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比特幣現金自2024年3月自周期高以來一直在努力保持動力。與比特幣(BTC)不同,該比特幣在2025年1月達到了新的歷史最高點,BCH在2024年12月12日創造了一個較低的高點,此後就下降了。
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price has struggled to maintain momentum since its cycle high in March 2024. Unlike Bitcoin (BTC) price, which hit a new all-time high in January 2025, BCH price created a lower high in December 2024 and has fallen since.
自2024年3月的周期高週期以來,比特幣現金(BCH)價格一直在努力保持動力。與比特幣(BTC)價格不同,該價格在2025年1月達到了新的歷史最高高價,BCH的價格在2024年12月的高價上升,此後一直下降。
However, the price showed resilience in the past two weeks by preventing a breakdown and bouncing at the $300 support area. This led to an ongoing breakout, which raises the question: Why is Bitcoin Cash going up today, and how long will this increase continue? Let's find out.
但是,在過去的兩周中,價格顯示出彈性,防止了300美元的支持區域的故障和彈跳。這導致了一個持續的突破,這引起了一個問題:為什麼比特幣現金今天增加,這一增加將繼續多長時間?讓我們找出答案。
Bitcoin Cash Price Bounces
比特幣現金價格彈跳
For the past year and a half, the Bitcoin Cash price has been increasing inside a long-term ascending parallel channel. The upward movement culminated with the cycle high of $719.5 in April.
在過去的一年半中,比特幣現金價格在長期上升的平行渠道內一直在上漲。向上的移動最終達到了4月的循環高度719.5美元。
While the BCH price fell afterward, it bounced at the channel's support trend line and the $300 horizontal support area (green icon). However, the increase was short-lived, and BCH price created a lower high near the channel's midline (black circle) before breaking down in February 2025.
當BCH價格之後下跌時,它在頻道的支持趨勢線和300美元的水平支撐區(綠色圖標)中彈跳。然而,這種增加是短暫的,BCH價格在2025年2月分解之前,在頻道中線(黑色圓圈)附近創造了一個較低的高潮。
Despite bouncing at the $300 support again (green icons), the breakdown signals that the upward movement has ended. If this is the case, the current increase will be just a retest of the channel that leads to new lows.
儘管再次以300美元的支持(綠色圖標)彈跳,但崩潰的信號表明,向上移動已經結束。如果是這種情況,當前的增加將只是導致新低點的渠道的重新測試。
Technical indicators do not help confirm the trend's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50 while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is at 0, both signs of a neutral trend.
技術指標無助於確認趨勢的方向。相對強度指數(RSI)為50,而移動平均收斂/差異(MACD)為0,這是中性趨勢的兩個跡象。
So, the weekly time frame is insufficient for a decisive BCH prediction.
因此,每週的時間範圍不足以進行決定性的BCH預測。
Short-Term Correction Over?
短期糾正?
The long-term BCH wave count suggests the price completed a five-wave upward movement between November 2022 and April 2024. If that is the case, BCH has possibly finished an A-B-C correction (red) in response to the upward movement.
長期的BCH波數表明,在2022年11月至2024年4月之間,價格完成了五波向上的運動。如果是這樣,BCH可能會響應向上移動而完成ABC校正(RED)。
The correction ended at exactly the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support level and had 0.61 times the duration of the previous upward movement. Both are common ratios for such corrections, indicating that the Bitcoin Cash price decrease may be complete.
校正以0.618的斐波那契回回支持水平結束,並且具有上一個向上運動的持續時間的0.61倍。兩者都是此類校正的常見比率,表明比特幣現金價格降低可能已經完成。
Want to add BITCOIN CASH to your portfolio? Discover the leading platforms for buying and selling BITCOIN CASH on our exchange review page.
想在您的投資組合中添加比特幣現金嗎?在我們的Exchange評論頁面上發現購買和銷售比特幣現金的領先平台。
If this is the case, the BCH price will begin another upward movement, taking it to a new cycle high.
如果是這種情況,BCH價格將開始另一個向上移動,將其提升到一個新的周期。
The alternative possibility is that this was the first part of a correction, and BCH will decrease again following a relief rally. The second option fits better with the price action, which shows a breakdown from a long-term channel.
另一種可能性是這是校正的第一部分,在救濟集會後,BCH將再次減少。第二個選項與價格行動更好,這顯示出長期渠道的細分。
Bitcoin Cash's short-term movement shows a breakout from a descending resistance trend line that existed for 90 days. A bullish divergence in the RSI and MACD led to the breakout, increasing its legitimacy.
比特幣現金的短期運動顯示出了90天存在的下降阻力趨勢線的突破。 RSI和MACD的看漲差異導致了突破,從而增加了其合法性。
However, the BCH price faces strong resistance between $420-$500, created by horizontal and Fibonacci levels. If the BCH price manages to clear it, it will confirm that it has started a new upward movement that will take it above its cycle high.
但是,BCH的價格面臨著由水平和斐波那契水平創建的420-500美元之間的強勁阻力。如果BCH價格設法清除,它將確認它已經開始了一個新的向上移動,將其提高到其高度高。
On the other hand, a rejection and a lower high will instead mean the bearish option is playing out, in which the increase is a relief rally that will lead to new lows.
另一方面,拒絕和較低的高位將意味著看跌的選擇正在播放,其中增加是一場救濟集會,這將導致新的低點。
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