分析師預測可能會崩盤，比特幣 (BTC) 可能會跌至 77,000 美元

一些分析師擔心比特幣可能會因芝加哥商品交易所（CME）的缺口而導致價格大幅下跌，進而引發崩盤。

Some analysts are expressing concern that Bitcoin might experience a possible crash driven by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap, leading to a significant drop in its price.

一些分析師擔心比特幣可能會因芝加哥商業交易所（CME）缺口而出現崩盤，導致其價格大幅下跌。

As Bitcoin needs to fill in the gap, several crypto traders predict it might push the firstborn cryptocurrency near the critical CME gap. This suggests that its price could go as low as $77,000 per coin.

由於比特幣需要填補這一缺口，一些加密貨幣交易員預測，它可能會將第一個誕生的加密貨幣推向芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 的關鍵缺口。這表明其價格可能會低至每枚 77,000 美元。

Bitcoin Could Slide To $77K As Per Coin Analysis

根據硬幣分析，比特幣可能會滑至 7.7 萬美元

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto suggested that the massive corrections that Bitcoin has been experiencing could cause the coin to plunge to the $77,000 mark.

加密貨幣分析師 Egrag Crypto 表示，比特幣經歷的大規模調整可能會導致比特幣暴跌至 77,000 美元大關。

Egrag added that since October 2022, the flagship cryptocurrency has been subjected to about seven considerable drops, adding, “The average drop across these events is approximately 23.53%.”

Egrag 補充說，自 2022 年 10 月以來，旗艦加密貨幣已經經歷了大約七次大幅下跌，並補充道，“這些事件的平均跌幅約為 23.53%。”

Egrag also noted that the current 21 Weekly EMA is around $80,000, suggesting that “another flash crash could be on the horizon.”

Egrag 還指出，目前 21 週 EMA 約為 80,000 美元，這表明「另一場閃電崩盤可能即將到來」。

CME Gap At $80K As Per Coin Analysis

根據代幣分析，CME 缺口為 8 萬美元

Another crypto analyst, XForceGlobal, reminded traders that “there’s a 1D CME gap at $80,000.”

另一位加密貨幣分析師 XForceGlobal 提醒交易者，“一維 CME 缺口為 80,000 美元。”

XForceGlobal said that historically, 90% of daily CME gaps larger than have been eventually filled since 2018.

XForceGlobal 表示，從歷史上看，自 2018 年以來，90% 的每日 CME 缺口最終都被填補。

However, the crypto analyst noted that it is hard to predict the timing and method of filling CME gaps.

然而，加密貨幣分析師指出，很難預測填補 CME 缺口的時間和方法。

“The tricky part with CME gaps is that their timing and method of filling remain unpredictable,” XForceGlobal said in a post.

XForceGlobal 在一篇貼文中表示：“CME 缺口的棘手之處在於，填補缺口的時間和方法仍然不可預測。”

The crypto analyst sees possible scenarios to fill the CME gaps. In one scenario, XForceGlobal suggests it could be filed through a deep wave or wave-4 correction, bringing Bitcoin down to the $77,000 to $80,000 level.

加密貨幣分析師看到了填補 CME 空白的可能方案。在一種情況下，XForceGlobal 表示，可能會透過深波或第 4 波修正來進行調整，使比特幣跌至 77,000 美元至 80,000 美元的水平。

In another scenario, XForceGlobal said it can be filled “at a later stage via the assumed 1-2 correction after we finally finish off this bull run’s impulse,” a scenario which might result in the BTC to plummet to $46,000.

在另一種情況下，XForceGlobal 表示，“在我們最終結束這次牛市的衝動之後，透過假設的1-2 修正，可以在稍後階段填補該缺口”，這種情況可能會導致BTC 暴跌至46,000美元。

Egrag believes that market makers might use the upcoming inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump to trigger selling pressure for Bitcoin, contributing to its imminent crash.

Egrag 認為，做市商可能會利用當選總統唐納德·川普即將就職的機會引發比特幣的拋售壓力，導致其即將崩潰。

“Market makers are known for seizing opportunities during crises. Expect a market dump on Inauguration Day (January 20, 2025). This could be the perfect local top for a sell-off, likely leaving many newcomers in a panic,” the crypto analyst said.

「做市商以在危機期間抓住機會而聞名。預計就職日（2025 年 1 月 20 日）市場將出現拋售。這可能是拋售的完美本地頂部，可能會讓許多新手陷入恐慌，」這位加密貨幣分析師表示。

Egrag outlined two scenarios that might unfold from the current market condition, suggesting that in one scenario, Bitcoin could pump to $120,000 and later experience a dump to the CME GAP before “resuming the bull run in 2025.”

Egrag 概述了當前市場狀況可能出現的兩種情況，表明在一種情況下，比特幣可能會漲至 12 萬美元，然後在「2025 年恢復牛市」之前經歷 CME GAP 的暴跌。

In another possible scenario, the crypto analyst said that BTC could drop to the CME gap of $70,000 to $75,000 level before the resumption of the bull run.

這位加密貨幣分析師表示，在另一種可能的情況下，在多頭市場恢復之前，BTC 可能會跌至 CME 70,000 美元至 75,000 美元的水平。