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受歡迎的量化加密貨幣分析師PlanB 預測,比特幣的價格將在2021 年達到10 萬美元。根據他的Stock-to-Flow 模型,他還預測當前牛市週期中的峰值將超過20 萬美元,未來可能超過100 萬美元。 PlanB 強調了波動的可能性,但表示他打算在明年繼續持有比特幣。
Bitcoin Poised to Soar Past $100,000 Threshold, Analyst Predicts
分析師預測比特幣將飆升至 10 萬美元大關
Renowned quantitative cryptocurrency analyst PlanB, celebrated for his pioneering Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, has boldly declared that Bitcoin's (BTC) ascent to the coveted $100,000 milestone this year is an "inevitability." Moreover, he envisions BTC eclipsing the $200,000 mark during the forthcoming bull market cycle, with the potential to shatter the $1 million barrier.
以其開創性的 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型而聞名的著名量化加密貨幣分析師 PlanB 大膽宣稱,比特幣 (BTC) 今年升至令人垂涎的 100,000 美元里程碑是「必然的」。此外,他預計 BTC 在即將到來的牛市週期中將突破 20 萬美元大關,並有可能突破 100 萬美元大關。
In a compelling video posted on YouTube, PlanB shared his unwavering conviction with his vast subscriber base of over 140,000 that BTC's price will inevitably breach the $100,000 threshold this year. He went so far as to express his belief that a mere $200,000 peak for the cycle would constitute an underwhelming outcome.
在 YouTube 上發布的一段引人注目的影片中,PlanB 向其超過 14 萬的龐大訂閱者群分享了他堅定不移的信念,即 BTC 的價格今年將不可避免地突破 10 萬美元的門檻。他甚至表示相信,週期中僅 20 萬美元的高峰將構成平淡無奇的結果。
The S2F model devised by PlanB delves into the intricate dynamics of supply and demand, with "stock" representing the magnitude of existing stockpiles or reserves and "flow" denoting annual production. The model's meticulous analysis led PlanB to predict a price peak in 2025, emphasizing that a $200,000 zenith would be an unsatisfactory result.
PlanB 設計的 S2F 模型深入研究了複雜的供需動態,其中「庫存」代表現有庫存或儲備的數量,「流量」代表年產量。該模型的細緻分析使 PlanB 預測價格將在 2025 年達到峰值,並強調 20 萬美元的峰值將是一個令人不滿意的結果。
Expanding upon his model's implications, PlanB projected a peak well beyond $500,000, potentially reaching dizzying heights of $600,000, $700,000, or even an astonishing $1 million per BTC. However, the astute analyst cautioned viewers about the potential for significant volatility during the upcoming cycle, including corrections ranging from 20% to 30%.
PlanB 擴展了他的模型的含義,預測峰值將遠遠超過 50 萬美元,有可能達到每 BTC 60 萬美元、70 萬美元,甚至令人震驚的 100 萬美元。然而,這位精明的分析師警告觀眾,在即將到來的周期中,可能會出現大幅波動,包括 20% 至 30% 的調整。
PlanB emphasized that his insights should not be construed as financial advice. Nonetheless, he disclosed his personal strategy of retaining his Bitcoin holdings for the next 12 months, intending to re-evaluate his position once the market transitions from a bull market to a distribution phase.
PlanB 強調,他的見解不應被視為財務建議。儘管如此,他還是透露了自己在未來 12 個月內保留比特幣持有量的個人策略,打算在市場從牛市過渡到分配階段時重新評估自己的部位。
Presently, Bitcoin hovers around the $66,000 mark, having weathered a substantial correction over the past week. In a timely memo addressed to investment professionals, Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, shared his astute observations on navigating the tumultuous waters of today's crypto market. Specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Hougan expressed a long-term bullish outlook, asserting that "Bitcoin is in a raging bull market."
目前,比特幣在經歷了過去一周的大幅調整後徘徊在 66,000 美元大關附近。 Bitwise 首席投資長 Matt Hougan 在一份及時發給投資專業人士的備忘錄中,分享了他在當今加密貨幣市場動盪的水域中航行的敏銳觀察。霍根特別關注比特幣,表達了長期看漲的前景,聲稱「比特幣正處於熊熊的牛市中」。
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