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隨著加密貨幣努力維持其地位,希夫的分析凸顯了一個令人不安的趨勢:比特幣的表現明顯落後於黃金。
Peter Schiff, a well-known financial commentator and Bitcoin skeptic, has issued a stark warning: the cryptocurrency may have entered a bear market.
著名金融評論員、比特幣懷疑論者彼得希夫(Peter Schiff)發出嚴厲警告:加密貨幣可能已進入熊市。
With Bitcoin struggling to maintain its footing, Schiff's analysis highlights a troubling trend: the cryptocurrency's performance has significantly lagged behind that of gold.
隨著比特幣難以站穩腳跟,希夫的分析凸顯了一個令人不安的趨勢:加密貨幣的表現明顯落後於黃金。
Since its peak nearly three years ago, Bitcoin has seen a drop of approximately 40%, raising questions about its long-term viability as an investment. A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Performance
自近三年前達到頂峰以來,比特幣已經下跌了約 40%,引發了人們對其作為投資的長期可行性的質疑。仔細觀察比特幣的表現
According to Schiff, Bitcoin holders, commonly known as HODLers, might be overlooking the realities of the current market landscape.
希夫表示,比特幣持有者(通常稱為 HODLers)可能忽略了當前市場格局的現實。
Despite Bitcoin holding above the critical support level of $60,000, Schiff warns that this could be a temporary situation. His perspective is that the persistent difficulties facing Bitcoin are indicative of a broader failure among investors to recognize the shifting dynamics of the market.
儘管比特幣保持在 6 萬美元的關鍵支撐位之上,但 Schiff 警告稱,這可能只是暫時的情況。他的觀點是,比特幣面臨的持續困難表明投資者普遍未能認識到市場動態的變化。
Schiff emphasizes that Bitcoin's struggle becomes particularly apparent when compared to gold. Historically viewed as a safe-haven asset, gold has maintained its appeal during times of economic uncertainty, whereas Bitcoin's allure as a store of value has come under scrutiny.
希夫強調,與黃金相比,比特幣的困境變得特別明顯。歷史上,黃金被視為避險資產,在經濟不確定時期仍保持其吸引力,而比特幣作為價值儲存手段的吸引力卻受到密切關注。
This discrepancy is compounded by ongoing global economic challenges that are exerting pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The Economic Landscape
持續的全球經濟挑戰給包括加密貨幣在內的風險資產帶來壓力,加劇了這種差異。經濟格局
The current economic climate is marked by inflationary pressures, interest rate fluctuations, and geopolitical tensions. These factors contribute to an atmosphere of uncertainty, affecting investor sentiment and decision-making.
當前的經濟環境以通膨壓力、利率波動和地緣政治緊張為特徵。這些因素造成了不確定的氣氛,影響了投資人的情緒和決策。
In this context, Schiff argues that many risk assets, including Bitcoin, may face headwinds that could lead to further declines in value. The Influence of Institutional Investors
在這種背景下,希夫認為,包括比特幣在內的許多風險資產可能面臨可能導致價值進一步下跌的阻力。機構投資人的影響
Recent data from Glassnode provides a more nuanced view of Bitcoin's recent behavior. It reveals that about 4-5% of all net capital inflows into Bitcoin since January are tied to U.S. spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The cost basis for these ETFs ranges from $54,900 to $59,100.
Glassnode 的最新數據提供了對比特幣近期行為的更細緻的看法。報告顯示,自 1 月以來,流入比特幣的所有淨資本中約有 4-5% 與美國現貨交易所交易基金 (ETF) 相關。這些 ETF 的成本基礎範圍為 54,900 美元至 59,100 美元。
This means that many institutional investors are nearing their break-even point, which could incentivize them to sell if Bitcoin's price dips below these levels. This scenario paints a concerning picture for the cryptocurrency.
這意味著許多機構投資者正在接近盈虧平衡點,如果比特幣價格跌破這些水平,這可能會激勵他們出售。這種情況為加密貨幣描繪了一幅令人擔憂的畫面。
If Bitcoin were to drop below $59,000, it might trigger a wave of selling among these institutional investors, further accelerating its decline. Schiff advises those with bullish views on Bitcoin to reassess their positions, especially since the support level of $60,000 has been tested but remains precarious.
如果比特幣跌破59,000美元,可能會引發這些機構投資者的拋售潮,進一步加速其下跌。 Schiff 建議那些看好比特幣的人重新評估自己的頭寸,特別是因為 60,000 美元的支撐位已經受到考驗,但仍然不穩定。
Key Price Levels to Monitor
需要監控的關鍵價格水平
In navigating this uncertain landscape, Schiff underscores the importance of monitoring critical price levels. Two significant thresholds to watch are $59,000 on the downside and $64,000 on the upside. A breach below $59,000 could signal an extended bear market, while a rise above $64,000 may rekindle optimism for a potential recovery.
在應對這種不確定的情況時,希夫強調了監控關鍵價格水準的重要性。值得關注的兩個重要門檻是下行 59,000 美元和上行 64,000 美元。跌破 59,000 美元可能預示著熊市將會延長,而升破 64,000 美元可能會重新點燃對潛在復甦的樂觀情緒。
The unpredictability of market trends means that only time will reveal the true strength of Bitcoin. The current situation serves as a reminder that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and investors must remain vigilant in the face of potential downturns.
市場趨勢的不可預測性意味著只有時間才能揭示比特幣的真正實力。目前的情況提醒人們,加密貨幣市場本質上是不穩定的,面對潛在的低迷,投資人必須保持警惕。
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