比特幣價格預測：隨著央行開啟流動性開關，比特幣可望上漲 2-3 倍

在劇烈波動且略顯看跌的市場中，BTC 價格今日報 58,275 美元，盤中漲幅為 1.25%。

Despite the recent market downturn, BTC price shows signs of recovery. Currently trading at $58,275, BTC price showcases an intraday gain of 1.25%. However, the crypto market leader trades below its 200-day EMA. Moreover, the 20-day EMA is slowly approaching a bearish crossover with the 200-day EMA.

儘管近期市場低迷，但比特幣價格出現復甦跡象。目前 BTC 價格為 58,275 美元，盤中漲幅為 1.25%。然而，加密市場領導者的交易價格低於 200 日均線。此外，20 日均線正慢慢接近與 200 日均線的看跌交叉點。

But, the bullish demand at lower levels teases a potential shift in the fundamental gears toward the bullish trend. As the previous candle indicates lower price rejection with a long wick formation from the $56,000 support level, the BTC price is not ready to give up.

但是，較低的看漲需求預示著基本面可能轉向看漲趨勢。由於前一根蠟燭表明價格下跌，並在 56,000 美元的支撐位形成長影線，因此 BTC 價格尚未準備好放棄。

As the underlying bullish sentiment increases, the derivatives market supports the upmove in the BTC price. This is indicated by the rising open interest in Bitcoin, which climbed from $26.65B to $29.35B in 10 days.

隨著潛在看漲情緒的增強，衍生性商品市場支持比特幣價格的上漲。比特幣的未平倉合約不斷增加就表明了這一點，比特幣未平倉合約在 10 天內從 $26.65B 攀升至 $29.35B。

As the OI increases, big traders on multiple exchanges are increasing their interest, anticipating further price jumps. However, the market is still volatile, as seen by the total liquidations over the past 24 hours, amounting to $208.88 million. Of this, $159.91 million worth of long positions were liquidated, while $48.97 million in short positions were also closed.

隨著持倉量的增加，多家交易所的大交易商的興趣也隨之增加，預計價格將進一步上漲。然而，市場仍波動較大，過去 24 小時的清算總額達到 2.0888 億美元。其中，多頭部位被平倉1.5991億美元，空頭部位被平倉4,897萬美元。

Central Banks Turn on the Liquidity TapsAs per the recent tweet from James Coutt, he reveals the broader macroeconomics is shifting positively for a bull run in the BTC price and the broader crypto market.

央行打開流動性水龍頭根據 James Coutt 最近的推文，他透露，更廣泛的宏觀經濟正在朝著比特幣價格和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場牛市的積極方向轉變。

Central banks, particularly the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), have injected over $400B and $97B into the global money base (credit). This massive surge in global money liquidity is a part of a $1.2 trillion expansion in the global money supply.

各國央行，特別是日本央行 (BoJ) 和中國人民銀行 (PBoC)，已向全球貨幣基礎（信貸）注入了超過 $400B 和 $97B。全球貨幣流動性的大幅成長是全球貨幣供應量 1.2 兆美元擴張的一部分。

The positive turn in the global money supply comes with the aid of a sharp decline in the US dollar. Historically, such moves have resulted in a bull run in BTC prices.

全球貨幣供應量的改善是在美元大幅貶值的幫助下實現的。從歷史上看，此類舉措導致了比特幣價格的牛市。

Based on Coutt’s analysis, the last time we saw a similar high liquidity phase, BTC price surged 19x in 2017 and 6x in 2020. And with the history repeating itself, central banks globally coming together as the US dollar weakens, Bitcoin could witness a massive surge potentially crosing the $100K level.

根據Coutt 的分析，上次我們看到類似的高流動性階段時，BTC 價格在2017 年飆升了19 倍，在2020 年飆升了6 倍。 ，比特幣可能會見證大規模的價格上漲。

The global liquidity momentum model (MSI) has just flashed its first bullish signal since November 2023. Back then, Bitcoin rallied 75% before the regime turned bearish.

全球流動性動量模型（MSI）剛發出自 2023 年 11 月以來的首次看漲訊號。

Will BTC Price Rally 2x-3x?From a bullish perspective, we must ignore the recent noise of Bitcoin hitting the $50K mark due to increased FUD. The strong hands and the rising ETF inflows as BTC price falls suggest a potential rally in bitcoin. Hence, the Bitcoin Price Prediction of 2x to 3x surge is increasing among traders.

BTC 價格會上漲 2-3 倍嗎？隨著 BTC 價格下跌，強手和 ETF 資金流入不斷增加表明比特幣可能反彈。因此，交易者對比特幣價格上漲 2 至 3 倍的預測正在增加。

Based on Coutt’s assumption, a further correction in the DXY is necessary to provide sufficient tailwinds to boost the bull run. As this continues, the global money base will expand, coming from the central banks.

根據 Coutt 的假設，美元指數有必要進一步調整，以提供足夠的推動力來推動多頭市場。隨著這種情況的持續，來自各國央行的全球貨幣基礎將會擴大。