卡爾達諾（ADA）價格分析和預測：分析師警告稱，調整尚未結束

據加密貨幣分析師 Nick Regan 稱，卡爾達諾的 ADA 代幣最近有所下跌，自 12 月 24 日以來價值下跌了 10.52%。

Crypto analyst Nick Regan has observed a decline in Cardano’s ADA token, with a 10.52% loss since December 24. His analysis examines short-term and long-term price movements, highlighting key ADA price levels and potential trends.

加密貨幣分析師 Nick Regan 觀察到 Cardano 的 ADA 代幣下跌，自 12 月 24 日以來下跌了 10.52%。

At press time, ADA trades at $0.8713, showing a 3.70% dip in the last 24 hours and a 10.06% decrease over the past week, according to CoinGecko data. This analysis aims to provide insights into ADA’s immediate and future price trajectories.

根據 CoinGecko 數據，截至發稿時，ADA 交易價格為 0.8713 美元，過去 24 小時內下跌 3.70%，過去一週下跌 10.06%。該分析旨在深入了解 ADA 的當前和未來價格軌跡。

Cardano Technicals Hint at Further Downside

卡爾達諾技術面暗示進一步下行

Regan’s technical analysis suggests a continuation of the downward trend. On the 1-hour chart, support is at $0.7620, with resistance near the 50 EMA and 50 SMA. Previously established support levels are now turning into resistance, indicating bearish momentum.

雷根的技術分析顯示下降趨勢將持續。 1小時圖上，支撐位在0.7,620美元，阻力位在50均線和50均線附近。先前建立的支撐位現已轉變為阻力位，顯示看跌勢頭。

The Fibonacci retracement tool pinpoints potential short-term targets between $0.7890 and $0.8183. Regan anticipates another downward move before stabilization, stating,

斐波那契回檔工具精確定位了 0.7890 美元至 0.8183 美元之間的潛在短期目標。雷根預計在穩定之前會再次下跌，他表示，

“This pull to the downside is not yet complete. I anticipate another run lower before we see stabilization.”

「這種下行趨勢尚未完成。我預計在我們看到穩定之前還會出現下跌。

Momentum indicators, like the MACD histogram, show increasing volume but suggest a likely rejection near the resistance zones. Overbought momentum conditions further support the potential for additional corrections.

動量指標（如 MACD 長條圖）顯示成交量增加，但顯示阻力區附近可能會遭到拒絕。超買動量狀況進一步支持了進一步修正的可能性。

A Strategic Opportunity: Shorting ADA

戰略機遇：做空 ADA

The analysis presents a shorting strategy for traders, suggesting entering a short position near $0.8818, with a stop loss at $0.9260 and a target at $0.8140. This aligns with Fibonacci levels and momentum indicators, according to Regan.

該分析為交易者提供了做空策略，建議在 0.8818 美元附近建立空頭頭寸，停損為 0.9260 美元，目標為 0.8140 美元。雷根表示，這與斐波那契水準和動量指標一致。

ADA is in the corrective phase of a larger downward move, as per Regan. The anticipated five-wave structure is expected to complete before a potential upswing begins.

根據 Regan 的說法，ADA 正處於更大幅度下跌的修正階段。預期的五浪結構預計將在潛在的上漲開始之前完成。

Also Read: Expert Charts XRP’s Price Path to $8.67 – Here’s the Outlook

另請閱讀：專家繪製 XRP 價格走勢至 8.67 美元——展望如下

Long-Term Projections and Risks

長期預測與風險

On a daily time frame, ADA appears to be in Wave 2 of a larger Wave 5 structure.

在每日時間範圍內，ADA 似乎處於更大的第 5 波結構的第 2 波。

Regan’s analysis projects a target range between $1.51 and $1.88, contingent on breaking critical Fibonacci levels at $1.38 and $1.67. A failure to surpass $2.27 could result in a diagonal price structure, which might lead to prolonged volatility.

Regan 的分析預計目標區間為 1.51 美元至 1.88 美元，具體取決於突破關鍵斐波那契水準 1.38 美元至 1.67 美元。如果未能超過 2.27 美元，可能會導致對角線價格結構，從而導致長期波動。

“Failing to hit $2.27 puts us in a diagonal pattern—an emotional roller coaster for Cardano fans,” he noted.

「未能達到 2.27 美元會讓我們陷入對角線模式——對於卡爾達諾粉絲來說，就像坐過山車一樣，」他指出。

While the immediate outlook for ADA points to further declines, the long-term view suggests a potential recovery toward higher price levels. Watching critical resistance zones and assessing the price action for signs of a breakout above $1.67 to confirm bullish momentum will be key.

雖然 ADA 的近期前景表明價格將進一步下跌，但長期觀點表明價格可能會回升至更高水平。觀察關鍵阻力區並評估價格走勢，尋找突破 1.67 美元上方的跡象，以確認看漲動能將是關鍵。

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