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Coutts 预计比特币在此周期中将上涨 2 至 3 倍。这一预测较 2017 年和 2020 年分别增长 19 倍和 6 倍有所下降。
Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts anticipates that Bitcoin will witness a 2X to 3X surge in its current cycle.
Real Vision 分析师杰米·库茨 (Jamie Coutts) 预计,比特币将在当前周期内飙升 2 至 3 倍。
While this projection is a step down from the 19X and 6X surges of 2017 and 2020 respectively, Coutts anticipates that the cryptocurrency might witness a six-figure valuation by the end of the cycle.
虽然这一预测较 2017 年和 2020 年分别上涨 19 倍和 6 倍有所下降,但 Coutts 预计,到本周期结束时,加密货币的估值可能会达到六位数。
However, for Bitcoin to hit this target, Coutts shared on X that the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) must drop significantly below 101, a shift that would be brought on by continued central bank injections.
然而,为了让比特币达到这一目标,Coutts 在 X 上表示,美元指数 (DXY) 必须大幅跌破 101,而央行持续注资将带来这一转变。
The DXY, which gauges the strength of the US dollar against other major global currencies, currently stands at 102.65.
衡量美元兑其他主要全球货币强弱的美元指数目前为 102.65。
According to Coutts, his global liquidity model, which previously forecasted a 75% increase in Bitcoin’s value in November 2023, is now suggesting another upward trend.
Coutts 表示,他的全球流动性模型此前预测 2023 年 11 月比特币价值将增长 75%,现在却显示出另一种上升趋势。
This anticipation is credited to significant contributions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the People's Bank of China (PBoC), which provided 41% of the global liquidity infusion last month.
这一预期归功于日本央行 (BoJ) 和中国人民银行 (PBoC) 的巨大贡献,上个月它们提供了全球流动性注入的 41%。
"Over the past month; the BoJ and the PBoC have added $400 billion and $97 billion, respectively; the broad global money base (credit) has expanded by $1.2 trillion, which has been significantly aided by a sharp decline of the U.S. dollar. This suggests that it is coordinated with the Federal Reserve's consent," Coutts stated.
“过去一个月,日本央行和中国人民银行分别增加了 4000 亿美元和 970 亿美元;全球广泛的货币基础(信贷)扩大了 1.2 万亿美元,这在很大程度上得益于美元的大幅贬值。表明它是在美联储同意的情况下进行协调的,”库茨表示。
The predicted surge in Bitcoin’s value is significant, considering the cryptocurrency’s volatile nature. The forecasted increase is based on the assumption that the U.S. Dollar Index will decrease, which is contingent on continued central bank injections.
考虑到加密货币的波动性,比特币价值的预计飙升是显着的。预测的增长是基于美元指数将下跌的假设,这取决于央行的持续注入。
This prediction also highlights the role of major global banks like the BoJ and PBoC in influencing Bitcoin’s value. Their contribution to global liquidity has been identified as a key factor in triggering Bitcoin’s bullish phase.
这一预测还凸显了日本央行和中国人民银行等全球主要银行在影响比特币价值方面的作用。他们对全球流动性的贡献被认为是引发比特币看涨阶段的关键因素。
The prediction also underscores the coordinated efforts of global banks, including the Federal Reserve, in managing the global money base.
这一预测还强调了包括美联储在内的全球银行在管理全球货币基础方面的协调努力。
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