比特币 [BTC] 短期持有者投降，因为 80% 目前已陷入困境

比特币 [BTC] 在维持其 60,000 美元价格水平之上的地位方面面临着重大挑战，最近几周经常跌破这一关键门槛。

Bitcoin [BTC] encountered difficulties in the last few weeks while attempting to maintain its position above the $60,000 price level, frequently dropping below this key threshold.

比特币 [BTC] 在过去几周试图将其位置维持在 60,000 美元以上的价格水平时遇到了困难，经常跌破这一关键阈值。

This volatility had a significant impact on short-term Bitcoin holders, with many of them holding their assets at a loss due to the fluctuating price.

这种波动对短期比特币持有者产生了重大影响，他们中的许多人因价格波动而亏损持有资产。

Short Bitcoin holders at a loss

亏损的比特币空头持有者

According to a recent report, over 80% of short-term Bitcoin holders were holding their BTC at a loss at press time.

根据最近的一份报告，截至发稿时，超过 80% 的短期比特币持有者持有比特币处于亏损状态。

This meant that their Bitcoin investments were worth less than what they initially paid.

这意味着他们的比特币投资价值低于他们最初支付的价格。

The situation arose as Bitcoin continues to struggle around the $60,000 price level.

当比特币继续在 60,000 美元的价格水平附近挣扎时，这种情况就出现了。

The analysis drew parallels between the current scenario and similar market conditions in 2018, 2019, and mid-2021.

该分析将当前情况与 2018 年、2019 年和 2021 年中期的类似市场状况进行了比较。

In those periods, a large proportion of short-term holders were also held at a loss, which led to increased panic selling. This behavior contributed to prolonged bearish trends as investors rushed to cut their losses.

在此期间，很大一部分短期持有者也处于亏损状态，导致恐慌性抛售加剧。由于投资者急于减少损失，这种行为导致了长期的看跌趋势。

AMBCrypto’s analysis of the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) on Santiment confirmed the challenges faced by short-term Bitcoin holders.

AMBCrypto 对 Santiment 的 30 天市值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 的分析证实了短期比特币持有者面临的挑战。

The metric indicated that these holders have been in a loss position for several weeks. The MVRV has been below zero since the beginning of the month, reflecting that most short-term holders were underwater.

该指标表明这些持有者已经连续几周处于亏损状态。自本月初以来，MVRV 一直低于零，反映出大多数短期持有者都陷入困境。

The MVRV remained below zero for an extended period, signaling that short-term holders have generally been holding at a loss.

MVRV 长期保持在零以下，表明短期持有者普遍处于亏损状态。

On the 5th of August, the MVRV dropped to around -13%, highlighting the extent of the losses.

8 月 5 日，MVRV 降至-13% 左右，凸显了损失的严重程度。

Source: Santimet

资料来源：桑蒂梅特

As of the 18th of August, the MVRV had improved to approximately -5%, still in negative territory but showing some recovery.

截至 8 月 18 日，MVRV 已改善至约 -5%，仍处于负值区域，但显示出一定程度的复苏。

In the last 48 hours, the situation improved further, with the MVRV rising to around 1% as of this writing. This positive shift is largely due to the recent price gains, which alleviated some pressure on short-term holders.

在过去 48 小时内，情况进一步改善，截至撰写本文时 MVRV 升至 1% 左右。这种积极的转变主要是由于近期价格上涨，减轻了短期持有者的一些压力。

More Bitcoin holders remain profitable overall

更多比特币持有者总体上保持盈利

Shifting the focus from short-term holders to the overall Bitcoin holder base reveals a more positive outlook.

将焦点从短期持有者转移到整体比特币持有者群体揭示了更积极的前景。

According to data from IntoTheBlock, a substantial majority of Bitcoin holders were still in profit despite recent price fluctuations.

根据 IntoTheBlock 的数据，尽管最近价格波动，但绝大多数比特币持有者仍然盈利。

Specifically, over 80% of all Bitcoin addresses, equivalent to approximately 45.45 million addresses, were “in the money,” meaning they held BTC at a price higher than their purchase price.

具体来说，超过 80% 的比特币地址（相当于约 4545 万个地址）是“价内地址”，这意味着他们以高于购买价格的价格持有 BTC。

Furthermore, about 6.9 million addresses, or around 12.9% of the total, were “out of the money,” meaning these holders were at a loss, based on press time prices. 2% of the addresses were at breakeven.

此外，根据截至发稿时的价格，大约有 690 万个地址（约占总数的 12.9%）处于“价外”状态，这意味着这些持有者处于亏损状态。 2% 的地址处于盈亏平衡状态。

While short-term holders have been more affected by the recent price declines, the overall market is still largely in profit.

虽然短期持有者受到近期价格下跌的影响较大，但整体市场仍以盈利为主。

This means that reactions from short-term holders, who are more likely to sell at a loss, are unlikely to have a significant impact on the broader BTC price trend.

这意味着短期持有者更有可能亏本出售，他们的反应不太可能对更广泛的比特币价格趋势产生重大影响。

Bitcoin price in the last 48 hours

过去 48 小时内比特币价格

As of this writing, Bitcoin has seen a price increase of over 2%, pushing it to approximately $60,800. This follows an almost 1% rise in the previous trading session, which brought its price to around $59,452.

截至撰写本文时，比特币价格上涨超过 2%，达到约 60,800 美元。在此之前的交易日中，其价格上涨了近 1%，达到 59,452 美元左右。

The recent gains have brought Bitcoin closer to a critical resistance level marked by its short-term moving average (yellow line) around the $60,000 mark.

最近的上涨使比特币更接近以 60,000 美元大关附近的短期移动平均线（黄线）为标志的关键阻力位。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

阅读比特币 [BTC] 2024-25 价格预测

Suppose Bitcoin can break through the $60,000 resistance provided by the short-term moving average.

假设比特币能够突破短期均线提供的 60,000 美元阻力位。

In that case, the next major resistance level lies at around $63,000, marked by the long-term moving average (blue line). This level will be the next critical target for Bitcoin to reach as it continues its upward trend.

在这种情况下，下一个主要阻力位位于 63,000 美元左右，以长期移动平均线（蓝线）为标志。随着比特币继续其上涨趋势，这一水平将是比特币要达到的下一个关键目标。