？

週六交易時段，加密貨幣市場出現看跌轉變，比特幣價格下跌 0.32%，跌破 63,000 美元水平

The crypto market witnessed a bearish shift during Saturday's trading session, with the Bitcoin price momentarily breaching below the $63,000 level with a 0.32% price decline. This selling pressure could be an occasional pullback for buyers to regain the exhausted bullish momentum. However, the high-leveraged BTC’s long position faces liquidation risk, which could further accelerate the supply pressure.

週六交易時段，加密貨幣市場出現看跌轉變，比特幣價格暫時跌破 63,000 美元水平，跌幅為 0.32%。這種拋售壓力可能偶爾出現回調，讓買家重拾疲憊不堪的看漲動能。然而，高槓桿的BTC多頭部位面臨清算風險，這可能會進一步加速供給壓力。

Key points:

要點：

In the last two weeks, the BTC price showcased a notable recovery from $53,630 to $63,010, accounting for 17.5% growth. This bullish narrative was largely driven by the crypto market speculation on the Fed rate cut, which now settled at 475-500 basis points (BPS), replenishing the investor interest in risky assets.

過去兩週，BTC 價格顯著回升，從 53,630 美元升至 63,010 美元，漲幅達 17.5%。這種看漲的說法主要是由加密貨幣市場對聯準會降息的猜測所推動的，目前降息幅度為 475-500 個基點 (BPS)，補充了投資者對風險資產的興趣。

Amid this rally, Bitcoin’s estimated leverage ratio spiked to a yearly high of 0.21%, indicating increased leverage positions relative to open interest. Historically, the rising leverage position often leads to highlighted market volatility as the traders bet on a directional move.

在這次反彈中，比特幣的估計槓桿率飆升至0.21%的年度高點，顯示槓桿部位相對於未平倉合約增加。從歷史上看，隨著交易者押注方向性走勢，槓桿部位的上升往往會導致市場波動加劇。

Thus, the attempt to stabilize the BTC price above $63,000 has raised the liquidation risk of aggressive buyers, contributing to today’s selling pressure.

因此，將 BTC 價格穩定在 63,000 美元以上的嘗試增加了激進買家的清算風險，加劇了今天的拋售壓力。

According to a recent tweet from Arkham Intelligence, 250 BTC (worth approximately $15.95 Million) were moved by five addresses belonging to the ‘Satoshi era.’ These Bitcoin addresses were dormant for 16 years and received 50 BTC each for mining one of Blocks 224, 2401, 2455, 2486, and 2690. While it’s unclear if these addresses belong to the same person, such crypto transactions often lead to market speculation and surge volatility.

根據 Arkham Intelligence 最近的一條推文，250 BTC（價值約 1595 萬美元）被屬於「中本聰時代」的五個地址轉移。這些比特幣地址休眠了16 年，透過挖掘區塊224、2401、2455、2486 和2690 之一，每個地址獲得了50 BTC。往往會導致市場投機和炒作。

Furthermore, the Santiment analytics also highlight a sudden spike in the Positive vs Negative sentiment ratio following the first rate cut in four and half years. This positive ratio signals an overly optimistic scenario during a crypto market rally, often leading to a counter-trend bearish move.

此外，Santiment 分析也強調，在四年半來首次降息後，正面情緒與負面情緒比率突然飆升。這一正比率預示著加密貨幣市場反彈期間過於樂觀的情況，通常會導致反趨勢的看跌走勢。

With a very bullish week of crypto transitioning into weekend mode, @santimentfeed has picked up a very bullish crowd sentiment spike. Understandably, the crowd has reason to be optimistic about Bitcoin & others continuing to rise after the Fed's first rate cuts in 4.5 years. pic.twitter.com/KTosasj6tS

隨著加密貨幣市場非常看漲的一周轉變為週末模式，@santimentfeed 的人群情緒出現了非常看漲的飆升。可以理解的是，在聯準會 4.5 年來首次降息後，人們有理由對比特幣和其他貨幣繼續上漲持樂觀態度。 pic.twitter.com/KTosasj6tS

In addition, the renowned trader Martinez Ali displays a pivotal moment for Bitcoin price as it retests the 200-day SMA line. Historically, the BTC crypto price failure to reclaim this level has triggered a notable correction, as observed in 2020, 2018, and 2014. Thus, the overhead supply has stalled the recovery momentum in the pioneer cryptocurrency and the broader market.

此外，著名交易員馬丁內斯·阿里（Martinez Ali）在重新測試 200 日移動平均線時展示了比特幣價格的關鍵時刻。從歷史上看，BTC 加密貨幣價格未能恢復這一水平引發了顯著的回調，如2020 年、2018 年和2014 年所觀察到的那樣。的復甦勢頭。

Conclusion:

結論：

Despite the downfall in the short-term, the bull run in the Bitcoin price is likely to continue in the next week. Further, the crypto sentiments are uplifting, with the ETF market marking a second consecutive bullish week with $700M in inflows in two weeks.

儘管短期內出現下跌，但比特幣價格的牛市可能會在下週繼續。此外，加密貨幣情緒正在提振，ETF 市場連續第二週看漲，兩週內資金流入達 7 億美元。

Curious if Bitcoin will hit $100K in 2024? Find out now in Coinpedia’s Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2024 and years ahead.

好奇比特幣是否會在 2024 年達到 10 萬美元？立即查看 Coinpedia 的 2024 年及未來幾年比特幣價格預測。