比特幣 (BTC) 短期波動反映 2023 年 3 月，顯示市場可能正在為下一次反彈做準備

一項廣受關注的比特幣 (BTC) 指標表明加密貨幣交易所的波動性正接近今年的最低點，類似於 2023 年比特幣反彈之前的情況。

A widely watched indicator that signals volatility on cryptocurrency exchanges is nearing its lowest point of the year, similar to what was seen before Bitcoin rallied in 2023.

一項廣受關注的表明加密貨幣交易所波動性的指標正接近今年的最低點，類似於 2023 年比特幣反彈之前的情況。

BTC

比特幣

$63,603.48

$63,603.48

“The indicator levels are currently also low, which might be signaling the market is preparing for the next rally,” CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler wrote in a Sept. 30 analysis.

CryptoQuant 撰稿人 Axel Adler 在 9 月 30 日的分析中寫道：“目前指標水平也很低，這可能表明市場正在為下一次反彈做準備。”

Bitcoin short-term exchange flow multiples vs. price. Source: CryptoQuant

比特幣短期交易流量倍數與價格。來源：CryptoQuant

Adler noted that it’s “interesting” how Bitcoin’s low exchange flow multiple values were “seen before the rally in 2023.” In April 2023, BTC saw a 46% rise over the previous 30 days, reaching $30,312.

阿德勒指出，「有趣的是」比特幣的低交易流量倍數「在 2023 年反彈之前就被看到了」。 2023 年 4 月，BTC 過去 30 天上漲 46%，達到 30,312 美元。

Bitcoin price volatility is decreasing

比特幣價格波動性正在減少

He added that Bitcoin’s short-term inflows and outflows — those held for under 30 days — are significantly lower than long-term flows, signaling “decreased volatility” in Bitcoin exchange flows. This could also suggest that Bitcoin traders are holding, expecting to benefit from a potential price increase soon.

他補充說，比特幣的短期流入和流出（持有時間不超過 30 天）明顯低於長期流量，這表明比特幣交易流量的「波動性降低」。這也可能表明比特幣交易者正在持有比特幣，預計很快就會從潛在的價格上漲中受益。

Bitcoin is down 3.22% over the past 24 hours. Source: TradingView

比特幣在過去 24 小時內下跌了 3.22%。來源：TradingView

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant contributor Julio Moreno noted in a Sept. 30 X post that there are “increasing short positions behind today’s decline in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.”

同時，CryptoQuant 撰稿人 Julio Moreno 在 9 月 30 日的一篇文章中指出，「今天比特幣和以太幣價格下跌背後的空頭部位不斷增加」。

“Open Interest increased as the price dropped,” Moreno wrote.

「未平倉合約隨著價格下跌而增加，」莫雷諾寫道。

Bitcoin OI remains elevated, sparking concerns

比特幣 OI 仍處於高位，引發擔憂

Moreover, crypto market analyst Maartuun opined, “Bitcoin is in that funny spot where the price is down, but open interest isn't.”

此外，加密貨幣市場分析師 Maartuun 認為，“比特幣正處於價格下跌的有趣時刻，但未平倉合約卻沒有。”

“This setup warrants further fireworks,” Maartuun added.

「這個設置值得進一步的煙火，」Maartuun 補充道。

According to CoinGlass data, Bitcoin futures open interest stood at $35.15 billion at the time of writing.

根據 CoinGlass 數據，截至撰寫本文時，比特幣期貨未平倉合約為 351.5 億美元。

Related: New all-time high in ‘Uptober?’ 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

相關：「Uptober」創下歷史新高？本週關於比特幣需要了解的 5 件事

Cointelegraph recently reported an analyst’s view that there is uncertainty over the chances of Bitcoin reaching six figures by year-end. However, returning to its current all-time high remains within reach.

Cointelegraph 最近報導了一位分析師的觀點，即比特幣到年底達到六位數的可能性存在不確定性。然而，回到目前的歷史高點仍然是可以實現的。

“The window to get to $100k by the end of the quarter looks very small to me. You would need everything to go right from this point on and you simply can’t be sure that is going to happen,” Swyftx lead crypto analyst Pav Hundal told Cointelegraph.

「在我看來，到本季末達到 10 萬美元的窗口很小。 Swyftx 首席加密分析師 Pav Hundal 告訴 Cointelegraph，從現在開始，一切都需要順利進行，但你根本無法確定這是否會發生。

On Sept. 30, the price of BTC took a 3.22% hit over the past 24 hours, trading at $63,531, based on TradingView data.

根據 TradingView 的數據，9 月 30 日，BTC 價格在過去 24 小時內下跌了 3.22%，交易價格為 63,531 美元。

Magazine: Advanced AI system is already ‘self-aware’ — ASI Alliance founder

雜誌：先進的人工智慧系統已經具有「自我意識」－ASI聯盟創辦人

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move carries risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每一項投資和交易行為都存在風險，讀者在做決定時應自行研究。