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加密貨幣新聞文章

需求激增、供應減少、減半迫在眉睫,比特幣面臨流動性危機擔憂

2024/03/31 03:50

由於需求激增和供應減少,比特幣市場預計將出現流動性危機。鏈上數據顯示,每月需求顯著增加(40,000 至213,000 BTC),而流通供應量已降至270 萬,為2020 年3 月以來的最低水準。這些事件的結合有可能引發市場擠壓,可能會推高比特幣的價格明顯較高。然而,分析師警告稱,流動性匱乏的市場具有雙刃性質,可能導致極端波動。隨著減半事件的臨近,分析師預測,比特幣可能會進入橫盤交易期,然後再恢復看漲趨勢。

需求激增、供應減少、減半迫在眉睫,比特幣面臨流動性危機擔憂

Amidst a Convergence of Surging Demand and Dwindling Supply, Bitcoin Market Faces Potential Liquidity Crisis and Anticipation of Halving Event

需求激增與供給減少交織,比特幣市場面臨潛在流動性危機與減半事件預期

The Bitcoin market is on the cusp of a critical juncture, with a confluence of factors threatening to trigger a liquidity crisis. This potential shortage of available Bitcoin coincides with the rapidly approaching halving event, historically a bullish catalyst for the world's most popular cryptocurrency.

比特幣市場正處於關鍵時刻,多種因素交織在一起,有可能引發流動性危機。可用比特幣的潛在短缺恰逢減半事件迅速臨近,這在歷史上是世界上最受歡迎的加密貨幣的看漲催化劑。

Bitcoin Demand Skyrockets

比特幣需求飆升

Data analytics firm CryptoQuant has identified a staggering surge in Bitcoin demand in recent weeks. Monthly demand has skyrocketed from 40,000 BTC in February to an astonishing 213,000 BTC in March. This unprecedented increase is attributed to multiple drivers, including the launch of new Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and aggressive accumulation by high net worth investors known as "whales."

數據分析公司 CryptoQuant 發現最近幾週比特幣需求出現驚人激增。每月需求從 2 月的 40,000 BTC 飆升至 3 月的驚人 213,000 BTC。這種前所未有的成長歸因於多種驅動因素​​,包括新的比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的推出以及被稱為「鯨魚」的高淨值投資者的積極累積。

Limited Supply Exacerbates Liquidity Concerns

供應有限加劇流動性擔憂

On the supply side, the total circulating supply of Bitcoin has plunged to just 2.7 million coins, marking the lowest level since the market crash of March 2020. This widening gap between surging demand and contracting supply creates the potential for a severe market squeeze.

在供應方面,比特幣的總流通供應量已驟降至僅270 萬枚,這是自2020 年3 月市場崩盤以來的最低水平。需求激增與供應收縮之間的差距不斷擴大,可能會造成嚴重的市場擠壓。

According to fundamental economic principles, such a shortage could drive Bitcoin's price significantly higher in the near future. However, analysts caution that a market starved of liquidity can be a double-edged sword. While it may fuel a price surge, it can also lead to extreme volatility and unpredictable market fluctuations.

根據基本經濟原理,這種短缺可能會在不久的將來推動比特幣的價格大幅上漲。然而,分析師警告稱,缺乏流動性的市場可能是一把雙面刃。雖然它可能會推動價格飆升,但也可能導致極度波動和不可預測的市場波動。

Halving Event Looms on the Horizon

減半事件迫在眉睫

With the halving event less than 20 days away, all eyes are on how this historical price catalyst will unfold. The halving refers to a pre-programmed event in Bitcoin's code that will cut the block reward for miners in half, effectively slowing down the rate at which new Bitcoins are created.

距離減半事件還有不到 20 天的時間,所有人都在關注這段歷史性的價格催化劑將如何展開。減半是指比特幣程式碼中的一個預先編程的事件,它將把礦工的區塊獎勵減少一半,從而有效地減慢新比特幣的創建速度。

This event has historically coincided with bullish periods for Bitcoin, and many investors are eagerly anticipating whether this cycle will hold true this time around.

從歷史上看,這一事件與比特幣的牛市時期重合,許多投資者熱切地期待這次週期是否會成立。

Market Outlook and Analyst Insights

市場展望與分析師見解

Popular crypto analysts are offering their perspectives on Bitcoin's price trajectory amid these converging factors. Analyst Mags suggests that Bitcoin may enter a period of sideways trading near its current all-time high of $70,000. Mags draws parallels to the 2016 halving cycle, where the price consolidated for approximately 150 days before embarking on a historic bull run.

在這些綜合因素的影響下,受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師對比特幣的價格軌跡發表了自己的看法。分析師 Mags 表示,比特幣可能會在當前歷史高點 7 萬美元附近進入橫盤交易期。 Mags 與 2016 年減半週期相似,當時價格盤整了大約 150 天,然後開始了歷史性的牛市。

Mags views any short-term price dips as opportunities for investors to accumulate Bitcoin before a potential parabolic surge.

Mags 認為,任何短期價格下跌都是投資者在比特幣潛在拋物線飆升之前累積比特幣的機會。

Caution and Monitoring Advised

建議注意和監控

The coming weeks will be pivotal for Bitcoin as it navigates the interplay of surging demand, limited supply, and the impending halving event. While the potential for a liquidity crisis exists, the historical bullish sentiment surrounding the halving suggests a possible breakout for Bitcoin.

未來幾週對比特幣來說至關重要,因為它需要應對需求激增、供應有限和即將到來的減半事件的相互作用。儘管存在流動性危機的可能性,但圍繞減半的歷史看漲情緒表明比特幣可能會突破。

Investors are advised to tread cautiously and monitor market conditions closely, keeping an eye on both price movements and liquidity levels. By doing so, they can position themselves to navigate the upcoming market dynamics and capitalize on potential opportunities.

建議投資人謹慎行事,密切注意市場狀況,密切注意價格走勢和流動性水準。透過這樣做,他們可以定位自己以應對即將到來的市場動態並利用潛在機會。

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