比特幣（BTC）顯示了一段高波動率後恢復的跡象

儘管從一月份的歷史山峰降低了30％，但加密女王似乎仍在發現一些平衡。

Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery after a period of high volatility. Despite a 30% drop from its historic peak in January, the queen of crypto seems to be finding some equilibrium. Several key elements are emerging, suggesting a return of BTC to $90,000 in the coming days.

一段時間高波動性後，比特幣顯示出恢復的跡象。儘管從一月份的歷史山峰降低了30％，但加密女王似乎仍在發現一些平衡。出現了幾個關鍵要素，表明未來幾天BTC返回90,000美元。

> Read : Bitcoin price drops below $80K as CPI data sparks fear in the market

>閱讀：隨著CPI數據引發市場上的擔憂，比特幣價格下跌低於$ 80k

Solid derivatives market despite the correction

儘管進行了更正，但固體衍生品市場

For several weeks, bitcoin has been trading below $86,000, struggling to regain its recent highs, due to global economic uncertainties. However, the indicators from the derivatives market show no signs of panic.

幾週來，由於全球經濟不確定性，比特幣一直在86,000美元以下的交易低於86,000美元。但是，衍生品市場的指標沒有恐慌跡象。

Indeed, the basis rate of futures contracts, which measures the premium of monthly contracts over the spot market, has stabilized around 5%, down from 8% two weeks ago. This level, while lower, remains neutral, suggesting that investors are not yielding to selling pressure.

的確，衡量現貨市場每月合同溢價的期貨合約的基本率穩定在5％左右，低於兩週前的8％。該水平雖然較低，但仍保持中立，這表明投資者沒有屈服於銷售壓力。

Other elements confirm this cautious outlook. The long/short ratio on OKX shows that long positions exceed short positions at a ratio of 18:1, well below euphoric levels, but far from extreme pessimism.

其他元素證實了這種謹慎的觀點。 OKX上的長/短比例表明，長位置以18：1的比例超過短位置，遠低於欣快水平，但遠非極端的悲觀主義。

Furthermore, the correlation with the S&P 500 could influence BTC’s trajectory. A recovery in equity markets after their recent 10% correction could propel bitcoin towards $90,000.

此外，與標準普爾500指數的相關性可能會影響BTC的軌跡。股票市場最近的10％更正後，股票市場的回收率可能會使比特幣轉移到90,000美元。

Bitcoin whales accumulate and technical signals turn green

比特幣鯨積累，技術信號變成綠色

Optimism is also growing around bitcoin, particularly due to the movements of whales. According to data from Santiment, addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC added 24, in a 24-hour period.

樂觀也在比特幣周圍增長，特別是由於鯨魚的運動。根據Santiment的數據，在24小時內，持有1,000至10,000 BTC的地址增加了24個。

This is a strong sign of institutional confidence, as these large investors are continuing to accumulate bitcoin despite market volatility. Historically, this type of activity often precedes marked increases in price.

這是機構信心的強烈跡象，因為儘管市場波動，這些大型投資者仍在繼續積累比特幣。從歷史上看，這種類型的活動通常在價格上漲之前先於明顯上漲。

On the technical analysis side, bitcoin is forming a triangular ascending pattern, a bullish configuration combining horizontal resistance and upward support.

在技​​術分析方面，比特幣形成了三角形的上升模式，看漲的配置結合了水平電阻和向上支撐。

Currently, BTC is attempting to break above the $84,000 resistance, which could trigger a move towards $90,000. However, confirmation of the signal depends on the trading volume.

目前，BTC試圖超過84,000美元的電阻，這可能會觸發$ 90,000的轉變。但是，信號的確認取決於交易量。

Without a significant increase, the breakout could fail, leading to a consolidation phase rather than a bullish recovery.

沒有大幅度增加，突破可能會失敗，導致鞏固階段而不是看漲的恢復。

Towards a return to $90,000?

回到90,000美元？

Bitcoin is in a decisive phase. If the crypto manages to confirm the breakout of the ascending triangle and if whales continue their accumulation, a return to $90,000 seems possible.

比特幣處於決定性階段。如果加密貨幣設法確認了上升三角形的突破，並且如果鯨魚繼續積累，則似乎可以返回90,000美元。

However, several obstacles remain: market volatility, central bank decisions, and Bitcoin ETF flows remain determining factors.

但是，仍然存在幾個障礙：市場波動，中央銀行的決策和比特幣ETF流仍然確定因素。

The coming weeks will be crucial to validate or not this scenario. If macroeconomic conditions improve and institutional demand remains strong, bitcoin could well resume its upward trajectory. Otherwise, consolidation may prolong and BTC could stagnate for another 8 months.

接下來的幾週對於驗證這種情況至關重要。如果宏觀經濟狀況改善並且機構需求仍然強勁，那麼比特幣就可以恢復其向上的軌跡。否則，合併可能會延長，而BTC可能會停滯8個月。

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The world is evolving and adaptation is the best weapon to survive in this undulating universe. Originally a crypto community manager, I am interested in anything that is directly or indirectly related to blockchain and its derivatives. To share my experience and promote a field that I am passionate about, nothing is better than writing informative and relaxed articles.

世界正在發展，適應是在這個起伏的宇宙中生存的最佳武器。我最初是加密社區經理，我對與區塊鍊及其衍生物直接或間接相關的任何事物感興趣。為了分享我的經驗並促進我熱衷的領域，沒有什麼比撰寫內容豐富且放鬆的文章更好。