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社群媒體平台X 上的一位著名加密貨幣分析師表示,比特幣的價格飆升似乎迫在眉睫。該分析師認為,比特幣價格將出現看漲突破,理由是空頭頭寸的減少以及交易所比特幣儲備的下降。這一趨勢反映了 2020 年減半前的情況,顯示 2024 年減半之前價格可能上漲。
Is Bitcoin Primed for a Bullish Surge?
比特幣是否已做好牛市飆升的準備?
A prominent crypto analyst on X, formerly known as Twitter, is hinting at a potential breakout for Bitcoin. Despite failing to regain its $70,000 peak since March, the analyst, @martypartymusic, believes that "shorts appear to have capitulated."
X(前身為 Twitter)上的一位著名加密貨幣分析師暗示比特幣可能會出現突破。儘管未能重回 3 月以來的 70,000 美元峰值,但分析師 @martypartymusic 認為「空頭似乎已經屈服」。
Capitulation by Bitcoin Short Sellers
比特幣賣空者投降
According to the analyst, traders who bet against Bitcoin's price (shorts) have closed their positions. As these shorts cover their bets by buying Bitcoin, it could trigger a short-term surge in price due to increased buying pressure.
據分析師稱,做空比特幣價格的交易者(空頭)已經平倉。由於這些空頭透過購買比特幣來平倉,因此購買壓力增加可能會引發價格短期飆升。
Correlation with Exchange Reserves
與外匯存底的相關性
Another chart from the analyst reveals a correlation between Bitcoin reserves on exchanges and its price. Historically, during halving events (when Bitcoin's issuance rate is cut in half), exchange reserves decline while prices rise. A similar trend is emerging ahead of the 2024 halving, with reserves gradually decreasing and prices reaching new highs.
該分析師的另一張圖表顯示了交易所的比特幣儲備與其價格之間的相關性。從歷史上看,在減半事件期間(比特幣發行率減半),外匯存底下降,而價格上漲。 2024年減半前也出現了類似的趨勢,儲備逐漸減少,價格創出新高。
Analyst Predicts $140,000 Target
分析師預測目標為 14 萬美元
Analyst CryptosRUs previously predicted a bullish rally to $140,000 within 18 days. While this scenario has yet to materialize, the analyst recently suggested that the Federal Reserve's proposed interest rate cuts could lead to a Bitcoin supply squeeze, further supporting its bullish outlook.
分析師 CryptosRUs 先前預測,價格將在 18 天內上漲至 14 萬美元。儘管這種情況尚未成為現實,但分析師最近表示,聯準會提議的降息可能會導致比特幣供應緊張,進一步支持其看漲前景。
Cautious Optimism
謹慎樂觀
While the technical indicators suggest a potential breakout, it's important to note that Bitcoin's price can be volatile and unpredictable. Investors should exercise caution and consider their risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
雖然技術指標表明存在潛在突破,但值得注意的是,比特幣的價格可能波動且不可預測。投資者在做出任何交易決定之前應謹慎行事並考慮自己的風險承受能力。
Additional Considerations
其他注意事項
- The global economic outlook, including the ongoing geopolitical tensions, could impact Bitcoin's price.
- Regulatory developments, such as the recent Executive Order on cryptocurrencies, could also influence market sentiment.
- The growing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors could provide long-term support for its price.
全球經濟前景,包括持續的地緣政治緊張局勢,可能會影響比特幣的價格。監管動態,例如最近關於加密貨幣的行政命令,也可能影響市場情緒。機構投資者越來越多地採用比特幣,可以為其提供長期支持。價格。
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