比特幣跌破 6 萬美元，但分析師仍長期看好

5 月 1 日，比特幣跌破 6 萬美元，顯示上升趨勢減弱。儘管下跌削弱了短期情緒，分析師仍看好長期前景。負面消息，包括對香港比特幣和以太坊 ETF 的淡靜反應，加劇了看跌情緒。儘管價格走勢看跌，但每次多頭市場都會經歷調整，為長期投資者提供切入點。在開始大額交易之前，確認底部至關重要。正如對十大加密貨幣的技術分析所示，如果比特幣和山寨幣迅速復甦，激進的空頭可能會陷入困境。

Bitcoin Retreats Below $60,000, Analysts Maintain Long-Term Optimism

比特幣回落至 6 萬美元以下，分析師保持長期樂觀

On May 1, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant decline, breaking below the critical support level of $60,000. This market movement has raised concerns about the short-term trajectory of the cryptocurrency, but analysts remain largely bullish in their long-term outlook.

5 月 1 日，比特幣（BTC）經歷了大幅下跌，跌破了 6 萬美元的關鍵支撐位。這一市場走勢引發了人們對加密貨幣短期趨勢的擔憂，但分析師仍基本看好其長期前景。

Market Sentiment Dented by Negative News

負面消息打擊市場情緒

The bearish price action has amplified negative sentiment among traders, particularly in light of the muted response to the recently launched Hong Kong spot Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Continued outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States have further rattled nerves.

看跌的價格走勢放大了交易者的負面情緒，特別是考慮到最近推出的香港現貨比特幣和以太幣（ETH）交易所交易基金（ETF）反應平淡。美國現貨比特幣 ETF 的持續資金外流進一步加劇了人們的緊張情緒。

Sharp Corrections Expected in Bull Markets

牛市預計將大幅調整

Experts emphasize that sharp corrections are an inherent part of bull markets, służąc as opportunities for weak hands to exit their positions. These lower levels provide a valuable opportunity for long-term investors to accumulate additional assets at favorable prices. It is prudent, however, to wait for a clear confirmation of a price bottom before making substantial investments.

專家強調，大幅調整是多頭市場的固有組成部分，也是弱手退出部位的機會。這些較低的水平為長期投資者提供了以優惠價格累積額外資產的寶貴機會。然而，謹慎的做法是等待價格底部明確確認後再進行大量投資。

Technical Analysis of Top 10 Cryptocurrencies

十大加密貨幣技術分析

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特幣（BTC）

BTC's consolidation phase ended in a bearish resolution on May 1, indicating a shift in momentum. Resistance at $59,600 could hinder buyers' attempts to drive the price higher. Conversely, a break above the 50-day simple moving average ($66,596) would offer a positive reversal signal.

BTC 的盤整階段於 5 月 1 日以看跌決議結束，表明勢頭髮生轉變。 59,600 美元的阻力位可能會阻礙買家推高價格的嘗試。相反，突破 50 日簡單移動平均線（66,596 美元）將提供積極的反轉訊號。

Ether (ETH)

以太幣（ETH）

ETH's breakdown below the 20-day exponential moving average ($3,170) and $3,056 support on April 30 signaled a shift to bearish control. Bulls must swiftly push the price back above the moving averages to regain control. Failure to do so could result in a further decline towards $2,700 and subsequently $2,400.

4 月 30 日，ETH 跌破 20 日指數移動平均線（3,170 美元）和 3,056 美元支撐位，標誌著轉向看跌控制。多頭必須迅速將價格推回移動平均線上方才能重新獲得控制權。如果不這樣做，可能會導致價格進一步下跌至 2,700 美元，隨後跌至 2,400 美元。

BNB (BNB)

幣安幣 (BNB)

BNB's long-tailed candlestick on April 30 indicates buying at lower levels, but bulls were unable to sustain the momentum. If the price falls below $495, it could trigger a drop towards $460 and later $400. A bounce off $495 and a rise above the moving averages would suggest a continuation of the range-bound action.

BNB 4 月 30 日的長尾燭台表明買盤處於較低水平，但多頭無法維持這一勢頭。如果價格跌破 495 美元，可能會跌至 460 美元，然後跌至 400 美元。從 495 美元反彈併升破移動平均線將表明區間波動將持續。

Solana (SOL)

索拉納 (太陽)

SOL's failure to rebound off $126 highlights bearish dominance. If the $116 support level is breached, the price could plummet to $100. A recovery requires a quick push above the 20-day EMA ($144), potentially triggering a short squeeze and a rally towards the 50-day SMA ($166).

SOL 未能從 126 美元反彈，凸顯了看跌主導地位。如果 116 美元的支撐位被突破，價格可能會暴跌至 100 美元。復甦需要快速突破 20 日均線（144 美元），可能引發空頭擠壓並反彈至 50 日均線（166 美元）。

XRP (XRP)

瑞波幣 (XRP)

XRP's attempted recovery from $0.50 on April 29 failed, with sustained selling pushing the price below $0.50. A retest of $0.46 is likely, which bulls must defend to avoid a potential downtrend. A bounce off $0.46 and rise above the 50-day SMA ($0.57) would signal a weakening of the bears' grip.

XRP 於 4 月 29 日試圖從 0.50 美元回升，但失敗了，持續的拋售將價格推低至 0.50 美元以下。可能會重新測試 0.46 美元，多頭必須捍衛這一點以避免潛在的下跌趨勢。從 0.46 美元反彈併升破 50 日移動平均線（0.57 美元）將表明空頭控制力減弱。

Dogecoin (DOGE)

狗狗幣 (DOGE)

DOGE's price collapse intensified after it broke below a symmetrical triangle pattern. The neckline of a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern has been breached, suggesting further declines towards $0.10 and $0.08. A swift recovery above the neckline would indicate strong buying and a possible trend reversal.

DOGE 跌破對稱三角形形態後，其價格暴跌加劇。看跌頭肩形態的頸線已被突破，顯示價格進一步下跌至 0.10 美元和 0.08 美元。迅速恢復至頸線之上將顯示強勁的買盤和可能的趨勢逆轉。

Toncoin (TON)

東幣 (TON)

TON's breakdown below the 50-day SMA ($5.32) confirms bearish pressure. Should the price remain under $4.90, a further decline towards $4.25 and $3.32 is likely. Conversely, a rise above the 20-day EMA ($5.58) would suggest the correction may be ending, potentially leading to a rally towards $6.24.

TON 跌破 50 日移動平均線（5.32 美元）證實了看跌壓力。如果價格保持在 4.90 美元以下，則可能進一步跌向 4.25 美元和 3.32 美元。相反，如果升破 20 日均線（5.58 美元），則表示調整可能結束，可能會導致反彈至 6.24 美元。

Cardano (ADA)

卡爾達諾（ADA）

ADA's recovery attempt from $0.42 faces resistance from the downtrending 20-day EMA ($0.48). A fall below $0.42 could lead to a retest of $0.40 support. The bulls must regain control of the 20-day EMA to signal a potential trend reversal and a rally towards the 50-day SMA ($0.57).

ADA 從 0.42 美元的反彈嘗試面臨下降趨勢的 20 日均線（0.48 美元）的阻力。跌破 0.42 美元可能會導致重新測試 0.40 美元的支撐位。多頭必須重新控制 20 日均線，以顯示潛在的趨勢逆轉和反彈至 50 日均線（0.57 美元）。

Avalanche (AVAX)

雪崩 (AVAX)

AVAX's attempt to reclaim the uptrend line on April 29 was met with resistance, indicating bears' determination to turn it into resistance. A minor support level at $31.92 may be tested, but a breach could trigger a decline towards $29.24. Bulls must clear the downtrend line and push the price towards $42, potentially leading to a rise to the 50-day SMA ($45.68).

AVAX 試圖收復 4 月 29 日的上升趨勢線，但遇到了阻力，表明空頭決心將其轉化為阻力。可能會測試 31.92 美元的小支撐位，但突破可能會引發跌向 29.24 美元的下跌。多頭必須清除下降趨勢線並將價格推向 42 美元，這可能會導致上漲至 50 日移動平均線（45.68 美元）。

Shiba Inu (SHIB)

柴犬 (SHIB)

SHIB's failed attempt to rise above the 20-day EMA ($0.000024) on April 30 underscores bearish strength. A potential decline towards $0.000020 could be met with strong support. Any rally attempt above this level is likely to face resistance at the 20-day EMA. A sharp decline from the EMA would increase the risk of a drop to $0.000018. A clear break and close above the moving averages would be a sign of strength and could lead to a rally towards $0.000033.

SHIB 於 4 月 30 日試圖突破 20 日均線（0.000024 美元），但失敗，凸顯了看跌力量。可能會出現 0.000020 美元的潛在下跌，並得到強有力的支撐。任何高於該水平的反彈嘗試都可能面臨 20 日均線的阻力。 EMA 的大幅下跌將增加跌至 0.000018 美元的風險。明顯突破並收於移動平均線之上將是強勢的跡象，並可能導致反彈至 0.000033 美元。

Disclaimer

免責聲明

Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and individuals should always conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

請注意，此分析僅供參考，不應被視為財務建議或購買、出售或持有任何加密貨幣的建議。交易加密貨幣涉及重大風險，個人在做出任何投資決定之前應始終進行自己的研究。