比特币刚刚爆炸了两周的高点，原因是？

围绕美国政府即将进行的重大加密政策更新的大量猜测 - 可能与唐纳德·特朗普有关

Bitcoin just past two-week highs, and what sparked the latest leg of the rally? A flood of speculation surrounding an imminent major crypto policy update from the U.S. government—possibly linked to Donald Trump.

比特币刚刚经过两周的高点，是什么引发了拉力赛的最新腿？围绕美国政府即将进行的重大加密政策更新的大量猜测 - 可能与唐纳德·特朗普有关。

As BTC surged to nearly $87,500 on March 20, traders and analysts were scrambling to decipher whether this was just a reaction to Federal Reserve policy confirmations or the beginning of a seismic shift in U.S. crypto strategy.

3月20日，BTC飙升至近87,500美元，商人和分析师争先恐后地破译这是否只是对美联储政策确认的反应，还是美国加密货币战略的地震转变开始。

Fed’s Powell Paves the Way for a Bitcoin Boom

美联储的鲍威尔为比特币繁荣铺平了道路

Bitcoin’s surge didn’t come out of the blue. A day prior, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell had calmed markets by keeping interest rates and signaled two potential cuts by year-end. Powell’s mentioned that inflation has “eased significantly” provided relief to risk assets like crypto and stocks.

比特币的激增并非蓝色。前一天，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）通过保持利率来平静下来，并在年底时指出了两次潜在的削减。鲍威尔（Powell）提到，通货膨胀“大大减轻”为加密和股票等风险资产提供了缓解。

This was enough to inject confidence back into the S&P 500, which rose 1% on the same day and saw its market cap increase by a staggering $500 billion.

这足以将信心恢复到标准普尔500指数，同一天上涨了1％，并使其市值增加了500亿美元。

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes took to X (formerly Twitter) to highlight the significance of Powell’s shift in stance. He suggested that the move away from quantitative tightening (QT) could mark the beginning of a more favorable environment for Bitcoin.

Bitmex前首席执行官Arthur Hayes登上X（以前是Twitter），以强调鲍威尔在立场上的转变的重要性。他建议，远离定量收紧（QT）可以标志着比特币更有利的环境的开始。

“QT basically over Apr 1. The next thing we need to get bulled up for realz is either SLR exemption and or a restart of QE,” Hayes stated, hinting that further economic shifts could send Bitcoin soaring even higher.

海耶斯说：“基本上，QT基本上超过了4月1日。下一步我们需要为Realz欺负的是SLR的豁免和或重新启动量化宽松。”

Trump’s Crypto Plans: A Game-Changer?

特朗普的加密计划：改变游戏规则？

However, the real driver of Bitcoin’s recent price action appears to be something even bigger—rumors that Trump’s administration is preparing a significant crypto announcement.

但是，比特币最近的价格行动的真正驱动力似乎是更大的事情 - 特朗普政府正在准备大量加密宣布。

According to reports, an update could arrive as early as March 21, and speculation is running wild about what it might entail.

据报道，最早可能会在3月21日进行更新，并且人们对它可能需要的东西很疯狂。

The Kobeissi Letter, a well-known trading resource, added fuel to the fire by pointing out that this would be Trump’s first major crypto update since March 6, when the controversial national crypto reserve was announced. While that initiative didn’t involve the U.S. directly purchasing Bitcoin, it still marked a shift in policy.

Kobeissi信件是一项著名的交易资源，他指出这将是自3月6日宣布有争议的国家加密保护区以来特朗普的首次重大加密更新。尽管该计划并不涉及美国直接购买比特币，但它仍然标志着政策的转变。

Now, traders are wondering: is the next move going to be even bigger?

现在，交易者想知道：下一步会更大吗？

One potential game-changer could be a shift in regulatory stance, making the U.S. more crypto-friendly and encouraging institutional adoption. Given Trump’s past remarks about digital assets and his focus on economic competitiveness, a pro-Bitcoin move could send shockwaves through the market.

一个潜在的改变游戏规则的人可能是监管立场的转变，使美国更加友好并鼓励机构采用。鉴于特朗普过去关于数字资产的言论以及他对经济竞争力的关注，亲币的举动可能会引起冲击波。

Traders Eye Next Resistance Levels

交易者眼睛的下一个阻力水平

Bitcoin has already broken through key resistance levels with its latest rally, and analysts are growing increasingly optimistic.

通过其最新集会，比特币已经通过关键阻力水平打破了，分析师越来越乐观。

Popular trader Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC only needs to rally an additional 8% to reclaim its broader trading range and end the current downside deviation.

受欢迎的交易者Rekt Capital强调，BTC只需要再增加8％即可收回其更广泛的交易范围并结束当前的下行偏差。

If Trump’s crypto announcement delivers on expectations, Bitcoin could easily surpass this threshold, potentially setting the stage for a new leg up in the bull run.

如果特朗普的加密货币公告提出了期望，那么比特币很容易超越这个门槛，有可能为公牛奔跑的新腿奠定基础。

On the flip side, if the rumors fail to materialize or the update is underwhelming, BTC could see a sharp correction.

另一方面，如果谣言未能实现或更新不足，BTC可能会看到急剧的校正。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

The next 24 hours could be pivotal for Bitcoin. Between the Federal Reserve’s softer stance and the potential for a massive U.S. crypto policy shift, traders are bracing for volatility.

接下来的24小时可能是比特币的关键。在美联储的柔和立场和大规模加密政策转变的潜力之间，交易者正在为波动而做好准备。

If Trump’s administration does unveil a game-changing crypto strategy, we could be witnessing the start of an unprecedented Bitcoin rally. But if the hype turns out to be just that—hype—markets may need to recalibrate fast.

如果特朗普的政府确实推出了改变游戏规则的加密策略，我们可能会目睹前所未有的比特币集会的开始。但是，如果事实证明炒作是那样的，那么市场可能需要快速重新校准。

One thing is certain: all eyes are on March 21. Will Bitcoin blast off even further, or are we in for a reality check? The answer could reshape the crypto landscape for months to come.

可以肯定的是：所有人的目光都在3月21日。比特币会进一步爆炸，还是我们要进行现实检查？答案可能会在未来几个月内重塑加密景观。