比特币价格预测：随着央行开启流动性开关，比特币有望上涨 2-3 倍

在剧烈波动且略显看跌的市场中，BTC 价格今日报 58,275 美元，盘中涨幅为 1.25%。

Despite the recent market downturn, BTC price shows signs of recovery. Currently trading at $58,275, BTC price showcases an intraday gain of 1.25%. However, the crypto market leader trades below its 200-day EMA. Moreover, the 20-day EMA is slowly approaching a bearish crossover with the 200-day EMA.

尽管近期市场低迷，但比特币价格出现复苏迹象。目前 BTC 价格为 58,275 美元，盘中涨幅为 1.25%。然而，加密货币市场领导者的交易价格低于其 200 日均线。此外，20 日均线正慢慢接近与 200 日均线的看跌交叉点。

But, the bullish demand at lower levels teases a potential shift in the fundamental gears toward the bullish trend. As the previous candle indicates lower price rejection with a long wick formation from the $56,000 support level, the BTC price is not ready to give up.

但是，较低水平的看涨需求预示着基本面可能转向看涨趋势。由于前一根蜡烛表明价格下跌，并在 56,000 美元的支撑位形成长影线，因此 BTC 价格尚未准备好放弃。

As the underlying bullish sentiment increases, the derivatives market supports the upmove in the BTC price. This is indicated by the rising open interest in Bitcoin, which climbed from $26.65B to $29.35B in 10 days.

随着潜在看涨情绪的增强，衍生品市场支持比特币价格的上涨。比特币的未平仓合约不断增加就表明了这一点，比特币未平仓合约在 10 天内从 $26.65B 攀升至 $29.35B。

As the OI increases, big traders on multiple exchanges are increasing their interest, anticipating further price jumps. However, the market is still volatile, as seen by the total liquidations over the past 24 hours, amounting to $208.88 million. Of this, $159.91 million worth of long positions were liquidated, while $48.97 million in short positions were also closed.

随着持仓量的增加，多家交易所的大交易商的兴趣也随之增加，预计价格将进一步上涨。然而，市场仍然波动较大，过去 24 小时的清算总额达到 2.0888 亿美元。其中，多头头寸被平仓1.5991亿美元，空头头寸被平仓4897万美元。

Central Banks Turn on the Liquidity TapsAs per the recent tweet from James Coutt, he reveals the broader macroeconomics is shifting positively for a bull run in the BTC price and the broader crypto market.

央行打开流动性水龙头根据 James Coutt 最近的推文，他透露，更广泛的宏观经济正在朝着比特币价格和更广泛的加密货币市场牛市的积极方向转变。

Central banks, particularly the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), have injected over $400B and $97B into the global money base (credit). This massive surge in global money liquidity is a part of a $1.2 trillion expansion in the global money supply.

各国央行，特别是日本央行 (BoJ) 和中国人民银行 (PBoC)，已向全球货币基础（信贷）注入了超过 $400B 和 $97B。全球货币流动性的大幅增长是全球货币供应量 1.2 万亿美元扩张的一部分。

The positive turn in the global money supply comes with the aid of a sharp decline in the US dollar. Historically, such moves have resulted in a bull run in BTC prices.

全球货币供应量的好转是在美元大幅贬值的帮助下实现的。从历史上看，此类举措导致了比特币价格的牛市。

Based on Coutt’s analysis, the last time we saw a similar high liquidity phase, BTC price surged 19x in 2017 and 6x in 2020. And with the history repeating itself, central banks globally coming together as the US dollar weakens, Bitcoin could witness a massive surge potentially crosing the $100K level.

根据 Coutt 的分析，上次我们看到类似的高流动性阶段时，BTC 价格在 2017 年飙升了 19 倍，在 2020 年飙升了 6 倍。随着历史重演，随着美元走软，全球央行联合起来，比特币可能会见证大规模的价格上涨。飙升可能突破 10 万美元水平。

The global liquidity momentum model (MSI) has just flashed its first bullish signal since November 2023. Back then, Bitcoin rallied 75% before the regime turned bearish.

全球流动性动量模型（MSI）刚刚发出自 2023 年 11 月以来的首次看涨信号。当时，比特币在该政权转为看跌之前上涨了 75%。

Will BTC Price Rally 2x-3x?From a bullish perspective, we must ignore the recent noise of Bitcoin hitting the $50K mark due to increased FUD. The strong hands and the rising ETF inflows as BTC price falls suggest a potential rally in bitcoin. Hence, the Bitcoin Price Prediction of 2x to 3x surge is increasing among traders.

BTC 价格会上涨 2-3 倍吗？从看涨的角度来看，我们必须忽略最近由于 FUD 增加而导致比特币触及 5 万美元大关的噪音。随着 BTC 价格下跌，强手和 ETF 资金流入不断增加表明比特币可能出现反弹。因此，交易者对比特币价格上涨 2 至 3 倍的预测正在增加。

Based on Coutt’s assumption, a further correction in the DXY is necessary to provide sufficient tailwinds to boost the bull run. As this continues, the global money base will expand, coming from the central banks.

根据 Coutt 的假设，美元指数有必要进一步调整，以提供足够的推动力来推动牛市。随着这种情况的继续，来自央行的全球货币基础将会扩大。