比特币跌破 6 万美元，但分析师仍长期看好

5 月 1 日，比特币跌破 60,000 美元，表明上升趋势减弱。尽管下跌削弱了短期情绪，但分析师仍看好长期前景。负面消息，包括对香港比特币和以太坊 ETF 的淡静反应，加剧了看跌情绪。尽管价格走势看跌，但每次牛市都会经历调整，为长期投资者提供切入点。在开始大额交易之前，确认底部至关重要。正如对十大加密货币的技术分析所示，如果比特币和山寨币迅速复苏，激进的空头可能会陷入困境。

Bitcoin Retreats Below $60,000, Analysts Maintain Long-Term Optimism

比特币回落至 60,000 美元以下，分析师保持长期乐观

On May 1, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant decline, breaking below the critical support level of $60,000. This market movement has raised concerns about the short-term trajectory of the cryptocurrency, but analysts remain largely bullish in their long-term outlook.

5 月 1 日，比特币（BTC）经历了大幅下跌，跌破了 60,000 美元的关键支撑位。这一市场走势引发了人们对加密货币短期走势的担忧，但分析师仍基本看好其长期前景。

Market Sentiment Dented by Negative News

负面消息打击市场情绪

The bearish price action has amplified negative sentiment among traders, particularly in light of the muted response to the recently launched Hong Kong spot Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Continued outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States have further rattled nerves.

看跌的价格走势放大了交易者的负面情绪，特别是考虑到最近推出的香港现货比特币和以太币（ETH）交易所交易基金（ETF）反应平淡。美国现货比特币 ETF 的持续资金外流进一步加剧了人们的紧张情绪。

Sharp Corrections Expected in Bull Markets

牛市预计将出现大幅调整

Experts emphasize that sharp corrections are an inherent part of bull markets, służąc as opportunities for weak hands to exit their positions. These lower levels provide a valuable opportunity for long-term investors to accumulate additional assets at favorable prices. It is prudent, however, to wait for a clear confirmation of a price bottom before making substantial investments.

专家强调，大幅调整是牛市的固有组成部分，也是弱手退出头寸的机会。这些较低的水平为长期投资者提供了以优惠价格积累额外资产的宝贵机会。然而，谨慎的做法是等待价格底部明确确认后再进行大量投资。

Technical Analysis of Top 10 Cryptocurrencies

十大加密货币技术分析

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特币（BTC）

BTC's consolidation phase ended in a bearish resolution on May 1, indicating a shift in momentum. Resistance at $59,600 could hinder buyers' attempts to drive the price higher. Conversely, a break above the 50-day simple moving average ($66,596) would offer a positive reversal signal.

BTC 的盘整阶段于 5 月 1 日以看跌决议结束，表明势头发生转变。 59,600 美元的阻力位可能会阻碍买家推高价格的尝试。相反，突破 50 日简单移动平均线（66,596 美元）将提供积极的反转信号。

Ether (ETH)

以太币（ETH）

ETH's breakdown below the 20-day exponential moving average ($3,170) and $3,056 support on April 30 signaled a shift to bearish control. Bulls must swiftly push the price back above the moving averages to regain control. Failure to do so could result in a further decline towards $2,700 and subsequently $2,400.

4 月 30 日，ETH 跌破 20 日指数移动平均线（3,170 美元）和 3,056 美元支撑位，标志着转向看跌控制。多头必须迅速将价格推回到移动平均线上方才能重新获得控制权。如果不这样做，可能会导致价格进一步下跌至 2,700 美元，随后跌至 2,400 美元。

BNB (BNB)

币安币 (BNB)

BNB's long-tailed candlestick on April 30 indicates buying at lower levels, but bulls were unable to sustain the momentum. If the price falls below $495, it could trigger a drop towards $460 and later $400. A bounce off $495 and a rise above the moving averages would suggest a continuation of the range-bound action.

BNB 4 月 30 日的长尾烛台表明买盘处于较低水平，但多头无法维持这一势头。如果价格跌破 495 美元，可能会跌至 460 美元，然后跌至 400 美元。从 495 美元反弹并升破移动平均线将表明区间波动将持续。

Solana (SOL)

索拉纳 (太阳)

SOL's failure to rebound off $126 highlights bearish dominance. If the $116 support level is breached, the price could plummet to $100. A recovery requires a quick push above the 20-day EMA ($144), potentially triggering a short squeeze and a rally towards the 50-day SMA ($166).

SOL 未能从 126 美元反弹，凸显了看跌主导地位。如果 116 美元的支撑位被突破，价格可能会暴跌至 100 美元。复苏需要快速突破 20 日均线（144 美元），可能引发空头挤压并反弹至 50 日均线（166 美元）。

XRP (XRP)

瑞波币 (XRP)

XRP's attempted recovery from $0.50 on April 29 failed, with sustained selling pushing the price below $0.50. A retest of $0.46 is likely, which bulls must defend to avoid a potential downtrend. A bounce off $0.46 and rise above the 50-day SMA ($0.57) would signal a weakening of the bears' grip.

XRP 于 4 月 29 日试图从 0.50 美元回升，但失败了，持续的抛售将价格推低至 0.50 美元以下。可能会重新测试 0.46 美元，多头必须捍卫这一点以避免潜在的下跌趋势。从 0.46 美元反弹并升破 50 日移动平均线（0.57 美元）将表明空头控制力减弱。

Dogecoin (DOGE)

狗狗币 (DOGE)

DOGE's price collapse intensified after it broke below a symmetrical triangle pattern. The neckline of a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern has been breached, suggesting further declines towards $0.10 and $0.08. A swift recovery above the neckline would indicate strong buying and a possible trend reversal.

DOGE 跌破对称三角形形态后，其价格暴跌加剧。看跌头肩形态的颈线已被突破，表明价格进一步下跌至 0.10 美元和 0.08 美元。迅速恢复至颈线之上将表明强劲的买盘和可能的趋势逆转。

Toncoin (TON)

东币 (TON)

TON's breakdown below the 50-day SMA ($5.32) confirms bearish pressure. Should the price remain under $4.90, a further decline towards $4.25 and $3.32 is likely. Conversely, a rise above the 20-day EMA ($5.58) would suggest the correction may be ending, potentially leading to a rally towards $6.24.

TON 跌破 50 日移动平均线（5.32 美元）证实了看跌压力。如果价格保持在 4.90 美元以下，则可能进一步跌向 4.25 美元和 3.32 美元。相反，如果升破 20 日均线（5.58 美元），则表明调整可能结束，可能会导致反弹至 6.24 美元。

Cardano (ADA)

卡尔达诺（ADA）

ADA's recovery attempt from $0.42 faces resistance from the downtrending 20-day EMA ($0.48). A fall below $0.42 could lead to a retest of $0.40 support. The bulls must regain control of the 20-day EMA to signal a potential trend reversal and a rally towards the 50-day SMA ($0.57).

ADA 从 0.42 美元的反弹尝试面临下降趋势的 20 日均线（0.48 美元）的阻力。跌破 0.42 美元可能会导致重新测试 0.40 美元的支撑位。多头必须重新控制 20 日均线，以表明潜在的趋势逆转和反弹至 50 日均线（0.57 美元）。

Avalanche (AVAX)

雪崩 (AVAX)

AVAX's attempt to reclaim the uptrend line on April 29 was met with resistance, indicating bears' determination to turn it into resistance. A minor support level at $31.92 may be tested, but a breach could trigger a decline towards $29.24. Bulls must clear the downtrend line and push the price towards $42, potentially leading to a rise to the 50-day SMA ($45.68).

AVAX 试图收复 4 月 29 日的上升趋势线，但遇到了阻力，表明空头决心将其转化为阻力。可能会测试 31.92 美元的小支撑位，但突破可能会引发跌向 29.24 美元的下跌。多头必须清除下降趋势线并将价格推向 42 美元，这可能会导致上涨至 50 日移动平均线（45.68 美元）。

Shiba Inu (SHIB)

柴犬 (SHIB)

SHIB's failed attempt to rise above the 20-day EMA ($0.000024) on April 30 underscores bearish strength. A potential decline towards $0.000020 could be met with strong support. Any rally attempt above this level is likely to face resistance at the 20-day EMA. A sharp decline from the EMA would increase the risk of a drop to $0.000018. A clear break and close above the moving averages would be a sign of strength and could lead to a rally towards $0.000033.

SHIB 于 4 月 30 日试图突破 20 日均线（0.000024 美元），但失败，凸显了看跌力量。可能会出现 0.000020 美元的潜在下跌，并得到强有力的支撑。任何高于该水平的反弹尝试都可能面临 20 日均线的阻力。 EMA 的大幅下跌将增加跌至 0.000018 美元的风险。明显突破并收于移动平均线之上将是强势的迹象，并可能导致反弹至 0.000033 美元。

Disclaimer

免责声明

Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and individuals should always conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

请注意，此分析仅供参考，不应被视为财务建议或购买、出售或持有任何加密货币的建议。交易加密货币涉及重大风险，个人在做出任何投资决定之前应始终进行自己的研究。