如果比特幣（BTC）破裂並保持在關鍵水平以上，則可能會飆升至112,000美元

在昨天發表的X帖子中，經驗豐富的加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）強調了這一點，基於價格率分析

Seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted that, based on price band analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to $112,000 if it breaks and holds above a key level.

經驗豐富的加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）強調，根據價格頻段分析，如果比特幣（BTC）破裂並超過關鍵水平，則比特幣（BTC）可能會增加到112,000美元。

Analyst Highlights Crucial Bitcoin Level

分析師突出了至關重要的比特幣水平

Following a slight uptick after the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) announcement to slow the pace of its balance sheet drawdown, Bitcoin is currently trading in the low $80,000 price range. However, according to Martinez, the leading cryptocurrency could reach a new all-time high (ATH), subject to certain conditions.

在美國美聯儲（美聯儲）宣布減緩其資產負債表的步伐之後，比特幣目前的交易價格略有80,000美元的價格範圍。但是，根據馬丁內斯（Martinez）的說法，領先的加密貨幣可能會達到新的歷史最高（ATH），但要遵守某些條件。

Using Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands, Martinez pointed to two crucial price levels that could determine Bitcoin's next major move. According to the analyst, if BTC breaks and holds above $94,000, it has a 'high probability' of rallying to $112,000.

馬丁內斯使用市場價值來實現價值（MVRV）極端偏差的定價頻段，指出了兩個至關重要的價格水平，可以決定比特幣的下一個重大舉措。根據分析師的說法，如果BTC破產並持有超過94,000美元，則它的“高可能性”為112,000美元。

On the flip side, if BTC falls below $76,000, it risks plunging to $58,000 – or even $44,000 – if market conditions turn bearish. Notably, BTC previously hit $76,606 on March 10 before rebounding to its current range in the low $80,000s.

另一方面，如果BTC低於76,000美元，則可能會跌至58,000美元，甚至44,000美元，如果市場狀況變成看跌。值得注意的是，BTC此前在3月10日達到76,606美元，然後反彈至目前的80,000美元。

For the uninitiated, MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands show whether an asset, like Bitcoin, is priced too high or too low compared to its past averages. It helps spot when the market might be overbought – potential market top – or oversold – potential buying opportunity.

對於未經啟發的MVRV極端偏差定價頻段，與過去的平均值相比，資產（像比特幣）的價格過高或太低。當市場可能過高（潛在的市場頂級）或超售潛在的購買機會時，它會有助於現貨。

According to Martinez's chart, BTC is currently trading between the mean – yellow band – and +0.5 standard deviation – orange band. A sustained breakout above or below these bands could indicate Bitcoin's next significant price direction.

根據馬丁內斯（Martinez）的圖表，BTC目前正在平均值 - 黃色樂隊 - +0.5標準偏差 - 橙色樂隊之間進行交易。這些樂隊上方或之下的持續突破可能表明比特幣的下一個重要價格方向。

Fellow crypto analyst Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin is re-testing the crucial $84,000 support level. A successful hold at this price could set BTC up to challenge the $94,000 resistance, potentially paving the way for a new ATH. The analyst stated:

加密分析師Rekt Capital指出，比特幣正在重新測試至關重要的84,000美元支持水平。以這個價格成功持有，BTC可能會挑戰94,000美元的阻力，這可能為新的ATH鋪平了道路。分析師指出：

"BTC has produced long wicks below this level before which is why a Daily Close above $84k is essential for this retest to be successful."

“ BTC在此級別以下產生了長長的燈芯，這就是為什麼每天關閉8.4K $ 8.4K的原因對於這次重新測試至關重要。”

Will BTC Witness A Short Squeeze?

BTC會見證短暫的擠壓嗎？

In a separate X post, crypto trader Merlijn The Trader suggested that widespread pessimism around BTC's recent price action might fuel a powerful short squeeze. According to the analyst, roughly $2 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated if BTC reaches $87,000 – potentially driving the price even higher.

在單獨的X帖子中，加密交易者Merlijn交易員建議BTC最近的價格行動廣泛的悲觀情緒可能會引起強有力的短暫擠壓。根據分析師的說法，如果BTC達到87,000美元，可能會清算價值約20億美元的短職位 - 有可能使價格提高。

According to The Trader's data, if BTC manages to close a candle above $87,000 on Bitfinex, it would trigger a massive liquidation of short positions. This liquidation cascade could push BTC even further up, setting off a vicious cycle of further liquidations and price increases.

根據交易者的數據，如果BTC設法在Bitfinex上關閉了超過87,000美元的蠟燭，它將引發大規模清算短職位的清算。這種清算級聯可能會進一步推動BTC，從而引發了進一步清算和價格上漲的惡性循環。

If we zoom out further, we can see that the overall picture is still quite bearish, with a sustained breakout above the key resistance levels would be needed to shift the balance in favor of the bulls. A clear indicator of a strong bullish trend.

如果我們進一步縮小，我們可以看到，整體情況仍然相當看跌，需要持續的突破以上的關鍵阻力水平，以轉移平衡，而對公牛隊有利。明確表明了強烈的看漲趨勢。

If the bears manage to defend the crucial price levels and drive BTC lower, we could see a continuation of the sideways trading, leading to more opportunities for traders to capitalize on the price action and market dynamics.

如果熊隊設法捍衛關鍵的價格水平並將BTC降低，我們可以看到側向交易的延續，從而為交易者提供更多機會利用價格行動和市場動態。

If the bulls succeed in breaking through the key resistance levels and the price continues to rally, we could see a rapid unwinding of the bearish bets, leading to a swift and decisive shift in market momentum. This scenario could result in a strong uptrend, with the bulls taking complete control of the market.

如果公牛隊成功地突破了關鍵的抵抗水平，並且價格持續持續集會，那麼我們可以看到持有看跌賭注的快速放鬆，從而導致市場勢頭迅速而決定性的轉變。這種情況可能會導致強大的上升趨勢，公牛完全控制了市場。

If the bears manage to defend the crucial price levels and drive BTC lower, we could see a continuation of the sideways trading, leading to more opportunities for traders to capitalize on the price action and market dynamics.

如果熊隊設法捍衛關鍵的價格水平並將BTC降低，我們可以看到側向交易的延續，從而為交易者提供更多機會利用價格行動和市場動態。

If the bulls succeed in breaking through the key resistance levels and the price continues to rally, we could see a rapid unwinding of the bearish bets, leading to a swift and decisive shift in market momentum. This scenario could result in a strong uptrend, with the bulls taking complete control of the market.

如果公牛隊成功地突破了關鍵的抵抗水平，並且價格持續持續集會，那麼我們可以看到持有看跌賭注的快速放鬆，從而導致市場勢頭迅速而決定性的轉變。這種情況可能會導致強大的上升趨勢，公牛完全控制了市場。