比特币有望飙升：链上数据暗示看涨积累

尽管最近比特币 (BTC) 价格跌至 65,000 美元，但链上指标和分析师预测表明长期看涨前景。储备风险指标表明积累，而每日平均地址价格的分歧表明用户活动可能激增。分析师预计比特币将反弹至 70,000 美元以上，即将到来的阻力位为 68,250 美元和 71,370 美元。长期预测依然乐观，渣打银行预计到 2025 年价值将达到 25 万美元，罗伯特清崎预计到 2024 年价值将达到 30 万美元。

Bitcoin Poised for a Resurgent Surge: On-Chain Indicators Signal Bullish Accumulation

比特币有望复苏：链上指标显示看涨积累

Amidst the recent market volatility, Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen short of its earlier aspiration to surpass the $70,000 threshold. However, a meticulous examination of pivotal on-chain indicators unveils a compelling narrative of bullish sentiment, suggesting that Bitcoin is gathering momentum for a formidable breakthrough.

在最近的市场波动中，比特币 (BTC) 未能达到其早先突破 70,000 美元门槛的愿望。然而，对关键链上指标的仔细检查揭示了令人信服的看涨情绪叙述，表明比特币正在积聚动力，实现巨大突破。

Bullish Buy Signals Emerge

看涨买入信号出现

Despite the recent market turbulence, several fundamental metrics continue to project a long-term optimistic outlook for the digital asset. The Reserve Risk indicator, a barometer of long-term holder sentiment, is currently hovering within the green zone and exhibits an attempt to break free from its confines. This technical signal implies a surge in accumulation by long-term holders, heralding an imminent price recovery.

尽管最近市场动荡，但一些基本指标仍然预示着数字资产的长期乐观前景。储备风险指标是长期持有者情绪的晴雨表，目前徘徊在绿色区域内，并试图摆脱其限制。这一技术信号意味着长期持有者的增持激增，预示着价格即将复苏。

The divergence of Price Daily Average Addresses (DAA) further corroborates the bullish potential. This indicator measures the disparity between the cryptocurrency's price action and the number of active addresses engaging with it, providing insights into potential trends based on user activity.

价格每日平均地址（DAA）的分歧进一步证实了看涨潜力。该指标衡量加密货币的价格行为与参与该加密货币的活跃地址数量之间的差异，从而根据用户活动提供对潜在趋势的洞察。

Price Forecast: Recovery Towards $70,000

价格预测：恢复至 70,000 美元

In the upcoming days, Bitcoin's price trajectory is anticipated to embark on an upward trajectory, with a high probability of reclaiming the $70,000 mark and surpassing it. The closest significant resistance level lies at $71,370, a barrier that has repeatedly posed a challenge for the asset since mid-March. However, the burgeoning bullish sentiment is expected to provide the necessary impetus to overcome this obstacle.

未来几天，比特币的价格轨迹预计将走上上涨轨道，很有可能重回并超越 70,000 美元大关。最近的重要阻力位位于 71,370 美元，这一障碍自 3 月中旬以来多次对该资产构成挑战。然而，新兴的看涨情绪预计将为克服这一障碍提供必要的动力。

Prior to reaching its ultimate target, Bitcoin must first navigate a minor resistance at $68,250. Should this breakout attempt falter, the asset's price may undergo a temporary pullback to $65,300. A further decline below this critical level would undermine the bullish narrative and prompt a reassessment of the situation, potentially leading to a test of the $61,730 support level.

在达到最终目标之前，比特币必须首先突破 68,250 美元的小阻力位。如果这一突破尝试失败，该资产的价格可能会暂时回调至 65,300 美元。如果进一步跌破这一关键水平，将破坏看涨的叙述，并促使人们重新评估形势，可能会导致测试 61,730 美元的支撑位。

Market Dynamics and Expert Perspectives

市场动态和专家观点

A comprehensive analysis of trading activity on prominent exchanges, compiled by Coinglass, reveals that approximately $226 million worth of traders' positions were liquidated daily, highlighting the precarious position of traders relying on leverage. Specifically, Bitcoin accounted for over $66 million in liquidations, indicating a significant presence of overleveraged traders in the market.

Coinglass 对知名交易所的交易活动进行的全面分析显示，每天有价值约 2.26 亿美元的交易者头寸被清算，凸显了依赖杠杆的交易者的不稳定状况。具体来说，比特币的清算额超过 6600 万美元，这表明市场上存在大量过度杠杆化的交易者。

In a contrasting development, Standard Chartered Bank has projected a bullish target of $250,000 for Bitcoin's valuation by 2025. This optimistic outlook stems from the surge in demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) launched in the United States. These funds have attracted inflows exceeding $11 billion since their inception two months ago, contributing to Bitcoin's recent price appreciation.

与此形成鲜明对比的是，渣打银行预计到 2025 年比特币估值将达到 25 万美元的看涨目标。这种乐观的前景源于对美国推出的比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 需求的激增。自两个月前成立以来，这些基金已吸引超过 110 亿美元的资金流入，推动了比特币近期的价格上涨。

Renowned investor Robert Kiyosaki, renowned for his extensive experience spanning over five decades, has also expanded his projections. Kiyosaki asserts that Bitcoin is poised to reach $300,000 by the end of 2024. However, the unprecedented nature of the current market cycle has left experts perplexed, leading to a consensus that the market remains highly unpredictable.

以其超过 50 年的丰富经验而闻名的著名投资者罗伯特·清崎 (Robert Kiyosaki) 也扩大了他的预测。 Kiyosaki 断言，到 2024 年底，比特币有望达到 30 万美元。然而，当前市场周期前所未有的性质让专家们感到困惑，导致人们一致认为市场仍然高度不可预测。

Historically, altcoins have typically experienced growth spurts following a Bitcoin correction. However, in this unique cycle, the segment of meme cryptocurrencies has witnessed a paradoxical surge. This anomaly underscores the importance for investors to exercise due diligence and conduct independent research on the Bitcoin market, even when considering expert forecasts.

从历史上看，山寨币通常会在比特币调整后经历井喷式增长。然而，在这个独特的周期中，模因加密货币领域却出现了矛盾的激增。这种异常现象凸显了投资者对比特币市场进行尽职调查和进行独立研究的重要性，即使考虑到专家的预测也是如此。

In conclusion, a comprehensive evaluation of on-chain indicators and market dynamics suggests that Bitcoin is poised for a resurgence. The accumulation by long-term holders, coupled with the divergence of Price Daily Average Addresses, paints a bullish picture. While resistance levels remain a potential hurdle, the overall sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, indicating a high likelihood of a price rebound towards $70,000 and beyond.

总之，对链上指标和市场动态的综合评估表明，比特币即将复苏。长期持有者的增持，加上价格日均地址的分歧，描绘出一幅看涨的图景。虽然阻力位仍然是一个潜在障碍，但总体情绪非常积极，表明价格很有可能反弹至 70,000 美元及以上。