比特币下跌：艾略特波浪分析表明在经济复苏之前将进行修正

艾略特波浪分析表明比特币市场可能出现下行走势。目前IV浪修正预计将以三角形形态继续，而E浪尚未下降。尽管出现了短期回调，但整体趋势仍然看涨，预计在第四浪结束后，第五浪将出现上涨。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Elliott Wave Suggests Further Correction Before Resuming Uptrend

比特币（BTC）价格分析：艾略特波浪建议在恢复上升趋势之前进一步修正

Technical Analysis:

技术分析：

Based on Elliott Wave analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently undergoing a corrective phase within a larger uptrend. The ongoing correction is identified as wave ((D)) within the broader Wave IV retracement.

根据艾略特波浪分析，比特币（BTC）目前正处于较大上升趋势中的修正阶段。正在进行的修正被识别为更广泛的 IV 波回撤中的波 ((D))。

Within wave ((D)), the price of BTC has completed four out of five sub-waves. The current expectation is that price action will complete wave ((D)) with a final decline in wave E. Once wave ((D)) is complete, the market should resume its upward trajectory in wave (III).

在((D))浪中，BTC的价格已经完成了五个子浪中的四个。目前的预期是，价格走势将完成波浪 ((D))，并在波浪 E 中最终下降。一旦波浪 ((D)) 完成，市场应恢复其在波浪 (III) 中的上升轨迹。

Trading Strategy:

交易策略：

Given the likelihood of an impending decline in wave E, traders are advised to exercise caution and potentially initiate short positions. Target levels for the decline extend down to the 31046.25 support level, which represents the invalidation point for the wave ((D)) correction.

鉴于E波即将下跌的可能性，建议交易者谨慎行事，并可能建立空头头寸。下跌目标位向下延伸至31046.25支撑位，该支撑位代表浪((D))修正的失效点。

Technical Indicators:

技术指标：

Supporting the bearish scenario, the price of BTC currently trades below its 200-period moving average (MA200), indicating a short-term downtrend. Additionally, the Wave Oscillator, a momentum indicator, is also bearish, suggesting a potential shift in momentum to the downside.

BTC 价格目前低于 200 周期移动平均线 (MA200)，表明短期下跌趋势，这支持了看跌情景。此外，动量指标波浪振荡器也看跌，表明动量可能转向下行。

Overall Outlook:

总体展望：

While Bitcoin remains in an overall uptrend, the current corrective phase necessitates caution among traders. The completion of wave ((D)) and the subsequent decline in wave E will provide a more favorable entry point for buyers to rejoin the uptrend.

尽管比特币仍处于整体上升趋势，但当前的调整阶段需要交易者保持谨慎。 ((D))浪的完成以及随后E浪的下跌将为买家重新加入上升趋势提供更有利的切入点。

Disclaimer:

免责声明：

Trading based on technical analysis involves inherent risks and traders should always conduct their own research and due diligence before making any trading decisions. The analysis presented here is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice.

基于技术分析的交易涉及固有风险，交易者在做出任何交易决定之前应始终进行自己的研究和尽职调查。这里提供的分析仅供参考，不应被视为投资建议。