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儘管2月的每月蠟燭收盤價為84,299美元,但BTC(BTC)每週關閉的蠟燭卻形成了DOJI蠟燭,收盤價為94,222美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) price tested the $95,000 overhead resistance once again after US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a crypto strategic reserve pushed the flagship cryptocurrency higher.
在美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)宣布加密戰略儲備將旗艦加密貨幣提高後,比特幣(BTC)的價格再次測試了95,000美元的間接費用。
Bitcoin weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
比特幣每週圖表。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
Despite February’s monthly candle closing at $84,299, BTC’s (BTC) weekly close formed a doji candle, closing at $94,222.
儘管2月的每月蠟燭收盤價為84,299美元,但BTC(BTC)每週關閉的蠟燭卻形成了DOJI蠟燭,收盤價為94,222美元。
Will Trump-pump follow the Xi-pump path?
特朗普泵會遵循xi-Pump道路嗎?
In 2019, during a prolonged bearish trading period that stretched from June to October, Bitcoin’s market sentiment was low. However, on Oct. 25, 2019, China’s President XI Jinping’s announcement supporting blockchain technology triggered a significant price rise.
2019年,在6月至10月的長時間看跌交易期間,比特幣的市場情緒很低。但是,在2019年10月25日,中國習近平總統的公告支持區塊鏈技術引發了大幅上漲。
However, in subsequent days, China imposed a series of crackdowns on crypto assets and activities like mining, leading to new lows within 30 days.
但是,在隨後的日子裡,中國對加密資產和採礦等活動進行了一系列鎮壓,導致30天內的新低點。
Cold Blooded Shiller, an anonymous crypto analyst, drew similarities between the ‘Xi-pump’ and the current Trump pump, suggesting that sentiment rallies can often fizzle out due to lack of strength, and the market quickly adjusts itself to the prior trend.
匿名加密分析師冷血的希勒(Shiller)在“ xi-Pump”和當前的特朗普泵之間取得了相似之處,這表明情緒集會通常會因為缺乏力量而浮出水面,而市場迅速適應了先前的趨勢。
Bitcoin 2019 Xi pump vs 2025 Trump pump comparison. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
比特幣2019 XI泵與2025特朗普泵比較。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
As illustrated in the chart, the similarities between both periods followed similar retests of prior support ranges. In the first case below $10,000 in 2019 and below $95,000 in 2025, and the asset formed new lows 30 days later. The analyst added that in 2019, traders quickly acknowledged the pump as a “short squeeze and managed to get some very good entries.”
如圖所示,兩個時期之間的相似性遵循了相似的先前支持範圍的重新測試。在2019年低於10,000美元的第一種情況下,2025年低於$ 95,000,資產在30天后形成了新的低點。分析師補充說,2019年,交易員迅速承認該泵是“短暫的擠壓,並設法獲得了一些很好的條目”。
Likewise, Magus, a crypto trader, mentioned that bulls needed to prove themselves this week and carry out re-acceptance of the value area high (VAH) at $103,000 and value area low (VAL) at $91,000.
同樣,加密貨幣交易員瑪格斯(Magus)提到,公牛需要本週證明自己,並重新接受價值面積高(VAH)的價值為103,000美元,價值面積低(Val)為91,000美元。
Bitcoin volume profile analysis by Magus. Source: X.com
通過Magus進行的比特幣體積分析。資料來源:X.com
The VAH and VAL define a range where the majority of trading volume occurred during a selected time period on a chart, in this case, since November 2024. However, Magus also remained cautious of the Xi pump, stating,
VAH和VAL定義了一個範圍,其中大多數交易量發生在圖表上選定的時間段中,在這種情況下,自2024年11月以來,Magus也對XI泵保持謹慎
Related: Trump’s crypto reserve plan faces Congress vote, may limit rally
相關:特朗普的加密儲備計劃面臨國會投票,可能會限制集會
Bitcoin remains in distribution, not accumulation
比特幣保持分配,而不是積累
Data from Glassnode suggested that despite BTC’s rally, the short-term holders’ (STH) cost basis dropped below 1 after initially moving above $92,700. Bitcoin’s current price is below $92,700, which implies that STHs remained in a “fragile position” with profitability current at breakeven.
GlassNode的數據表明,儘管BTC集會,但短期持有人(STH)的成本基礎在最初移動到92,700美元以上後仍低於1。比特幣目前的價格低於92,700美元,這意味著STH仍處於“脆弱的位置”,而盈利能力當前在Breakeven。
Additionally, the data analytics platform also stated that Bitcoin’s accumulation trend score remained under 0.5 for 58 consecutive days, underling a long period of net distribution.
此外,數據分析平台還指出,比特幣的累積趨勢得分連續58天保持在0.5以下,這是長期淨分佈的基礎。
Bitcoin accumulation trend score. Source: X.com
比特幣積累趨勢得分。資料來源:X.com
A distribution period is defined as a phase of profit-taking by investors, which is often in line with market corrections. Glassnode added,
分銷期被定義為投資者的利潤階段,這通常與市場更正一致。添加了玻璃節,
Related: Biggest CME gap ever at $85K: 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
相關:有史以來最大的CME差距為$ 85K:本週比特幣要知道的5件事
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。
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