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艾略特波浪分析顯示比特幣市場可能會出現下行走勢。目前IV浪修正預計將以三角形型態繼續,而E浪尚未下降。儘管出現了短期回調,但整體趨勢仍然看漲,預計在第四浪結束後,第五浪將出現上漲。
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Elliott Wave Suggests Further Correction Before Resuming Uptrend
比特幣(BTC)價格分析:艾略特波浪建議在恢復上升趨勢之前進一步修正
Technical Analysis:
技術分析:
Based on Elliott Wave analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently undergoing a corrective phase within a larger uptrend. The ongoing correction is identified as wave ((D)) within the broader Wave IV retracement.
根據艾略特波浪分析,比特幣(BTC)目前正處於較大上升趨勢中的修正階段。正在進行的修正被識別為更廣泛的 IV 波回撤中的波 ((D))。
Within wave ((D)), the price of BTC has completed four out of five sub-waves. The current expectation is that price action will complete wave ((D)) with a final decline in wave E. Once wave ((D)) is complete, the market should resume its upward trajectory in wave (III).
在((D))浪中,BTC的價格已經完成了五個子浪中的四個。目前的預期是,價格走勢將完成波浪 ((D)),並在波浪 E 中最終下降。一旦波浪 ((D)) 完成,市場應恢復其在波浪 (III) 中的上升軌跡。
Trading Strategy:
交易策略:
Given the likelihood of an impending decline in wave E, traders are advised to exercise caution and potentially initiate short positions. Target levels for the decline extend down to the 31046.25 support level, which represents the invalidation point for the wave ((D)) correction.
鑑於E波即將下跌的可能性,建議交易者謹慎行事,並可能建立空頭部位。下跌目標位向下延伸至31046.25支撐位,該支撐位代表浪((D))修正的失效點。
Technical Indicators:
技術指標:
Supporting the bearish scenario, the price of BTC currently trades below its 200-period moving average (MA200), indicating a short-term downtrend. Additionally, the Wave Oscillator, a momentum indicator, is also bearish, suggesting a potential shift in momentum to the downside.
BTC 價格目前低於 200 週期移動平均線 (MA200),顯示短期下跌趨勢,這支持了看跌情境。此外,動量指標波浪振盪器也看跌,顯示動量可能會轉向下行。
Overall Outlook:
總體展望:
While Bitcoin remains in an overall uptrend, the current corrective phase necessitates caution among traders. The completion of wave ((D)) and the subsequent decline in wave E will provide a more favorable entry point for buyers to rejoin the uptrend.
儘管比特幣仍處於整體上升趨勢,但當前的調整階段需要交易者保持謹慎。 ((D))浪的完成以及隨後E浪的下跌將為買家重新加入上升趨勢提供更有利的切入點。
Disclaimer:
免責聲明:
Trading based on technical analysis involves inherent risks and traders should always conduct their own research and due diligence before making any trading decisions. The analysis presented here is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice.
基於技術分析的交易涉及固有風險,交易者在做出任何交易決定之前應始終進行自己的研究和盡職調查。這裡提供的分析僅供參考,不應被視為投資建議。
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