|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
比特幣是引人注目的推動者,週一觸及一個月高位,在美聯儲上周大幅降息後維持了漲勢
Bitcoin rose on Monday and was set to post gains for a fifth session as the dollar firmed against the yen ahead of a key vote for a new Japanese prime minister.
比特幣週一上漲,並將連續第五個交易日上漲,因為在日本新首相關鍵投票之前美元兌日圓走強。
Most other major currencies were largely flat with Japanese markets closed for a holiday.
大多數其他主要貨幣基本持平,日本市場因假期休市。
Bitcoin added 0.8% to above $63,200, not far from one-month highs.
比特幣上漲 0.8%,至 63,200 美元上方,距離一個月高點不遠。
The Australian dollar was flat around $0.68, digesting its rise of more than 3% in less than two weeks.
澳元兌美元持平於0.68美元附近,消化了不到兩週時間逾3%的漲幅。
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against major currencies, gained slightly to 100.8, continuing to stay above the one-year low it hit last week.
衡量美元兌主要貨幣匯率的美元指數小幅上漲至100.8,並持續維持在上週觸及的一年低點上方。
The dollar rose against the yen last week after both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged at ultra-low levels.
在聯準會和日本央行將利率維持在超低水準不變後,美元兌日圓上週上漲。
The dollar hit its highest level in two weeks at 144.50 yen last week, but the BOJ’s indication that it was in no hurry to hike again put a pause to the yen’s sharp gains this month. The currency is still up 1.4% in September.
上週美元兌日圓觸及兩週來最高水準144.50日元,但日本央行表示不急於再次升息,令日圓本月大幅上漲暫停。 9月份該貨幣仍上漲1.4%。
With Japan closed for Autumnal Equinox Day, the main driver of trade was expectations around further Fed rate cuts and the gains those have spurred in equities, commodity currencies and other risk assets.
由於日本因秋分日休市,貿易的主要推動力是對聯準會進一步降息的預期以及刺激股市、大宗商品貨幣和其他風險資產上漲的預期。
Fed futures traders have priced in 75 bps in rate cuts by the end of this year, and nearly 200 bps in cuts by December 2025 that will take the Fed’s policy rate by the end of 2025 to 2.75%, according to CME FedWatch.
根據 CME FedWatch 的數據,聯準會期貨交易員預計到今年底降息 75 個基點,到 2025 年 12 月降息近 200 個基點,這將使聯準會的政策利率到 2025 年底降至 2.75%。
The U.S. Treasury yield curve has been steepening after the Fed’s rate cut, and investors added to bets favoring a second outsized rate cut after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday he was worried inflation may soon be running substantially below the central bank’s 2% target.
聯準會降息後,美國公債殖利率曲線一直陡峭,在聯準會理事克里斯多福沃勒(Christopher Waller)週五表示擔心通膨可能很快大幅低於央行2%的目標後,投資人加大了對第二次大幅降息的押注。
Meanwhile, the majority of economists polled by Reuters anticipate two more 25 bps rate cuts at the Fed’s final two meetings this year.
同時,路透社調查的大多數經濟學家預計,聯準會今年最後兩次會議將再降息兩次,每次 25 個基點。
In weekend news, U.S. House Republicans unveiled a three-month stopgap bill to avert a government shutdown.
週末消息,美國眾議院共和黨宣布了一項為期三個月的權宜之計法案,以避免政府關閉。
For the yen, an upcoming ruling party vote later this week to choose a new prime minister makes the BOJ’s job challenging in the coming months. A snap election is seen as likely in late October.
對於日圓而言,執政黨將於本週稍後投票選舉新首相,這使得日本央行未來幾個月的工作面臨挑戰。人們認為十月下旬可能會提前舉行選舉。
Liberal Democratic Party frontrunners to replace outgoing Prime Minister Fumio Kishida have presented diverse views on monetary policy.
接替即將卸任首相岸田文雄的自民黨領跑者對貨幣政策提出了不同的看法。
Sanae Takaichi – who would become the nation’s first female premier – is a reflationist who has accused the Bank of Japan of raising rates too soon. Shigeru Ishiba has said the central bank is “on the right policy track”, while Shinjiro Koizumi, son of charismatic ex-premier Junichiro Koizumi, has so far only said he will respect the BOJ’s independence.
將成為日本第一位女首相的高市早苗是一位通貨再膨脹論者,她指責日本央行過早升息。石破茂表示,央行“走在正確的政策軌道上”,而魅力十足的前首相小泉純一郎之子小泉進次郎迄今為止只表示,他將尊重日本央行的獨立性。
The selection presents two-way risks for yen, Barclays analysts wrote on the weekend.
巴克萊分析師週末寫道,這項選擇為日圓帶來了雙向風險。
“The main risk here is if Abenomics advocate Takaichi wins, this could pose headwinds to the BOJ’s policy-normalization plan and raise concerns about fiscal discipline,” they said.
他們表示:“這裡的主要風險是,如果安倍經濟學的倡導者高一獲勝,這可能會給日本央行的政策正常化計劃帶來阻力,並引發人們對財政紀律的擔憂。”
That could lead to a steeper Japanese bond curve and downside pressure on the yen as investors pare expectations for another rate rise, they said.
他們表示,隨著投資者降低對再次升息的預期,這可能導致日本債券曲線更加陡峭,並給日圓帶來下行壓力。
The Bank of England kept rates unchanged on Thursday, with its governor saying the central bank had to be “careful not to cut too fast or by too much.”
英國央行週四維持利率不變,行長表示央行必須「小心不要降息太快或降幅太大」。
The pound was down 0.1% at $1.3310, staying near highs it hit on Friday after the release of strong British retail sales data.
英鎊下跌0.1%至1.3310美元,維持在周五公佈強勁的英國零售銷售數據後觸及的高點附近。
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
所提供的資訊並非交易建議。 kDJ.com對任何基於本文提供的資訊進行的投資不承擔任何責任。加密貨幣波動性較大,建議您充分研究後謹慎投資!
如果您認為本網站使用的內容侵犯了您的版權,請立即聯絡我們(info@kdj.com),我們將及時刪除。
-
- 加密貨幣質押:區塊鏈網路中投資與積極參與的結合
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- 隨著去中心化金融(DeFi)領域的蓬勃發展和多元化,加密貨幣質押已經開闢了其獨特的利基市場,在區塊鏈網路中提供了投資和積極參與的結合。
-
- 園藝大師分享 1 英鎊硬幣技巧,讓你疲憊的草坪煥發活力,讓鄰居羨慕不已
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- iCANLAWN.com 的 Timothy Green 解釋說,雖然監督是一個簡單的過程,但人們在進行監督之前應該檢查一些事項
-
- 川普推出印有他個人資料和白宮簽名的「官方」銀質獎章
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- 前總統唐納德·川普宣布推出第一版銀質紀念章,他聲稱該紀念章是他自己設計並在美國鑄造的
-
- Travala 整合 Solana 區塊鏈以支援 SOL 和穩定幣支付旅行預訂
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- Travala 是一家基於加密貨幣的先驅旅行社,透過將 Solana 區塊鏈整合到其平台中,取得了重大飛躍。
-
- 賈斯汀·孫 (Justin Sun) 預測 Tron (TRX) 將在兩年內超越 Solana (SOL),理由是在穩定幣和 Meme 幣方面佔據主導地位
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- Tron(TRX)的創辦人孫宇晨(Justin Sun)最近預測,他的區塊鏈網路可能會在兩年內超越 Solana(SOL)。
-
- Core Scientific (CORZ) 即將成為人工智慧託管領域的主要力量,首次買入:Canaccord
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- 該經紀商開始對這家比特幣礦機進行買入評級,目標價為 16 美元。
-
- Rexas Finance (RXS)、PEPE Coin 和 DOGS Token:下一個加密貨幣牛市週期的潛在突破明星
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- 隨著加密貨幣市場為下一個牛市週期做準備,一些代幣可能會產生驚人的利潤。 DOGS Token、PEPE Coin 和 Rexas Finance (RXS) 因其創造改變生活的貨幣的潛力而引起了投資者的興趣。
-
- 聯準會降息後比特幣飆升至一個月高點 64,661 美元,日圓下跌
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- 分析師預計將進一步降息,年底前可能降息 125 個基點。
-
- 美國前總統唐納德·川普在紐約市的 PubKey 進行了他的第一筆比特幣交易
- 2024-09-23 20:15:02
- 這起事件迅速引起了政界和加密貨幣界的關注,凸顯了川普對數位資產領域的日益參與。