如果比特币（BTC）破裂并保持在关键水平以上，则可能会飙升至112,000美元

在昨天发表的X帖子中，经验丰富的加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）强调了这一点，基于价格率分析

Seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted that, based on price band analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to $112,000 if it breaks and holds above a key level.

经验丰富的加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）强调，根据价格频段分析，如果比特币（BTC）破裂并超过关键水平，则比特币（BTC）可能会增加到112,000美元。

Analyst Highlights Crucial Bitcoin Level

分析师突出了至关重要的比特币水平

Following a slight uptick after the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) announcement to slow the pace of its balance sheet drawdown, Bitcoin is currently trading in the low $80,000 price range. However, according to Martinez, the leading cryptocurrency could reach a new all-time high (ATH), subject to certain conditions.

在美国美联储（美联储）宣布减缓其资产负债表的步伐之后，比特币目前的交易价格略有80,000美元的价格范围。但是，根据马丁内斯（Martinez）的说法，领先的加密货币可能会达到新的历史最高（ATH），但要遵守某些条件。

Using Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands, Martinez pointed to two crucial price levels that could determine Bitcoin's next major move. According to the analyst, if BTC breaks and holds above $94,000, it has a 'high probability' of rallying to $112,000.

马丁内斯使用市场价值来实现价值（MVRV）极端偏差的定价频段，指出了两个至关重要的价格水平，可以决定比特币的下一个重大举措。根据分析师的说法，如果BTC破产并持有超过94,000美元，则它的“高可能性”为112,000美元。

On the flip side, if BTC falls below $76,000, it risks plunging to $58,000 – or even $44,000 – if market conditions turn bearish. Notably, BTC previously hit $76,606 on March 10 before rebounding to its current range in the low $80,000s.

另一方面，如果BTC低于76,000美元，则可能会跌至58,000美元，甚至44,000美元，如果市场状况变成看跌。值得注意的是，BTC此前在3月10日达到76,606美元，然后反弹至目前的80,000美元。

For the uninitiated, MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands show whether an asset, like Bitcoin, is priced too high or too low compared to its past averages. It helps spot when the market might be overbought – potential market top – or oversold – potential buying opportunity.

对于未经启发的MVRV极端偏差定价频段，与过去的平均值相比，资产（像比特币）的价格过高或太低。当市场可能过高（潜在的市场顶级）或超售潜在的购买机会时，它会有助于现货。

According to Martinez's chart, BTC is currently trading between the mean – yellow band – and +0.5 standard deviation – orange band. A sustained breakout above or below these bands could indicate Bitcoin's next significant price direction.

根据马丁内斯（Martinez）的图表，BTC目前正在平均值 - 黄色乐队 - +0.5标准偏差 - 橙色乐队之间进行交易。这些乐队上方或之下的持续突破可能表明比特币的下一个重要价格方向。

Fellow crypto analyst Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin is re-testing the crucial $84,000 support level. A successful hold at this price could set BTC up to challenge the $94,000 resistance, potentially paving the way for a new ATH. The analyst stated:

加密分析师Rekt Capital指出，比特币正在重新测试至关重要的84,000美元支持水平。以这个价格成功持有，BTC可能会挑战94,000美元的阻力，这可能为新的ATH铺平了道路。分析师指出：

"BTC has produced long wicks below this level before which is why a Daily Close above $84k is essential for this retest to be successful."

“ BTC在此级别以下产生了长长的灯芯，这就是为什么每天关闭8.4K $ 8.4K的原因对于这次重新测试至关重要。”

Will BTC Witness A Short Squeeze?

BTC会见证短暂的挤压吗？

In a separate X post, crypto trader Merlijn The Trader suggested that widespread pessimism around BTC's recent price action might fuel a powerful short squeeze. According to the analyst, roughly $2 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated if BTC reaches $87,000 – potentially driving the price even higher.

在单独的X帖子中，加密交易者Merlijn交易员建议BTC最近的价格行动广泛的悲观情绪可能会引起强有力的短暂挤压。根据分析师的说法，如果BTC达到87,000美元，可能会清算价值约20亿美元的短职位 - 有可能使价格提高。

According to The Trader's data, if BTC manages to close a candle above $87,000 on Bitfinex, it would trigger a massive liquidation of short positions. This liquidation cascade could push BTC even further up, setting off a vicious cycle of further liquidations and price increases.

根据交易者的数据，如果BTC设法在Bitfinex上关闭了超过87,000美元的蜡烛，它将引发大规模清算短职位的清算。这种清算级联可能会进一步推动BTC，从而引发了进一步清算和价格上涨的恶性循环。

If we zoom out further, we can see that the overall picture is still quite bearish, with a sustained breakout above the key resistance levels would be needed to shift the balance in favor of the bulls. A clear indicator of a strong bullish trend.

如果我们进一步缩小，我们可以看到，整体情况仍然相当看跌，需要持续的突破以上的关键阻力水平，以转移平衡，而对公牛队有利。明确表明了强烈的看涨趋势。

If the bears manage to defend the crucial price levels and drive BTC lower, we could see a continuation of the sideways trading, leading to more opportunities for traders to capitalize on the price action and market dynamics.

如果熊队设法捍卫关键的价格水平并将BTC降低，我们可以看到侧向交易的延续，从而为交易者提供更多机会利用价格行动和市场动态。

If the bulls succeed in breaking through the key resistance levels and the price continues to rally, we could see a rapid unwinding of the bearish bets, leading to a swift and decisive shift in market momentum. This scenario could result in a strong uptrend, with the bulls taking complete control of the market.

如果公牛队成功地突破了关键的抵抗水平，并且价格持续持续集会，那么我们可以看到持有看跌赌注的快速放松，从而导致市场势头迅速而决定性的转变。这种情况可能会导致强大的上升趋势，公牛完全控制了市场。

If the bears manage to defend the crucial price levels and drive BTC lower, we could see a continuation of the sideways trading, leading to more opportunities for traders to capitalize on the price action and market dynamics.

如果熊队设法捍卫关键的价格水平并将BTC降低，我们可以看到侧向交易的延续，从而为交易者提供更多机会利用价格行动和市场动态。

If the bulls succeed in breaking through the key resistance levels and the price continues to rally, we could see a rapid unwinding of the bearish bets, leading to a swift and decisive shift in market momentum. This scenario could result in a strong uptrend, with the bulls taking complete control of the market.

如果公牛队成功地突破了关键的抵抗水平，并且价格持续持续集会，那么我们可以看到持有看跌赌注的快速放松，从而导致市场势头迅速而决定性的转变。这种情况可能会导致强大的上升趋势，公牛完全控制了市场。