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比特币 (BTC) 本周将出现亏损,但其从周内低点 61,000 美元反弹至 65,000 美元以上,预示着长期看涨情绪。 CryptoQuant 首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 预计,如果价格接近支撑位,流入比特币 ETF 的资金将会增加。灰度比特币信托基金(GBTC)的资金流出放缓也表明抛售压力减轻。 BTC/USDT 的 20 日 EMA 之争和 RSI 的中性位置表明供需平衡。短期内价格可能在60,775美元至69,000美元之间波动。
Bitcoin Consolidates Amid Bullish Sentiment, Alts Eye Upswing
比特币在看涨情绪中盘整,另类投资者目光上扬
Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes Weekly Decline, but Bulls Find Support
比特币(BTC)每周下跌,但多头找到支撑
Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to end the week in the red, but a positive sign for bulls is that the price has rebounded from an intra-week low of around $61,000 to over $65,000. This indicates that traders remain long-term bullish and are buying the dips.
比特币 (BTC) 本周将出现亏损,但对多头来说,一个积极的信号是价格已从 61,000 美元左右的周内低点反弹至 65,000 美元以上。这表明交易者仍长期看涨并逢低买入。
Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Expected to Surge
现货比特币 ETF 资金流入预计将激增
Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, anticipates an increase in inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as Bitcoin approaches support levels. Young Ju notes that new Bitcoin whales who have purchased Bitcoin ETFs have an on-chain cost basis of $56,000, suggesting that buying activity may pick up if Bitcoin's price reaches that level.
CryptoQuant 首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 预计,随着比特币接近支撑位,流入现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的资金将会增加。 Young Ju 指出,购买比特币 ETF 的新比特币鲸鱼的链上成本基础为 56,000 美元,这表明如果比特币价格达到该水平,购买活动可能会增加。
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Outflows Slow Down
灰度比特币信托资金流出放缓
Another positive factor that could support Bitcoin's price is the slowing down of outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). According to Fairside Investors data, GBTC outflows dropped to just $170 million on March 22, indicating that selling pressure may be easing.
另一个可能支撑比特币价格的积极因素是灰度比特币信托基金(GBTC)的资金流出放缓。根据 Fairside Investors 的数据,3 月 22 日 GBTC 流出量降至仅 1.7 亿美元,表明抛售压力可能正在缓解。
Seven-Month Winning Streak in Sight
七个月连胜在望
If Bitcoin closes March above $61,130, it will mark the first-ever seven-month winning streak for the cryptocurrency.
如果比特币 3 月份收盘价高于 61,130 美元,这将标志着该加密货币首次连续 7 个月上涨。
Altcoins Poised for Gains
山寨币有望上涨
A recovery in Bitcoin could trigger buying interest in select altcoins. Here are the top 5 cryptocurrencies that exhibit technical strength:
比特币的复苏可能会引发对某些山寨币的购买兴趣。以下是表现出技术实力的前 5 种加密货币:
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
比特币技术分析
Bitcoin has been trading near the 20-day exponential moving average ($65,364) for the past few days, indicating a battle between bulls and bears for supremacy. The 20-day EMA is flattening out, and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand. The BTC/USDT pair could range between $60,775 and $69,000 in the near term.
过去几天,比特币一直在 20 天指数移动平均线(65,364 美元)附近交易,这表明多头和空头之间正在争夺霸权。 20日均线趋于平缓,相对强弱指数(RSI)接近中点,表明供需平衡。 BTC/USDT 货币对短期内可能在 60,775 美元至 69,000 美元之间波动。
If the price remains below the 20-day EMA, the support zone between the 50-day simple moving average ($58,438) and $60,775 may face pressure. A break below this zone could deepen the correction to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
如果价格仍低于 20 日均线,则 50 日简单移动平均线(58,438 美元)和 60,775 美元之间的支撑区域可能面临压力。跌破该区域可能会加深对 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元的修正。
On the upside, a breakout and close above $69,000 could open the doors for a retest of $73,777. If this resistance is breached, the pair may ascend to $80,000.
从好的方面来看,突破并收于 69,000 美元上方可能为重新测试 73,777 美元打开大门。如果突破该阻力位,该货币对可能会升至 80,000 美元。
The 4-hour chart shows that bears are capping relief rallies at the 50-SMA, making it a crucial level to watch. If bulls push the price above the 50-SMA, it will suggest a reduction in bearish pressure. The pair may then rise to $69,000, which could act as a significant hurdle.
4小时图显示,空头正在限制50均线的反弹,使其成为值得关注的关键水平。如果多头将价格推高至 50 均线上方,则表明看跌压力有所减轻。随后该货币对可能会升至 69,000 美元,这可能会成为一个重大障碍。
Immediate support on the downside is $62,260 and then $60,775. If bears push the price below this support zone, selling could intensify, leading to a potential slide to $59,000.
下行的直接支撑位是 62,260 美元,然后是 60,775 美元。如果空头将价格推低至该支撑区域以下,抛售可能会加剧,导致价格可能跌至 59,000 美元。
Dogecoin Technical Analysis
狗狗币技术分析
Dogecoin (DOGE) has been range-bound between $0.12 and $0.19 for the past few days. Bulls cleared the $0.16 hurdle on March 24, paving the way for a rise to $0.19.
过去几天,狗狗币(DOGE)一直在 0.12 美元至 0.19 美元之间波动。 3 月 24 日,多头突破了 0.16 美元的关口,为上涨至 0.19 美元铺平了道路。
The 20-day EMA ($0.15) has turned up, and the RSI is in positive territory, indicating a resurgence of bullish sentiment. A break and close above $0.19 could initiate a rally towards $0.23 and eventually $0.30.
20 日均线(0.15 美元)已经上升,RSI 处于正值区域,表明看涨情绪复苏。突破并收于 0.19 美元之上可能会引发反弹至 0.23 美元,最终至 0.30 美元。
Conversely, a sharp decline from $0.19 would suggest that bears remain active at higher levels. The DOGE/USDT pair could then retreat towards the solid support at $0.12. Bears would need to push the price below the 50-day SMA ($0.12) to signal a potential end to the uptrend.
相反,如果从 0.19 美元大幅下跌,则表明空头在较高水平上仍然活跃。随后,DOGE/USDT 货币对可能会回落至 0.12 美元的坚实支撑位。空头需要将价格推至 50 日移动平均线(0.12 美元)下方,以表明上升趋势可能结束。
The 4-hour chart indicates that bulls are buying dips to the 20-EMA, reflecting positive sentiment. Buyers will attempt to push the price to the overhead resistance of $0.19, where bears may mount a strong defense. If bulls hold their ground above $0.19, the likelihood of a rally beyond $0.20 increases.
4 小时图显示多头逢低买入 20 日均线,反映出积极情绪。买家将试图将价格推高至 0.19 美元的上方阻力位,空头可能会在此进行强有力的防御。如果多头守住 0.19 美元上方的阵地,则反弹至 0.20 美元以上的可能性就会增加。
The first sign of weakness would be a break and close below the 20-EMA, potentially leading to a drop to $0.14.
疲软的第一个迹象将是跌破并收于 20 均线下方,可能导致跌至 0.14 美元。
Toncoin Technical Analysis
东币技术分析
Toncoin (TON) surged above the $4.60 resistance on March 23, signaling the start of a new leg of the uptrend.
Toncoin (TON) 于 3 月 23 日飙升至 4.60 美元阻力位上方,标志着新一轮上升趋势的开始。
Upsloping moving averages and an RSI in the overbought zone indicate buyer dominance. The long wick on the March 23 and 24 candlesticks suggests profit-taking above $5, but if bulls maintain their position from the current level, the TON/USDT pair could extend its rally to $5.64.
向上倾斜的移动平均线和超买区域的 RSI 表明买家占主导地位。 3 月 23 日和 24 日烛台上的长影线表明获利回吐高于 5 美元,但如果多头维持当前水平,TON/USDT 货币对可能会将涨势扩大至 5.64 美元。
Bears aiming to prevent further upside will need to drag and sustain the price below $4.60. This could entice short-term traders to book profits, pulling the pair to the 20-day EMA ($3.79).
空头想要阻止进一步上涨,就需要将价格拖至并维持在 4.60 美元以下。这可能会吸引短期交易者获利了结,将货币对拉至 20 日均线(3.79 美元)。
The 4-hour chart shows that bears are aggressively defending the $5 resistance but have failed to push the pair below the 20-EMA. This is a positive sign, as it suggests that traders are holding their positions in anticipation of another upward move.
4小时图显示,空头正在积极捍卫5美元阻力位,但未能将该货币对推至20均线下方。这是一个积极的信号,因为它表明交易者正在持有仓位,预计价格会再次上涨。
The first support on the downside is the 20-EMA. A slide below this support would indicate potential profit-taking by short-term traders, leading to a potential decline to the 50-SMA and subsequently to $3.50.
下行的第一个支撑位是 20 日均线。跌破该支撑位将表明短期交易者可能获利了结,导致价格可能跌至 50 移动平均线,随后跌至 3.50 美元。
Stacks Technical Analysis
堆栈技术分析
Bulls propelled Stacks (STX) above the $3.40 overhead resistance on March 20, indicating the continuation of the uptrend.
3 月 20 日,多头推动 Stacks (STX) 突破 3.40 美元上方阻力位,表明上升趋势仍在继续。
Both moving averages are sloping up, and the RSI is near the overbought zone, suggesting bullish dominance. If buyers maintain the price above $3.40, the uptrend is likely to gain momentum, and the STX/USDT pair could rally to $4.29.
两条移动平均线均向上倾斜,RSI 接近超买区域,表明看涨占据主导地位。如果买家将价格维持在 3.40 美元以上,上涨趋势可能会增强,STX/USDT 货币对可能会反弹至 4.29 美元。
Contrarily, if the price turns down and falls below $3.40, it would signal market rejection of higher levels. The pair may slump to the 20-day EMA ($3.07). A bounce off this level would suggest the continuation of the uptrend, but a break below the 20-day EMA could sink the pair to the 50-day SMA ($2.65).
相反,如果价格下跌并跌破 3.40 美元,则表明市场拒绝更高水平。该货币对可能会跌至 20 日均线(3.07 美元)。从该水平反弹将表明上升趋势将持续,但跌破 20 日均线可能导致该货币对跌至 50 日移动平均线(2.65 美元)。
The 4-hour chart shows that bulls are buying dips to the 20-EMA, signaling positive sentiment. There is a minor resistance at $3.75, but if this level is crossed, the pair may reach $4.
4 小时图显示,多头逢低买入 20 日均线,表明市场情绪积极。 3.75 美元有一个小阻力,但如果突破该水平,该货币对可能会达到 4 美元。
The crucial support to watch on the downside is the 20-EMA. If this level gives way, it would suggest a rush to the exit by bulls, potentially leading to a drop to $3.22. A break below this support could accelerate selling and push the pair below the 50-SMA.
下行方面值得关注的关键支撑是 20 日均线。如果该水平失守,则表明多头急于退出,可能导致价格跌至 3.22 美元。跌破该支撑位可能会加速抛售,并推动该货币对跌破 50 移动平均线。
Fantom Technical Analysis
Fantom技术分析
Fantom's (FTM) long wick on the March 22 candlestick indicates profit-taking near $1.23. Selling accelerated on March 23, and bears are attempting to push the price below $1.02.
Fantom (FTM) 3 月 22 日烛台上的长影线表明在 1.23 美元附近获利了结。 3 月 23 日抛售加速,空头试图将价格压低至 1.02 美元以下。
If successful, the FTM/USDT pair could fall to the 20-day EMA ($0.89). This remains the key short-term level to watch. A strong rebound off the 20-day EMA would signal continued buying interest at lower levels. The pair may then retest the $1.23 level, and a break above it could clear the path for a rally to $1.50 and eventually $2.
如果成功,FTM/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 20 日均线(0.89 美元)。这仍然是值得关注的关键短期水平。从 20 日均线强劲反弹将表明买盘兴趣仍在较低水平。随后,该货币对可能会重新测试 1.23 美元水平,突破该水平可能会为反弹至 1.50 美元并最终为 2 美元扫清道路。
This bullish outlook will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down sharply and falls below the 20-day EMA, potentially leading to a drop to the next significant support at $0.72.
如果价格大幅下跌并跌破 20 日均线,这种看涨前景将在短期内失效,可能导致跌至下一个重要支撑位 0.72 美元。
The 4-hour chart shows that bears have pulled the price below the 20-EMA, but a positive sign is that bulls have prevented a challenge to the 50-SMA. Buyers are attempting to push the price back above the 20-EMA. If they succeed, the pair could rise to $1.12 and then to $1.16.
4小时图显示,空头已将价格拉至20日均线下方,但一个积极的迹象是,多头阻止了对50日均线的挑战。买家试图将价格推回到 20 均线上方。如果他们成功,该货币对可能会升至 1.12 美元,然后升至 1.16 美元。
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance and breaks below the 50-SMA, it would suggest aggressive selling by bears at higher levels. The pair may then embark on a downward move towards $0.80.
或者,如果价格从上方阻力位回落并跌破 50 移动平均线,则表明空头在更高水平处积极抛售。随后该货币对可能会开始下跌至 0.80 美元。
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