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尽管2月的每月蜡烛收盘价为84,299美元,但BTC(BTC)每周关闭的蜡烛却形成了DOJI蜡烛,收盘价为94,222美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) price tested the $95,000 overhead resistance once again after US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a crypto strategic reserve pushed the flagship cryptocurrency higher.
在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)宣布加密战略储备将旗舰加密货币提高后,比特币(BTC)的价格再次测试了95,000美元的间接费用。
Bitcoin weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
比特币每周图表。资料来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
Despite February’s monthly candle closing at $84,299, BTC’s (BTC) weekly close formed a doji candle, closing at $94,222.
尽管2月的每月蜡烛收盘价为84,299美元,但BTC(BTC)每周关闭的蜡烛却形成了DOJI蜡烛,收盘价为94,222美元。
Will Trump-pump follow the Xi-pump path?
特朗普泵会遵循xi-Pump道路吗?
In 2019, during a prolonged bearish trading period that stretched from June to October, Bitcoin’s market sentiment was low. However, on Oct. 25, 2019, China’s President XI Jinping’s announcement supporting blockchain technology triggered a significant price rise.
2019年,在6月至10月的长时间看跌交易期间,比特币的市场情绪很低。但是,在2019年10月25日,中国习近平总统的公告支持区块链技术引发了大幅上涨。
However, in subsequent days, China imposed a series of crackdowns on crypto assets and activities like mining, leading to new lows within 30 days.
但是,在随后的日子里,中国对加密资产和采矿等活动进行了一系列镇压,导致30天内的新低点。
Cold Blooded Shiller, an anonymous crypto analyst, drew similarities between the ‘Xi-pump’ and the current Trump pump, suggesting that sentiment rallies can often fizzle out due to lack of strength, and the market quickly adjusts itself to the prior trend.
匿名加密分析师冷血的希勒(Shiller)在“ xi-Pump”和当前的特朗普泵之间取得了相似之处,这表明情绪集会通常会因为缺乏力量而浮出水面,而市场迅速适应了先前的趋势。
Bitcoin 2019 Xi pump vs 2025 Trump pump comparison. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
比特币2019 XI泵与2025特朗普泵比较。资料来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
As illustrated in the chart, the similarities between both periods followed similar retests of prior support ranges. In the first case below $10,000 in 2019 and below $95,000 in 2025, and the asset formed new lows 30 days later. The analyst added that in 2019, traders quickly acknowledged the pump as a “short squeeze and managed to get some very good entries.”
如图所示,两个时期之间的相似性遵循了相似的先前支持范围的重新测试。在2019年低于10,000美元的第一种情况下,2025年低于$ 95,000,资产在30天后形成了新的低点。分析师补充说,2019年,交易员迅速承认该泵是“短暂的挤压,并设法获得了一些很好的条目”。
Likewise, Magus, a crypto trader, mentioned that bulls needed to prove themselves this week and carry out re-acceptance of the value area high (VAH) at $103,000 and value area low (VAL) at $91,000.
同样,加密货币交易员玛格斯(Magus)提到,公牛需要本周证明自己,并重新接受价值面积高(VAH)的价值为103,000美元,价值面积低(Val)为91,000美元。
Bitcoin volume profile analysis by Magus. Source: X.com
通过Magus进行的比特币体积分析。资料来源:X.com
The VAH and VAL define a range where the majority of trading volume occurred during a selected time period on a chart, in this case, since November 2024. However, Magus also remained cautious of the Xi pump, stating,
VAH和VAL定义了一个范围,其中大多数交易量发生在图表上选定的时间段中,在这种情况下,自2024年11月以来,Magus也对XI泵保持谨慎
Related: Trump’s crypto reserve plan faces Congress vote, may limit rally
相关:特朗普的加密储备计划面临国会投票,可能会限制集会
Bitcoin remains in distribution, not accumulation
比特币保持分配,而不是积累
Data from Glassnode suggested that despite BTC’s rally, the short-term holders’ (STH) cost basis dropped below 1 after initially moving above $92,700. Bitcoin’s current price is below $92,700, which implies that STHs remained in a “fragile position” with profitability current at breakeven.
GlassNode的数据表明,尽管BTC集会,但短期持有人(STH)的成本基础在最初移动到92,700美元以上后仍低于1。比特币目前的价格低于92,700美元,这意味着STH仍处于“脆弱的位置”,而盈利能力当前在Breakeven。
Additionally, the data analytics platform also stated that Bitcoin’s accumulation trend score remained under 0.5 for 58 consecutive days, underling a long period of net distribution.
此外,数据分析平台还指出,比特币的累积趋势得分连续58天保持在0.5以下,这是长期净分布的基础。
Bitcoin accumulation trend score. Source: X.com
比特币积累趋势得分。资料来源:X.com
A distribution period is defined as a phase of profit-taking by investors, which is often in line with market corrections. Glassnode added,
分销期被定义为投资者的利润阶段,这通常与市场更正一致。添加了玻璃节,
Related: Biggest CME gap ever at $85K: 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
相关:有史以来最大的CME差距为$ 85K:本周比特币要知道的5件事
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险,读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。
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