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社交媒体平台 X 上的一位著名加密货币分析师表示,比特币的价格飙升似乎迫在眉睫。该分析师认为,比特币价格将出现看涨突破,理由是空头头寸的减少以及交易所比特币储备的下降。这一趋势反映了 2020 年减半前的情况,表明 2024 年减半之前价格可能上涨。
Is Bitcoin Primed for a Bullish Surge?
比特币是否已做好牛市飙升的准备?
A prominent crypto analyst on X, formerly known as Twitter, is hinting at a potential breakout for Bitcoin. Despite failing to regain its $70,000 peak since March, the analyst, @martypartymusic, believes that "shorts appear to have capitulated."
X(前身为 Twitter)上的一位著名加密货币分析师暗示比特币可能会出现突破。尽管未能重回 3 月份以来的 70,000 美元峰值,但分析师 @martypartymusic 认为“空头似乎已经屈服”。
Capitulation by Bitcoin Short Sellers
比特币卖空者投降
According to the analyst, traders who bet against Bitcoin's price (shorts) have closed their positions. As these shorts cover their bets by buying Bitcoin, it could trigger a short-term surge in price due to increased buying pressure.
据分析师称,做空比特币价格的交易者(空头)已经平仓。由于这些空头通过购买比特币来平仓,因此购买压力增加可能会引发价格短期飙升。
Correlation with Exchange Reserves
与外汇储备的相关性
Another chart from the analyst reveals a correlation between Bitcoin reserves on exchanges and its price. Historically, during halving events (when Bitcoin's issuance rate is cut in half), exchange reserves decline while prices rise. A similar trend is emerging ahead of the 2024 halving, with reserves gradually decreasing and prices reaching new highs.
该分析师的另一张图表显示了交易所的比特币储备与其价格之间的相关性。从历史上看,在减半事件期间(比特币发行率减半),外汇储备下降,而价格上涨。 2024年减半之前也出现了类似的趋势,储备逐渐减少,价格创出新高。
Analyst Predicts $140,000 Target
分析师预测目标为 140,000 美元
Analyst CryptosRUs previously predicted a bullish rally to $140,000 within 18 days. While this scenario has yet to materialize, the analyst recently suggested that the Federal Reserve's proposed interest rate cuts could lead to a Bitcoin supply squeeze, further supporting its bullish outlook.
分析师 CryptosRUs 此前预测,价格将在 18 天内上涨至 140,000 美元。尽管这种情况尚未成为现实,但分析师最近表示,美联储提议的降息可能会导致比特币供应紧张,进一步支持其看涨前景。
Cautious Optimism
谨慎乐观
While the technical indicators suggest a potential breakout, it's important to note that Bitcoin's price can be volatile and unpredictable. Investors should exercise caution and consider their risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
虽然技术指标表明存在潜在突破,但值得注意的是,比特币的价格可能波动且不可预测。投资者在做出任何交易决定之前应谨慎行事并考虑自己的风险承受能力。
Additional Considerations
其他注意事项
- The global economic outlook, including the ongoing geopolitical tensions, could impact Bitcoin's price.
- Regulatory developments, such as the recent Executive Order on cryptocurrencies, could also influence market sentiment.
- The growing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors could provide long-term support for its price.
全球经济前景,包括持续的地缘政治紧张局势,可能会影响比特币的价格。监管动态,例如最近关于加密货币的行政命令,也可能影响市场情绪。机构投资者越来越多地采用比特币,可以为其提供长期支持。价格。
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