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比特幣 (BTC) 本週將出現虧損,但其從週內低點 61,000 美元反彈至 65,000 美元以上,預示著長期看漲情緒。 CryptoQuant 執行長 Ki Young Ju 預計,如果價格接近支撐位,流入比特幣 ETF 的資金將會增加。灰階比特幣信託基金(GBTC)的資金流出放緩也顯示拋售壓力減輕。 BTC/USDT 的 20 日 EMA 之爭和 RSI 的中性位置表明供需平衡。短期內價格可能在60,775美元至69,000美元之間波動。
Bitcoin Consolidates Amid Bullish Sentiment, Alts Eye Upswing
比特幣在看漲情緒中盤整,另類投資人目光上揚
Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes Weekly Decline, but Bulls Find Support
比特幣(BTC)每週下跌,但多頭找到支撐
Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to end the week in the red, but a positive sign for bulls is that the price has rebounded from an intra-week low of around $61,000 to over $65,000. This indicates that traders remain long-term bullish and are buying the dips.
比特幣 (BTC) 本週將出現虧損,但對多頭來說,一個積極的信號是價格已從 61,000 美元左右的周內低點反彈至 65,000 美元以上。這顯示交易者仍長期看漲並逢低買進。
Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Expected to Surge
現貨比特幣 ETF 資金流入預計將激增
Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, anticipates an increase in inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as Bitcoin approaches support levels. Young Ju notes that new Bitcoin whales who have purchased Bitcoin ETFs have an on-chain cost basis of $56,000, suggesting that buying activity may pick up if Bitcoin's price reaches that level.
CryptoQuant 執行長 Ki Young Ju 預計,隨著比特幣接近支撐位,流入現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的資金將會增加。 Young Ju 指出,購買比特幣 ETF 的新比特幣鯨魚的鏈上成本基礎為 56,000 美元,這表明如果比特幣價格達到該水平,購買活動可能會增加。
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Outflows Slow Down
灰階比特幣信託資金流出放緩
Another positive factor that could support Bitcoin's price is the slowing down of outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). According to Fairside Investors data, GBTC outflows dropped to just $170 million on March 22, indicating that selling pressure may be easing.
另一個可能支撐比特幣價格的正面因素是灰階比特幣信託基金(GBTC)的資金流出放緩。根據 Fairside Investors 的數據,3 月 22 日 GBTC 流出量降至僅 1.7 億美元,顯示拋售壓力可能正在緩解。
Seven-Month Winning Streak in Sight
七個月連勝在望
If Bitcoin closes March above $61,130, it will mark the first-ever seven-month winning streak for the cryptocurrency.
如果比特幣 3 月收盤價高於 61,130 美元,這將標誌著該加密貨幣首次連續 7 個月上漲。
Altcoins Poised for Gains
山寨幣有望上漲
A recovery in Bitcoin could trigger buying interest in select altcoins. Here are the top 5 cryptocurrencies that exhibit technical strength:
比特幣的復甦可能會引發對某些山寨幣的購買興趣。以下是表現出技術實力的前 5 種加密貨幣:
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
比特幣技術分析
Bitcoin has been trading near the 20-day exponential moving average ($65,364) for the past few days, indicating a battle between bulls and bears for supremacy. The 20-day EMA is flattening out, and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand. The BTC/USDT pair could range between $60,775 and $69,000 in the near term.
過去幾天,比特幣一直在 20 天指數移動平均線(65,364 美元)附近交易,這表明多頭和空頭之間正在爭奪霸權。 20日均線趨於平緩,相對強弱指數(RSI)接近中點,顯示供需平衡。 BTC/USDT 貨幣對短期內可能在 60,775 美元至 69,000 美元之間波動。
If the price remains below the 20-day EMA, the support zone between the 50-day simple moving average ($58,438) and $60,775 may face pressure. A break below this zone could deepen the correction to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
如果價格仍低於 20 日均線,則 50 日簡單移動平均線(58,438 美元)和 60,775 美元之間的支撐區域可能面臨壓力。跌破該區域可能會加深對 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位 54,298 美元的修正。
On the upside, a breakout and close above $69,000 could open the doors for a retest of $73,777. If this resistance is breached, the pair may ascend to $80,000.
從好的方面來看,突破並收於 69,000 美元上方可能為重新測試 73,777 美元打開大門。如果突破該阻力位,該貨幣對可能會升至 80,000 美元。
The 4-hour chart shows that bears are capping relief rallies at the 50-SMA, making it a crucial level to watch. If bulls push the price above the 50-SMA, it will suggest a reduction in bearish pressure. The pair may then rise to $69,000, which could act as a significant hurdle.
4小時圖顯示,空頭正在限制50均線的反彈,使其成為值得關注的關鍵水準。如果多頭將價格推高至 50 均線上方,則表示看跌壓力減輕。隨後該貨幣對可能會升至 69,000 美元,這可能會成為一個重大障礙。
Immediate support on the downside is $62,260 and then $60,775. If bears push the price below this support zone, selling could intensify, leading to a potential slide to $59,000.
下行的直接支撐位是 62,260 美元,然後是 60,775 美元。如果空頭將價格推低至該支撐區域以下,拋售可能會加劇,導致價格可能跌至 59,000 美元。
Dogecoin Technical Analysis
狗狗幣技術分析
Dogecoin (DOGE) has been range-bound between $0.12 and $0.19 for the past few days. Bulls cleared the $0.16 hurdle on March 24, paving the way for a rise to $0.19.
過去幾天,狗狗幣(DOGE)一直在 0.12 美元至 0.19 美元之間波動。 3 月 24 日,多頭突破了 0.16 美元的關口,為上漲至 0.19 美元鋪平了道路。
The 20-day EMA ($0.15) has turned up, and the RSI is in positive territory, indicating a resurgence of bullish sentiment. A break and close above $0.19 could initiate a rally towards $0.23 and eventually $0.30.
20 日均線(0.15 美元)已經上升,RSI 處於正值區域,顯示看漲情緒復甦。突破並收於 0.19 美元之上可能會引發反彈至 0.23 美元,最終至 0.30 美元。
Conversely, a sharp decline from $0.19 would suggest that bears remain active at higher levels. The DOGE/USDT pair could then retreat towards the solid support at $0.12. Bears would need to push the price below the 50-day SMA ($0.12) to signal a potential end to the uptrend.
相反,如果從 0.19 美元大幅下跌,則表明空頭在較高水平上仍然活躍。隨後,DOGE/USDT 貨幣對可能會回落至 0.12 美元的堅實支撐位。空頭需要將價格推至 50 日移動平均線(0.12 美元)下方,以表明上升趨勢可能結束。
The 4-hour chart indicates that bulls are buying dips to the 20-EMA, reflecting positive sentiment. Buyers will attempt to push the price to the overhead resistance of $0.19, where bears may mount a strong defense. If bulls hold their ground above $0.19, the likelihood of a rally beyond $0.20 increases.
4 小時圖顯示多頭逢低買進 20 日均線,反映出正向情緒。買家將試圖將價格推高至 0.19 美元的上方阻力位,空頭可能會在此進行強有力的防禦。如果多頭守住 0.19 美元上方的陣地,則反彈至 0.20 美元以上的可能性就會增加。
The first sign of weakness would be a break and close below the 20-EMA, potentially leading to a drop to $0.14.
疲軟的第一個跡象將是跌破並收於 20 均線下方,可能導致跌至 0.14 美元。
Toncoin Technical Analysis
東幣技術分析
Toncoin (TON) surged above the $4.60 resistance on March 23, signaling the start of a new leg of the uptrend.
Toncoin (TON) 於 3 月 23 日飆升至 4.60 美元阻力位上方,標誌著新一輪上升趨勢的開始。
Upsloping moving averages and an RSI in the overbought zone indicate buyer dominance. The long wick on the March 23 and 24 candlesticks suggests profit-taking above $5, but if bulls maintain their position from the current level, the TON/USDT pair could extend its rally to $5.64.
向上傾斜的移動平均線和超買區域的 RSI 表明買家占主導地位。 3 月 23 日和 24 日燭台上的長影線表明獲利回吐高於 5 美元,但如果多頭維持當前水平,TON/USDT 貨幣對可能會將漲勢擴大至 5.64 美元。
Bears aiming to prevent further upside will need to drag and sustain the price below $4.60. This could entice short-term traders to book profits, pulling the pair to the 20-day EMA ($3.79).
空頭想要阻止進一步上漲,就需要將價格拖至並維持在 4.60 美元以下。這可能會吸引短期交易者獲利了結,將貨幣對拉至 20 日均線(3.79 美元)。
The 4-hour chart shows that bears are aggressively defending the $5 resistance but have failed to push the pair below the 20-EMA. This is a positive sign, as it suggests that traders are holding their positions in anticipation of another upward move.
4小時圖顯示,空頭正積極捍衛5美元阻力位,但未能將該貨幣對推至20均線下方。這是一個積極的信號,因為它表明交易者正在持有倉位,預計價格會再次上漲。
The first support on the downside is the 20-EMA. A slide below this support would indicate potential profit-taking by short-term traders, leading to a potential decline to the 50-SMA and subsequently to $3.50.
下行的第一個支撐位是 20 日均線。跌破該支撐位將表明短期交易者可能獲利了結,導致價格可能跌至 50 移動平均線,隨後跌至 3.50 美元。
Stacks Technical Analysis
堆疊技術分析
Bulls propelled Stacks (STX) above the $3.40 overhead resistance on March 20, indicating the continuation of the uptrend.
3 月 20 日,多頭推動 Stacks (STX) 突破 3.40 美元上方阻力位,顯示上升趨勢仍在繼續。
Both moving averages are sloping up, and the RSI is near the overbought zone, suggesting bullish dominance. If buyers maintain the price above $3.40, the uptrend is likely to gain momentum, and the STX/USDT pair could rally to $4.29.
兩條移動平均線均向上傾斜,RSI 接近超買區域,顯示看漲佔據主導地位。如果買家將價格維持在 3.40 美元以上,上漲趨勢可能會增強,STX/USDT 貨幣對可能會反彈至 4.29 美元。
Contrarily, if the price turns down and falls below $3.40, it would signal market rejection of higher levels. The pair may slump to the 20-day EMA ($3.07). A bounce off this level would suggest the continuation of the uptrend, but a break below the 20-day EMA could sink the pair to the 50-day SMA ($2.65).
相反,如果價格下跌並跌破 3.40 美元,則表示市場拒絕更高水準。該貨幣對可能會跌至 20 日均線(3.07 美元)。從該水平反彈將表明上升趨勢將持續,但跌破 20 日均線可能導致該貨幣對跌至 50 日移動平均線(2.65 美元)。
The 4-hour chart shows that bulls are buying dips to the 20-EMA, signaling positive sentiment. There is a minor resistance at $3.75, but if this level is crossed, the pair may reach $4.
4 小時圖顯示,多頭逢低買進 20 日均線,顯示市場情緒正向。 3.75 美元有一個小阻力,但如果突破該水平,該貨幣對可能會達到 4 美元。
The crucial support to watch on the downside is the 20-EMA. If this level gives way, it would suggest a rush to the exit by bulls, potentially leading to a drop to $3.22. A break below this support could accelerate selling and push the pair below the 50-SMA.
下檔方面值得關注的關鍵支撐是 20 日均線。如果該水平失守,則表示多頭急於退出,可能導致價格跌至 3.22 美元。跌破該支撐位可能會加速拋售,並推動該貨幣對跌破 50 移動平均線。
Fantom Technical Analysis
Fantom技術分析
Fantom's (FTM) long wick on the March 22 candlestick indicates profit-taking near $1.23. Selling accelerated on March 23, and bears are attempting to push the price below $1.02.
Fantom (FTM) 3 月 22 日燭台上的長影線表明在 1.23 美元附近獲利了結。 3 月 23 日拋售加速,空頭試圖將價格壓低至 1.02 美元以下。
If successful, the FTM/USDT pair could fall to the 20-day EMA ($0.89). This remains the key short-term level to watch. A strong rebound off the 20-day EMA would signal continued buying interest at lower levels. The pair may then retest the $1.23 level, and a break above it could clear the path for a rally to $1.50 and eventually $2.
如果成功,FTM/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 20 日均線(0.89 美元)。這仍然是值得關注的關鍵短期水平。從 20 日均線強勁反彈將表明買盤興趣仍在較低水平。隨後,該貨幣對可能會重新測試 1.23 美元水平,突破該水平可能會為反彈至 1.50 美元並最終為 2 美元掃清道路。
This bullish outlook will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down sharply and falls below the 20-day EMA, potentially leading to a drop to the next significant support at $0.72.
如果價格大幅下跌並跌破 20 日均線,這種看漲前景將在短期內失效,可能導致跌至下一個重要支撐位 0.72 美元。
The 4-hour chart shows that bears have pulled the price below the 20-EMA, but a positive sign is that bulls have prevented a challenge to the 50-SMA. Buyers are attempting to push the price back above the 20-EMA. If they succeed, the pair could rise to $1.12 and then to $1.16.
4小時圖顯示,空頭已將價格拉至20日均線下方,但一個積極的跡像是,多頭阻止了對50日均線的挑戰。買家試圖將價格推回 20 均線上方。如果他們成功,該貨幣對可能會升至 1.12 美元,然後升至 1.16 美元。
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance and breaks below the 50-SMA, it would suggest aggressive selling by bears at higher levels. The pair may then embark on a downward move towards $0.80.
或者,如果價格從上方阻力位回落並跌破 50 移動平均線,則表示空頭在更高水平處積極拋售。隨後該貨幣對可能會開始下跌至 0.80 美元。
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