比特币现金（BCH）价格预测：为什么BCH今天上升，这种增加将继续多长时间？

比特币现金自2024年3月自周期高以来一直在努力保持动力。与比特币（BTC）不同，该比特币在2025年1月达到了新的历史最高点，BCH在2024年12月12日创造了一个较低的高点，此后就下降了。

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price has struggled to maintain momentum since its cycle high in March 2024. Unlike Bitcoin (BTC) price, which hit a new all-time high in January 2025, BCH price created a lower high in December 2024 and has fallen since.

自2024年3月的周期高周期以来，比特币现金（BCH）价格一直在努力保持动力。与比特币（BTC）价格不同，该价格在2025年1月达到了新的历史最高高价，BCH的价格在2024年12月的高价上升，此后一直下降。

However, the price showed resilience in the past two weeks by preventing a breakdown and bouncing at the $300 support area. This led to an ongoing breakout, which raises the question: Why is Bitcoin Cash going up today, and how long will this increase continue? Let's find out.

但是，在过去的两周中，价格显示出弹性，防止了300美元的支持区域的故障和弹跳。这导致了一个持续的突破，这引起了一个问题：为什么比特币现金今天增加，这一增加将继续多长时间？让我们找出答案。

Bitcoin Cash Price Bounces

比特币现金价格弹跳

For the past year and a half, the Bitcoin Cash price has been increasing inside a long-term ascending parallel channel. The upward movement culminated with the cycle high of $719.5 in April.

在过去的一年半中，比特币现金价格在长期上升的平行渠道内一直在上涨。向上的移动最终达到了4月的循环高度719.5美元。

While the BCH price fell afterward, it bounced at the channel's support trend line and the $300 horizontal support area (green icon). However, the increase was short-lived, and BCH price created a lower high near the channel's midline (black circle) before breaking down in February 2025.

当BCH价格之后下跌时，它在频道的支持趋势线和300美元的水平支撑区（绿色图标）中弹跳。然而，这种增加是短暂的，BCH价格在2025年2月分解之前，在频道中线（黑色圆圈）附近创造了一个较低的高潮。

Despite bouncing at the $300 support again (green icons), the breakdown signals that the upward movement has ended. If this is the case, the current increase will be just a retest of the channel that leads to new lows.

尽管再次以300美元的支持（绿色图标）弹跳，但崩溃的信号表明，向上移动已经结束。如果是这种情况，当前的增加将只是导致新低点的渠道的重新测试。

Technical indicators do not help confirm the trend's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50 while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is at 0, both signs of a neutral trend.

技术指标无助于确认趋势的方向。相对强度指数（RSI）为50，而移动平均收敛/差异（MACD）为0，这是中性趋势的两个迹象。

So, the weekly time frame is insufficient for a decisive BCH prediction.

因此，每周的时间范围不足以进行决定性的BCH预测。

Short-Term Correction Over?

短期纠正？

The long-term BCH wave count suggests the price completed a five-wave upward movement between November 2022 and April 2024. If that is the case, BCH has possibly finished an A-B-C correction (red) in response to the upward movement.

长期的BCH波数表明，在2022年11月至2024年4月之间，价格完成了五波向上的运动。如果是这样，BCH可能会响应向上移动而完成ABC校正（RED）。

The correction ended at exactly the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support level and had 0.61 times the duration of the previous upward movement. Both are common ratios for such corrections, indicating that the Bitcoin Cash price decrease may be complete.

校正以0.618的斐波那契回回支持水平结束，并且具有上一个向上运动的持续时间的0.61倍。两者都是此类校正的常见比率，表明比特币现金价格降低可能已经完成。

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If this is the case, the BCH price will begin another upward movement, taking it to a new cycle high.

如果是这种情况，BCH价格将开始另一个向上移动，将其提升到一个新的周期。

The alternative possibility is that this was the first part of a correction, and BCH will decrease again following a relief rally. The second option fits better with the price action, which shows a breakdown from a long-term channel.

另一种可能性是这是校正的第一部分，在救济集会后，BCH将再次减少。第二个选项与价格行动更好，这显示出长期渠道的细分。

Bitcoin Cash's short-term movement shows a breakout from a descending resistance trend line that existed for 90 days. A bullish divergence in the RSI and MACD led to the breakout, increasing its legitimacy.

比特币现金的短期运动显示出了90天存在的下降阻力趋势线的突破。 RSI和MACD的看涨差异导致了突破，从而增加了其合法性。

However, the BCH price faces strong resistance between $420-$500, created by horizontal and Fibonacci levels. If the BCH price manages to clear it, it will confirm that it has started a new upward movement that will take it above its cycle high.

但是，BCH的价格面临着由水平和斐波那契水平创建的420-500美元之间的强劲阻力。如果BCH价格设法清除，它将确认它已经开始了一个新的向上移动，将其提高到其高度高。

On the other hand, a rejection and a lower high will instead mean the bearish option is playing out, in which the increase is a relief rally that will lead to new lows.

另一方面，拒绝和较低的高位将意味着看跌的选择正在播放，其中增加是一场救济集会，这将导致新的低点。