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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣減半可能會讓礦工損失 5B 美元

2024/04/16 00:09

比特幣減半定於 2024 年 4 月進行,由於生產成本增加以及隨後出售 BTC,比特幣減半可能會為 BTC 礦商帶來高達 50 億美元的損失。該事件歷來導致比特幣價格下跌,預計將導致市場供應短缺。由於獎勵減半,礦工面臨收入下降,每日潛在損失達 450 BTC。這種影響可能會延伸到山寨幣的表現,導致公司投資額外的設備並收購競爭對手,以應對利潤減少。

比特幣減半可能會讓礦工損失 5B 美元

Bitcoin Halving Event: Miners Face Losses of $5 Billion

比特幣減半事件:礦工面臨50億美元損失

The impending Bitcoin (BTC) halving event, scheduled for April 20, 2024, has raised significant concerns for the cryptocurrency's miners. This landmark event, which occurs every four years, typically reduces the mining rewards by half, resulting in a potential shortage of BTC supply in the market. However, this adjustment also poses a financial challenge for miners, who face escalating costs in equipment and energy consumption.

即將於 2024 年 4 月 20 日舉行的比特幣 (BTC) 減半事件引起了加密貨幣礦工的嚴重擔憂。這一具有里程碑意義的事件每四年發生一次,通常會將挖礦獎勵減少一半,導致市場上的 BTC 供應可能出現短缺。然而,這項調整也給礦商帶來了財務挑戰,他們面臨著設備和能源消耗成本不斷上升的問題。

Loss Projections and Market Implications

損失預測和市場影響

According to research conducted by Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, the halving event could result in an industry-wide loss of approximately $5 billion for miners. This loss stems from the projected decline in daily mining rewards from 900 to 450 BTC. The reduction in revenue could have a significant impact on the profitability of mining operations.

根據 10x Research 研究主管 Markus Thielen 進行的研究,減半事件可能會為礦工帶來約 50 億美元的全行業損失。這項損失源自於每日挖礦獎勵預計從 900 BTC 下降至 450 BTC。收入的減少可能會對採礦業務的獲利能力產生重大影響。

Thielen predicts that this decline in revenue could lead to a prolonged period of downward pressure on BTC prices, potentially lasting for four to six months. This scenario is supported by historical evidence; following the 2020 halving, BTC prices remained within a tight range between $9,000 and $11,500 for five months.

蒂倫預測,收入的下降可能會導致比特幣價格長期承受下行壓力,可能持續四到六個月。這種情況有歷史證據支持; 2020 年減半後,比特幣價格連續五個月維持在 9,000 美元至 11,500 美元之間的窄幅區間內。

Industry Response and Mitigation Strategies

產業因應與緩解策略

In anticipation of the revenue losses, some mining companies are taking proactive measures to mitigate the impact. CleanSpark Inc. and Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. have announced plans to invest in new mining equipment and acquire smaller competitors. These acquisitions aim to compensate for the expected decline in revenue by increasing production capacity.

考慮到收入損失,一些礦業公司正在採取積極措施來減輕影響。 CleanSpark Inc. 和 Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. 宣布計劃投資新採礦設備並收購規模較小的競爭對手。這些收購旨在透過增加產能來彌補預期的收入下降。

Marathon, the world's largest Bitcoin miner, currently generates 28-30 BTC per day. After the halving, this production is expected to fall to 14-15 BTC per day. Marathon's CEO, Peter Thiel, has estimated that the company's break-even point will be over $46,000 per BTC to remain profitable after the halving.

Marathon 是全球最大的比特幣礦商,目前每天產出 28-30 BTC。減半後,產量預計將降至每天 14-15 BTC。 Marathon 執行長 Peter Thiel 估計,該公司的損益平衡點將超過每 BTC 46,000 美元,以在減半後保持盈利。

BTC Halving Details

BTC減半詳情

The halving event is a programmed decrease in the mining rewards for each block mined in the Bitcoin blockchain. It occurs every 210,000 blocks and reduces the reward by half. In 2024, the reward will be cut from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. This process continues until the last BTC is mined, which is estimated to occur around the year 2140.

減半事件是比特幣區塊鏈中開採的每個區塊的採礦獎勵的有計劃的減少。每 21 萬個區塊就會發生一次,並將獎勵減少一半。 2024 年,獎勵將從 6.25 BTC 削減至 3.125 BTC。這個過程一直持續到最後一個 BTC 被開採出來,預計發生在 2140 年左右。

Current Market Conditions

目前的市場狀況

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $66,307.84, with a market capitalization of $1,307,906,058,239. The circulating supply of BTC stands at 19,683,106, out of a maximum supply of 21 million.

截至撰寫本文時,BTC 交易價格為 66,307.84 美元,市值為 1,307,906,058,239 美元。 BTC 的流通供應量為 19,683,106,最大供應量為 2,100 萬。

Conclusion

結論

The upcoming Bitcoin halving event is a significant market event with potential implications for both miners and investors. Miners face financial challenges due to declining rewards, while investors may experience a prolonged period of market volatility. The industry is responding with proactive measures, but the full impact of the halving remains to be seen. As the event approaches, investors and miners alike should monitor market developments closely to navigate the potential opportunities and risks.

即將到來的比特幣減半事件是一個重大市場事件,對礦工和投資者都有潛在影響。由於回報下降,礦工面臨財務挑戰,而投資者可能會經歷長期的市場波動。該行業正在採取積極措施應對,但減半的全面影響仍有待觀察。隨著活動的臨近,投資者和礦商都應密切關注市場發展,以掌握潛在的機會和風險。

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2024年12月29日 其他文章發表於