比特币（BTCUSD）艾略特波浪分析 07.01.2024

在这篇技术博客中，我们将快速浏览一下比特币 (BTCUSD) 的艾略特波浪图。

technical blog we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of Bitcoin ( BTCUSD). As our members know, Bitcoin is correcting the cycle from the 25068 low, and we have been predicting a price decline. Recently, we observed a bounce against the June 7th peak. This recovery formed an Elliott Wave Zig Zag Pattern. In the following text, we will explain the Elliott Wave Pattern and the forecast.

在技​​术博客中，我们将快速浏览一下比特币 (BTCUSD) 的艾略特波浪图表。正如我们的会员所知，比特币正在从 25068 的低点修正周期，我们一直预测价格会下跌。最近，我们观察到相对 6 月 7 日峰值的反弹。这次复苏形成了艾略特波浪之字形模式。在下文中，我们将解释艾略特波浪模式和预测。

Before we take a look at the real market example, let’s explain Elliott Wave Zigzag pattern.

在我们看真实的市场例子之前，让我们先解释一下艾略特波浪锯齿形模式。

Elliott Wave Zigzag is the most popular corrective pattern in Elliott Wave theory. It’s made of 3 swings which have 5-3-5 inner structure. Inner swings are labeled as A,B,C where A =5 waves, B=3 waves and C=5 waves. That means A and C can be either impulsive waves or diagonals. (Leading Diagonal in case of wave A or Ending in case of wave C) . Waves A and C must meet all conditions of being 5 wave structure, such as: having RSI divergency between wave subdivisions, ideal Fibonacci extensions and ideal retracements.

艾略特波浪锯齿形是艾略特波浪理论中最流行的调整模式。它由3个秋千组成，内部结构为5-3-5。内部波动标记为 A、B、C，其中 A = 5 波，B = 3 波，C = 5 波。这意味着 A 和 C 可以是脉冲波，也可以是对角线。 （在波 A 的情况下为前导对角线，在波 C 的情况下为结束）。波浪 A 和 C 必须满足 5 波浪结构的所有条件，例如：波浪细分之间具有 RSI 背离、理想的斐波那契扩展和理想的回撤。

BTCUSD H1 Elliott Wave Analysis 07.01.2024

BTCUSD H1 艾略特波浪分析 07.01.2024

BTCUSD is showing incomplete sequences in the cycle from the 79.791 peak, suggesting we should get at least another leg down to complete 5 waves in the proposed cycle. The current view suggests Wave 4 red correction appears to be unfolding as an Elliott Wave Zig Zag pattern. The first leg ((a)) of 4 looks like a 5-wave pattern, after which we got a clear 3-wave pullback in ((b)) black. Currently, we are in the ((c)) leg, which also has the form of a 5-wave pattern. Another short-term high would be ideal to complete 5 waves within the ((c)) leg and Wave 4 red recovery as an Elliott Wave Zig Zag pattern. We don’t recommend buying the cryptocurrency at this stage and expect to see a decline toward new lows ideally.

BTCUSD 从 79.791 峰值开始的周期中显示出不完整的序列，这表明我们应该至少再下跌一次以完成拟议周期中的 5 波。目前的观点表明，第 4 波红色修正似乎正在以艾略特波浪之字形模式展开。 4 的第一波 ((a)) 看起来像一个 5 浪模式，之后我们在 ((b)) 黑色中看到了明显的 3 浪回调。目前，我们处于 ((c)) 腿，它也具有 5 浪模式的形式。另一个短期高点将是完成 ((c)) 腿内的 5 浪和作为艾略特波浪之字形模式的第 4 浪红色复苏的理想选择。我们不建议在现阶段购买加密货币，并预计理想情况下会跌至新低。

BTCUSD H1 Elliott Wave Analysis 07.02.2024

BTCUSD H1 艾略特波浪分析 07.02.2024

The cryptocurrency made another short-term high before declining as expected. The Wave 4 red recovery completed at the 63846 high. As long as Bitcoin remains below that peak, we expect it to continue finding sellers and extend toward new lows, targeting 57207-55166 area.

该加密货币在按预期下跌之前再次创下短期高点。第四浪红色复苏在63846高点完成。只要比特币仍低于该峰值，我们预计它将继续寻找卖家并延伸至新低，目标为 57207-55166 区域。

BTCUSD H1 Elliott Wave Analysis 07.04.2024

BTCUSD H1 艾略特波浪分析 07.04.2024

Eventually, the price made a further decline. Bitcoin broke the previous low and reached the first target area at 57207-55166 as we expected. The cryptocurrency remains bearish against the 63846 pivot.

最终，价格进一步下跌。比特币突破前期低点，如我们预期到达第一个目标区域57207-55166。该加密货币仍然看跌 63846 支点。