比特幣（BTCUSD）艾略特波浪分析 07.01.2024

在這篇技術部落格中，我們將快速瀏覽一下比特幣 (BTCUSD) 的艾略特波浪圖。

technical blog we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of Bitcoin ( BTCUSD). As our members know, Bitcoin is correcting the cycle from the 25068 low, and we have been predicting a price decline. Recently, we observed a bounce against the June 7th peak. This recovery formed an Elliott Wave Zig Zag Pattern. In the following text, we will explain the Elliott Wave Pattern and the forecast.

在技​​術部落格中，我們將快速瀏覽一下比特幣 (BTCUSD) 的艾略特波浪圖。正如我們的會員所知，比特幣正在從 25068 低點修正週期，我們一直預測價格會下跌。最近，我們觀察到相對 6 月 7 日的峰值反彈。這次復甦形成了艾略特波浪之字形模式。在下文中，我們將解釋艾略特波浪模式和預測。

Before we take a look at the real market example, let’s explain Elliott Wave Zigzag pattern.

在我們看真實的市場例子之前，讓我們先解釋一下艾略特波浪鋸齒形模式。

Elliott Wave Zigzag is the most popular corrective pattern in Elliott Wave theory. It’s made of 3 swings which have 5-3-5 inner structure. Inner swings are labeled as A,B,C where A =5 waves, B=3 waves and C=5 waves. That means A and C can be either impulsive waves or diagonals. (Leading Diagonal in case of wave A or Ending in case of wave C) . Waves A and C must meet all conditions of being 5 wave structure, such as: having RSI divergency between wave subdivisions, ideal Fibonacci extensions and ideal retracements.

艾略特波浪鋸齒形是艾略特波浪理論中最受歡迎的調整模式。它由3個鞦韆組成，內部結構為5-3-5。內部波動標示為 A、B、C，其中 A = 5 波，B = 3 波，C = 5 波。這意味著 A 和 C 可以是脈衝波，也可以是對角線。 （在波 A 的情況下為前導對角線，在波 C 的情況下為結束）。波浪 A 和 C 必須滿足 5 波浪結構的所有條件，例如：波浪細分之間具有 RSI 背離、理想的斐波那契擴展和理想的回撤。

BTCUSD H1 Elliott Wave Analysis 07.01.2024

BTCUSD H1 艾略特波浪分析 07.01.2024

BTCUSD is showing incomplete sequences in the cycle from the 79.791 peak, suggesting we should get at least another leg down to complete 5 waves in the proposed cycle. The current view suggests Wave 4 red correction appears to be unfolding as an Elliott Wave Zig Zag pattern. The first leg ((a)) of 4 looks like a 5-wave pattern, after which we got a clear 3-wave pullback in ((b)) black. Currently, we are in the ((c)) leg, which also has the form of a 5-wave pattern. Another short-term high would be ideal to complete 5 waves within the ((c)) leg and Wave 4 red recovery as an Elliott Wave Zig Zag pattern. We don’t recommend buying the cryptocurrency at this stage and expect to see a decline toward new lows ideally.

BTCUSD 從 79.791 峰值開始的週期中顯示出不完整的序列，這表明我們應該至少再下跌一次以完成建議週期中的 5 波。目前的觀點表明，第 4 波紅色修正似乎正在以艾略特波浪之字形模式展開。 4 的第一波 ((a)) 看起來像一個 5 浪模式，之後我們在 ((b)) 黑色中看到了明顯的 3 浪回調。目前，我們處於 ((c)) 腿，它也具有 5 浪模式的形式。另一個短期高點將是完成 ((c)) 腿內的 5 浪和作為艾略特波浪之字形模式的第 4 浪紅色復甦的理想選擇。我們不建議在現階段購買加密貨幣，並預期理想情況下會跌至新低點。

BTCUSD H1 Elliott Wave Analysis 07.02.2024

BTCUSD H1 艾略特波浪分析 07.02.2024

The cryptocurrency made another short-term high before declining as expected. The Wave 4 red recovery completed at the 63846 high. As long as Bitcoin remains below that peak, we expect it to continue finding sellers and extend toward new lows, targeting 57207-55166 area.

該加密貨幣在預期下跌之前再次創下短期高點。第四浪紅色復甦在63846高點完成。只要比特幣仍低於該峰值，我們預計它將繼續尋找賣家並延伸至新低，目標為 57207-55166 區域。

BTCUSD H1 Elliott Wave Analysis 07.04.2024

BTCUSD H1 艾略特波浪分析 07.04.2024

Eventually, the price made a further decline. Bitcoin broke the previous low and reached the first target area at 57207-55166 as we expected. The cryptocurrency remains bearish against the 63846 pivot.

最終，價格進一步下跌。比特幣突破前期低點，如我們預期到達第一個目標區域57207-55166。該加密貨幣仍看跌 63846 支點。