比特幣有望飆升：鏈上數據暗示看漲積累

儘管最近比特幣 (BTC) 價格跌至 65,000 美元，但鏈上指標和分析師預測表明長期看漲前景。儲備風險指標顯示積累，而每日平均地址價格的分歧表明用戶活動可能激增。分析師預計比特幣將反彈至 70,000 美元以上，即將到來的阻力位為 68,250 美元和 71,370 美元。長期預測依然樂觀，渣打銀行預計到 2025 年價值將達到 25 萬美元，羅伯特清崎預計到 2024 年價值將達到 30 萬美元。

Bitcoin Poised for a Resurgent Surge: On-Chain Indicators Signal Bullish Accumulation

比特幣可望復甦：鏈上指標顯示看漲積累

Amidst the recent market volatility, Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen short of its earlier aspiration to surpass the $70,000 threshold. However, a meticulous examination of pivotal on-chain indicators unveils a compelling narrative of bullish sentiment, suggesting that Bitcoin is gathering momentum for a formidable breakthrough.

在最近的市場波動中，比特幣 (BTC) 未能達到其早先突破 70,000 美元門檻的願望。然而，對關鍵鏈上指標的仔細檢查揭示了令人信服的看漲情緒敘述，表明比特幣正在積聚動力，實現巨大突破。

Bullish Buy Signals Emerge

看漲買進訊號出現

Despite the recent market turbulence, several fundamental metrics continue to project a long-term optimistic outlook for the digital asset. The Reserve Risk indicator, a barometer of long-term holder sentiment, is currently hovering within the green zone and exhibits an attempt to break free from its confines. This technical signal implies a surge in accumulation by long-term holders, heralding an imminent price recovery.

儘管最近市場動盪，但一些基本指標仍然預示著數位資產的長期樂觀前景。儲備風險指標是長期持有者情緒的晴雨表，目前徘徊在綠色區域內，並試圖擺脫其限制。這項技術訊號意味著長期持有者的增持激增，預示著價格即將復甦。

The divergence of Price Daily Average Addresses (DAA) further corroborates the bullish potential. This indicator measures the disparity between the cryptocurrency's price action and the number of active addresses engaging with it, providing insights into potential trends based on user activity.

價格每日平均地址（DAA）的分歧進一步證實了看漲潛力。此指標衡量加密貨幣的價格行為與參與該加密貨幣的活躍位址數量之間的差異，從而根據用戶活動提供對潛在趨勢的洞察。

Price Forecast: Recovery Towards $70,000

價格預測：恢復至 7 萬美元

In the upcoming days, Bitcoin's price trajectory is anticipated to embark on an upward trajectory, with a high probability of reclaiming the $70,000 mark and surpassing it. The closest significant resistance level lies at $71,370, a barrier that has repeatedly posed a challenge for the asset since mid-March. However, the burgeoning bullish sentiment is expected to provide the necessary impetus to overcome this obstacle.

未來幾天，比特幣的價格軌跡預計將走上上漲軌道，很有可能重返並超越 70,000 美元大關。最近的重要阻力位位於 71,370 美元，這一障礙自 3 月中旬以來多次對該資產構成挑戰。然而，新興的看漲情緒預計將為克服這一障礙提供必要的動力。

Prior to reaching its ultimate target, Bitcoin must first navigate a minor resistance at $68,250. Should this breakout attempt falter, the asset's price may undergo a temporary pullback to $65,300. A further decline below this critical level would undermine the bullish narrative and prompt a reassessment of the situation, potentially leading to a test of the $61,730 support level.

在達到最終目標之前，比特幣必須先突破 68,250 美元的小阻力位。如果這項突破嘗試失敗，該資產的價格可能會暫時回調至 65,300 美元。如果進一步跌破這一關鍵水平，將破壞看漲的敘述，並促使人們重新評估形勢，可能會導致測試 61,730 美元的支撐位。

Market Dynamics and Expert Perspectives

市場動態與專家觀點

A comprehensive analysis of trading activity on prominent exchanges, compiled by Coinglass, reveals that approximately $226 million worth of traders' positions were liquidated daily, highlighting the precarious position of traders relying on leverage. Specifically, Bitcoin accounted for over $66 million in liquidations, indicating a significant presence of overleveraged traders in the market.

Coinglass 對知名交易所的交易活動進行的全面分析顯示，每天有價值約 2.26 億美元的交易者頭寸被清算，凸顯了依賴槓桿的交易者的不穩定狀況。具體來說，比特幣的清算額超過 6,600 萬美元，這表明市場上存在大量過度槓桿化的交易者。

In a contrasting development, Standard Chartered Bank has projected a bullish target of $250,000 for Bitcoin's valuation by 2025. This optimistic outlook stems from the surge in demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) launched in the United States. These funds have attracted inflows exceeding $11 billion since their inception two months ago, contributing to Bitcoin's recent price appreciation.

與此形成鮮明對比的是，渣打銀行預計到2025 年比特幣估值將達到25 萬美元的看漲目標。這種樂觀的前景源於對美國推出的比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF) 需求的激增。自兩個月前成立以來，這些基金已吸引超過 110 億美元的資金流入，推動了比特幣近期的價格上漲。

Renowned investor Robert Kiyosaki, renowned for his extensive experience spanning over five decades, has also expanded his projections. Kiyosaki asserts that Bitcoin is poised to reach $300,000 by the end of 2024. However, the unprecedented nature of the current market cycle has left experts perplexed, leading to a consensus that the market remains highly unpredictable.

以其超過 50 年的豐富經驗而聞名的著名投資者羅伯特·清崎 (Robert Kiyosaki) 也擴大了他的預測。 Kiyosaki 斷言，到 2024 年底，比特幣預計將達到 30 萬美元。然而，當前市場週期前所未有的性質讓專家們感到困惑，導致人們一致認為市場仍然高度不可預測。

Historically, altcoins have typically experienced growth spurts following a Bitcoin correction. However, in this unique cycle, the segment of meme cryptocurrencies has witnessed a paradoxical surge. This anomaly underscores the importance for investors to exercise due diligence and conduct independent research on the Bitcoin market, even when considering expert forecasts.

從歷史上看，山寨幣通常會在比特幣調整後經歷井噴式增長。然而，在這個獨特的周期中，迷因加密貨幣領域卻出現了矛盾的激增。這種異常現象凸顯了投資者對比特幣市場進行盡職調查和進行獨立研究的重要性，即使考慮到專家的預測也是如此。

In conclusion, a comprehensive evaluation of on-chain indicators and market dynamics suggests that Bitcoin is poised for a resurgence. The accumulation by long-term holders, coupled with the divergence of Price Daily Average Addresses, paints a bullish picture. While resistance levels remain a potential hurdle, the overall sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, indicating a high likelihood of a price rebound towards $70,000 and beyond.

總之，對鏈上指標和市場動態的全面評估表明，比特幣即將復甦。長期持有者的增持，加上價格日均地址的分歧，描繪出一幅看漲的圖景。雖然阻力位仍然是一個潛在障礙，但整體情緒非常積極，表明價格很有可能反彈至 70,000 美元及以上。