比特幣剛剛爆炸了兩週的高點，原因是？

圍繞美國政府即將進行的重大加密政策更新的大量猜測 - 可能與唐納德·特朗普有關

Bitcoin just past two-week highs, and what sparked the latest leg of the rally? A flood of speculation surrounding an imminent major crypto policy update from the U.S. government—possibly linked to Donald Trump.

比特幣剛剛經過兩週的高點，是什麼引發了拉力賽的最新腿？圍繞美國政府即將進行的重大加密政策更新的大量猜測 - 可能與唐納德·特朗普有關。

As BTC surged to nearly $87,500 on March 20, traders and analysts were scrambling to decipher whether this was just a reaction to Federal Reserve policy confirmations or the beginning of a seismic shift in U.S. crypto strategy.

3月20日，BTC飆升至近87,500美元，商人和分析師爭先恐後地破譯這是否只是對美聯儲政策確認的反應，還是美國加密貨幣戰略的地震轉變開始。

Fed’s Powell Paves the Way for a Bitcoin Boom

美聯儲的鮑威爾為比特幣繁榮鋪平了道路

Bitcoin’s surge didn’t come out of the blue. A day prior, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell had calmed markets by keeping interest rates and signaled two potential cuts by year-end. Powell’s mentioned that inflation has “eased significantly” provided relief to risk assets like crypto and stocks.

比特幣的激增並非藍色。前一天，美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）通過保持利率來平靜下來，並在年底時指出了兩次潛在的削減。鮑威爾（Powell）提到，通貨膨脹“大大減輕”為加密和股票等風險資產提供了緩解。

This was enough to inject confidence back into the S&P 500, which rose 1% on the same day and saw its market cap increase by a staggering $500 billion.

這足以將信心恢復到標準普爾500指數，同一天上漲了1％，並使其市值增加了500億美元。

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes took to X (formerly Twitter) to highlight the significance of Powell’s shift in stance. He suggested that the move away from quantitative tightening (QT) could mark the beginning of a more favorable environment for Bitcoin.

Bitmex前首席執行官Arthur Hayes登上X（以前是Twitter），以強調鮑威爾在立場上的轉變的重要性。他建議，遠離定量收緊（QT）可以標誌著比特幣更有利的環境的開始。

“QT basically over Apr 1. The next thing we need to get bulled up for realz is either SLR exemption and or a restart of QE,” Hayes stated, hinting that further economic shifts could send Bitcoin soaring even higher.

海耶斯說：“基本上，QT基本上超過了4月1日。下一步我們需要為Realz欺負的是SLR的豁免和或重新啟動量化寬鬆。”

Trump’s Crypto Plans: A Game-Changer?

特朗普的加密計劃：改變遊戲規則？

However, the real driver of Bitcoin’s recent price action appears to be something even bigger—rumors that Trump’s administration is preparing a significant crypto announcement.

但是，比特幣最近的價格行動的真正驅動力似乎是更大的事情 - 特朗普政府正在準備大量加密宣布。

According to reports, an update could arrive as early as March 21, and speculation is running wild about what it might entail.

據報導，最早可能會在3月21日進行更新，並且人們對它可能需要的東西很瘋狂。

The Kobeissi Letter, a well-known trading resource, added fuel to the fire by pointing out that this would be Trump’s first major crypto update since March 6, when the controversial national crypto reserve was announced. While that initiative didn’t involve the U.S. directly purchasing Bitcoin, it still marked a shift in policy.

Kobeissi信件是一項著名的交易資源，他指出這將是自3月6日宣布有爭議的國家加密保護區以來特朗普的首次重大加密更新。儘管該計劃並不涉及美國直接購買比特幣，但它仍然標誌著政策的轉變。

Now, traders are wondering: is the next move going to be even bigger?

現在，交易者想知道：下一步會更大嗎？

One potential game-changer could be a shift in regulatory stance, making the U.S. more crypto-friendly and encouraging institutional adoption. Given Trump’s past remarks about digital assets and his focus on economic competitiveness, a pro-Bitcoin move could send shockwaves through the market.

一個潛在的改變遊戲規則的人可能是監管立場的轉變，使美國更加友好並鼓勵機構採用。鑑於特朗普過去關於數字資產的言論以及他對經濟競爭力的關注，親幣的舉動可能會引起衝擊波。

Traders Eye Next Resistance Levels

交易者眼睛的下一個阻力水平

Bitcoin has already broken through key resistance levels with its latest rally, and analysts are growing increasingly optimistic.

通過其最新集會，比特幣已經通過關鍵阻力水平打破了，分析師越來越樂觀。

Popular trader Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC only needs to rally an additional 8% to reclaim its broader trading range and end the current downside deviation.

受歡迎的交易者Rekt Capital強調，BTC只需要再增加8％即可收回其更廣泛的交易範圍並結束當前的下行偏差。

If Trump’s crypto announcement delivers on expectations, Bitcoin could easily surpass this threshold, potentially setting the stage for a new leg up in the bull run.

如果特朗普的加密貨幣公告提出了期望，那麼比特幣很容易超越這個門檻，有可能為公牛奔跑的新腿奠定基礎。

On the flip side, if the rumors fail to materialize or the update is underwhelming, BTC could see a sharp correction.

另一方面，如果謠言未能實現或更新不足，BTC可能會看到急劇的校正。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

The next 24 hours could be pivotal for Bitcoin. Between the Federal Reserve’s softer stance and the potential for a massive U.S. crypto policy shift, traders are bracing for volatility.

接下來的24小時可能是比特幣的關鍵。在美聯儲的柔和立場和大規模加密政策轉變的潛力之間，交易者正在為波動而做好準備。

If Trump’s administration does unveil a game-changing crypto strategy, we could be witnessing the start of an unprecedented Bitcoin rally. But if the hype turns out to be just that—hype—markets may need to recalibrate fast.

如果特朗普的政府確實推出了改變遊戲規則的加密策略，我們可能會目睹前所未有的比特幣集會的開始。但是，如果事實證明炒作是那樣的，那麼市場可能需要快速重新校準。

One thing is certain: all eyes are on March 21. Will Bitcoin blast off even further, or are we in for a reality check? The answer could reshape the crypto landscape for months to come.

可以肯定的是：所有人的目光都在3月21日。比特幣會進一步爆炸，還是我們要進行現實檢查？答案可能會在未來幾個月內重塑加密景觀。