比特幣 [BTC] 短期持有者投降，因為 80% 目前已陷入困境

比特幣 [BTC] 在維持其 60,000 美元價格水平之上的地位方面面臨著重大挑戰，最近幾週經常跌破這一關鍵門檻。

Bitcoin [BTC] encountered difficulties in the last few weeks while attempting to maintain its position above the $60,000 price level, frequently dropping below this key threshold.

比特幣 [BTC] 在過去幾週試圖將其位置維持在 60,000 美元以上的價格水平時遇到了困難，經常跌破這一關鍵閾值。

This volatility had a significant impact on short-term Bitcoin holders, with many of them holding their assets at a loss due to the fluctuating price.

這種波動對短期比特幣持有者產生了重大影響，他們中的許多人因價格波動而虧損持有資產。

Short Bitcoin holders at a loss

虧損的比特幣空頭持有者

According to a recent report, over 80% of short-term Bitcoin holders were holding their BTC at a loss at press time.

根據最近的報告，截至發稿時，超過 80% 的短期比特幣持有者持有比特幣處於虧損狀態。

This meant that their Bitcoin investments were worth less than what they initially paid.

這意味著他們的比特幣投資價值低於他們最初支付的價格。

The situation arose as Bitcoin continues to struggle around the $60,000 price level.

當比特幣繼續在 60,000 美元的價格水平附近掙扎時，這種情況就出現了。

The analysis drew parallels between the current scenario and similar market conditions in 2018, 2019, and mid-2021.

該分析將當前情況與 2018 年、2019 年和 2021 年中期的類似市場狀況進行了比較。

In those periods, a large proportion of short-term holders were also held at a loss, which led to increased panic selling. This behavior contributed to prolonged bearish trends as investors rushed to cut their losses.

在此期間，短期持有者有很大一部分也處於虧損狀態，導致恐慌性拋售加劇。由於投資者急於減少損失，這種行為導致了長期的看跌趨勢。

AMBCrypto’s analysis of the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) on Santiment confirmed the challenges faced by short-term Bitcoin holders.

AMBCrypto 對 Santiment 的 30 天市值與已實現價值 (MVRV) 的分析證實了短期比特幣持有者所面臨的挑戰。

The metric indicated that these holders have been in a loss position for several weeks. The MVRV has been below zero since the beginning of the month, reflecting that most short-term holders were underwater.

此指標顯示這些持有者已經連續幾週處於虧損狀態。自本月初以來，MVRV 一直低於零，反映出大多數短期持有者都陷入困境。

The MVRV remained below zero for an extended period, signaling that short-term holders have generally been holding at a loss.

MVRV 長期維持在零以下，顯示短期持有者普遍處於虧損狀態。

On the 5th of August, the MVRV dropped to around -13%, highlighting the extent of the losses.

8 月 5 日，MVRV 降至-13% 左右，凸顯了損失的嚴重程度。

Source: Santimet

資料來源：桑蒂梅特

As of the 18th of August, the MVRV had improved to approximately -5%, still in negative territory but showing some recovery.

截至 8 月 18 日，MVRV 已改善至約 -5%，仍處於負值區域，但顯示出一定程度的復甦。

In the last 48 hours, the situation improved further, with the MVRV rising to around 1% as of this writing. This positive shift is largely due to the recent price gains, which alleviated some pressure on short-term holders.

在過去 48 小時內，情況進一步改善，截至撰寫本文時 MVRV 升至 1% 左右。這種積極的轉變主要是由於近期價格上漲，減輕了短期持有者的一些壓力。

More Bitcoin holders remain profitable overall

更多比特幣持有者整體保持獲利

Shifting the focus from short-term holders to the overall Bitcoin holder base reveals a more positive outlook.

將焦點從短期持有者轉移到整體比特幣持有者群體揭示了更積極的前景。

According to data from IntoTheBlock, a substantial majority of Bitcoin holders were still in profit despite recent price fluctuations.

根據 IntoTheBlock 的數據，儘管最近價格波動，但絕大多數比特幣持有者仍然獲利。

Specifically, over 80% of all Bitcoin addresses, equivalent to approximately 45.45 million addresses, were “in the money,” meaning they held BTC at a price higher than their purchase price.

具體來說，超過 80% 的比特幣地址（相當於約 4545 萬個地址）是“價內地址”，這意味著他們以高於購買價格的價格持有 BTC。

Furthermore, about 6.9 million addresses, or around 12.9% of the total, were “out of the money,” meaning these holders were at a loss, based on press time prices. 2% of the addresses were at breakeven.

此外，根據截至發稿時的價格，約有 690 萬個地址（約佔總數的 12.9%）處於「價外」狀態，這意味著這些持有者處於虧損狀態。 2% 的地址處於損益兩平狀態。

While short-term holders have been more affected by the recent price declines, the overall market is still largely in profit.

雖然短期持有者受到近期價格下跌的影響較大，但整體市場仍以獲利為主。

This means that reactions from short-term holders, who are more likely to sell at a loss, are unlikely to have a significant impact on the broader BTC price trend.

這意味著短期持有者更有可能虧損出售，他們的反應不太可能對更廣泛的比特幣價格趨勢產生重大影響。

Bitcoin price in the last 48 hours

過去 48 小時內比特幣價格

As of this writing, Bitcoin has seen a price increase of over 2%, pushing it to approximately $60,800. This follows an almost 1% rise in the previous trading session, which brought its price to around $59,452.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣價格上漲超過 2%，達到約 60,800 美元。在此之前的交易日中，其價格上漲了近 1%，達到 59,452 美元左右。

The recent gains have brought Bitcoin closer to a critical resistance level marked by its short-term moving average (yellow line) around the $60,000 mark.

最近的上漲使比特幣更接近以 60,000 美元大關附近的短期移動平均線（黃線）為標誌的關鍵阻力位。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

閱讀比特幣 [BTC] 2024-25 價格預測

Suppose Bitcoin can break through the $60,000 resistance provided by the short-term moving average.

假設比特幣能夠突破短期均線提供的 60,000 美元阻力位。

In that case, the next major resistance level lies at around $63,000, marked by the long-term moving average (blue line). This level will be the next critical target for Bitcoin to reach as it continues its upward trend.

在這種情況下，下一個主要阻力位位於 63,000 美元左右，以長期移動平均線（藍線）為標誌。隨著比特幣繼續其上漲趨勢，這一水平將是​​比特幣要達到的下一個關鍵目標。