比特币（BTC）显示了一段高波动率后恢复的迹象

尽管从一月份的历史山峰降低了30％，但加密女王似乎仍在发现一些平衡。

Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery after a period of high volatility. Despite a 30% drop from its historic peak in January, the queen of crypto seems to be finding some equilibrium. Several key elements are emerging, suggesting a return of BTC to $90,000 in the coming days.

一段时间高波动性后，比特币显示出恢复的迹象。尽管从一月份的历史山峰降低了30％，但加密女王似乎仍在发现一些平衡。出现了几个关键要素，表明未来几天BTC返回90,000美元。

> Read : Bitcoin price drops below $80K as CPI data sparks fear in the market

>阅读：随着CPI数据引发市场上的担忧，比特币价格下跌低于$ 80k

Solid derivatives market despite the correction

尽管进行了更正，但固体衍生品市场

For several weeks, bitcoin has been trading below $86,000, struggling to regain its recent highs, due to global economic uncertainties. However, the indicators from the derivatives market show no signs of panic.

几周来，由于全球经济不确定性，比特币一直在86,000美元以下的交易低于86,000美元。但是，衍生品市场的指标没有恐慌迹象。

Indeed, the basis rate of futures contracts, which measures the premium of monthly contracts over the spot market, has stabilized around 5%, down from 8% two weeks ago. This level, while lower, remains neutral, suggesting that investors are not yielding to selling pressure.

的确，衡量现货市场每月合同溢价的期货合约的基本率稳定在5％左右，低于两周前的8％。该水平虽然较低，但仍保持中立，这表明投资者没有屈服于销售压力。

Other elements confirm this cautious outlook. The long/short ratio on OKX shows that long positions exceed short positions at a ratio of 18:1, well below euphoric levels, but far from extreme pessimism.

其他元素证实了这种谨慎的观点。 OKX上的长/短比例表明，长位置以18：1的比例超过短位置，远低于欣快水平，但远非极端的悲观主义。

Furthermore, the correlation with the S&P 500 could influence BTC’s trajectory. A recovery in equity markets after their recent 10% correction could propel bitcoin towards $90,000.

此外，与标准普尔500指数的相关性可能会影响BTC的轨迹。股票市场最近的10％更正后，股票市场的回收率可能会使比特币转移到90,000美元。

Bitcoin whales accumulate and technical signals turn green

比特币鲸积累，技术信号变成绿色

Optimism is also growing around bitcoin, particularly due to the movements of whales. According to data from Santiment, addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC added 24, in a 24-hour period.

乐观也在比特币周围增长，特别是由于鲸鱼的运动。根据Santiment的数据，在24小时内，持有1,000至10,000 BTC的地址增加了24个。

This is a strong sign of institutional confidence, as these large investors are continuing to accumulate bitcoin despite market volatility. Historically, this type of activity often precedes marked increases in price.

这是机构信心的强烈迹象，因为尽管市场波动，这些大型投资者仍在继续积累比特币。从历史上看，这种类型的活动通常在价格上涨之前先于明显上涨。

On the technical analysis side, bitcoin is forming a triangular ascending pattern, a bullish configuration combining horizontal resistance and upward support.

在技​​术分析方面，比特币形成了三角形的上升模式，看涨的配置结合了水平电阻和向上支撑。

Currently, BTC is attempting to break above the $84,000 resistance, which could trigger a move towards $90,000. However, confirmation of the signal depends on the trading volume.

目前，BTC试图超过84,000美元的电阻，这可能会触发90,000美元的转变。但是，信号的确认取决于交易量。

Without a significant increase, the breakout could fail, leading to a consolidation phase rather than a bullish recovery.

没有大幅度增加，突破可能会失败，导致巩固阶段而不是看涨的恢复。

Towards a return to $90,000?

回到90,000美元？

Bitcoin is in a decisive phase. If the crypto manages to confirm the breakout of the ascending triangle and if whales continue their accumulation, a return to $90,000 seems possible.

比特币处于决定性阶段。如果加密货币设法确认了上升三角形的突破，并且如果鲸鱼继续积累，则似乎可以返回90,000美元。

However, several obstacles remain: market volatility, central bank decisions, and Bitcoin ETF flows remain determining factors.

但是，仍然存在几个障碍：市场波动，中央银行的决策和比特币ETF流仍然确定因素。

The coming weeks will be crucial to validate or not this scenario. If macroeconomic conditions improve and institutional demand remains strong, bitcoin could well resume its upward trajectory. Otherwise, consolidation may prolong and BTC could stagnate for another 8 months.

接下来的几周对于验证这种情况至关重要。如果宏观经济状况改善并且机构需求仍然强劲，那么比特币就可以恢复其向上的轨迹。否则，合并可能会延长，而BTC可能会停滞8个月。

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The world is evolving and adaptation is the best weapon to survive in this undulating universe. Originally a crypto community manager, I am interested in anything that is directly or indirectly related to blockchain and its derivatives. To share my experience and promote a field that I am passionate about, nothing is better than writing informative and relaxed articles.

世界正在发展，适应是在这个起伏的宇宙中生存的最佳武器。我最初是加密社区经理，我对与区块链及其衍生物直接或间接相关的任何事物感兴趣。为了分享我的经验并促进我热衷的领域，没有什么比撰写内容丰富且放松的文章更好。