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Coutts 預計比特幣在此週期將上漲 2 至 3 倍。這項預測較 2017 年和 2020 年分別成長 19 倍和 6 倍有所下降。
Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts anticipates that Bitcoin will witness a 2X to 3X surge in its current cycle.
Real Vision 分析師 Jamie Coutts 預計,比特幣將在當前週期內飆升 2 至 3 倍。
While this projection is a step down from the 19X and 6X surges of 2017 and 2020 respectively, Coutts anticipates that the cryptocurrency might witness a six-figure valuation by the end of the cycle.
雖然這項預測較 2017 年和 2020 年分別上漲 19 倍和 6 倍有所下降,但 Coutts 預計,到本週期結束時,加密貨幣的估值可能會達到六位數。
However, for Bitcoin to hit this target, Coutts shared on X that the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) must drop significantly below 101, a shift that would be brought on by continued central bank injections.
然而,為了讓比特幣達到這一目標,Coutts 在 X 上表示,美元指數 (DXY) 必須大幅跌破 101,而央行持續注資將帶來這一轉變。
The DXY, which gauges the strength of the US dollar against other major global currencies, currently stands at 102.65.
衡量美元兌其他主要全球貨幣強弱的美元指數目前為 102.65。
According to Coutts, his global liquidity model, which previously forecasted a 75% increase in Bitcoin’s value in November 2023, is now suggesting another upward trend.
Coutts 表示,他的全球流動性模型先前預測 2023 年 11 月比特幣價值將成長 75%,現在卻顯示出另一種上升趨勢。
This anticipation is credited to significant contributions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the People's Bank of China (PBoC), which provided 41% of the global liquidity infusion last month.
這一預期歸功於日本央行 (BoJ) 和中國人民銀行 (PBoC) 的巨大貢獻,上個月它們提供了全球流動性注入的 41%。
"Over the past month; the BoJ and the PBoC have added $400 billion and $97 billion, respectively; the broad global money base (credit) has expanded by $1.2 trillion, which has been significantly aided by a sharp decline of the U.S. dollar. This suggests that it is coordinated with the Federal Reserve's consent," Coutts stated.
「過去一個月,日本央行和中國人民銀行分別增加了4,000 億美元和970 億美元;全球廣泛的貨幣基礎(信貸)擴大了1.2 兆美元,這在很大程度上得益於美元的大幅貶值。
The predicted surge in Bitcoin’s value is significant, considering the cryptocurrency’s volatile nature. The forecasted increase is based on the assumption that the U.S. Dollar Index will decrease, which is contingent on continued central bank injections.
考慮到加密貨幣的波動性,比特幣價值的預期飆升是顯著的。預測的成長是基於美元指數將下跌的假設,這取決於央行的持續注入。
This prediction also highlights the role of major global banks like the BoJ and PBoC in influencing Bitcoin’s value. Their contribution to global liquidity has been identified as a key factor in triggering Bitcoin’s bullish phase.
這項預測也凸顯了日本央行和中國人民銀行等全球主要銀行在影響比特幣價值方面所扮演的角色。他們對全球流動性的貢獻被認為是引發比特幣看漲階段的關鍵因素。
The prediction also underscores the coordinated efforts of global banks, including the Federal Reserve, in managing the global money base.
這項預測也強調了包括聯準會在內的全球銀行在管理全球貨幣基礎方面的協調努力。
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